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Post by djAdvocate on May 12, 2024 21:56:13 GMT -5
Johnson’s ‘intuition’ clashes with data on illegal votingThe GOP unveiled a bill last week to bar noncitizens from voting in federal elections — prohibiting something that’s already illegal to address a problem lawmakers can’t prove exists. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) was candid last week in telling reporters that Republicans are motivated by intuition in seeking another law that would limit voting to U.S. citizens. “ We all know, intuitively, that a lot of illegals are voting in federal elections. But it’s not been something that is easily provable. We don’t have that number. This legislation will allow us to do exactly that — it will prevent that from happening. uh, let me stop you right there. it was accepted as fact that the body had "humors" and that a doctor was responsible for healing them. it was bunkum. it was accepted that the earth was the center of everything, and was surrounded by "cosmic shells" that contained other planets, the sun, and stars. it was bunkum there were competing theories about whether all matter was made from water or air. both were wrong. bloodletting was considered a legitimate medical practice. it was bunkum. for the past couple hundred years we have relied on EVIDENCE, not intuition. you can shove your intuition up your backside, Mike. we don't enact laws based on your intuition. not yet, anyway. so, just fuck off, for now. so, here is how it will go: you PROVE there is a problem, then we will measure the width and breadth of the problem and decide whether it is worth addressing, and THEN we will craft legislation, accordingly. or not.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 12, 2024 21:09:08 GMT -5
his life resembled that of Trump after Nicole was murdered.
what a sad person. yes, both of them.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 12, 2024 19:34:36 GMT -5
i am always for devising the best solution to the problem. that is why i am asking. i agree with TG, incidentally. i think this goes all the way back to our frontier mentality. individualism is steeped deep into our psyche. we don't really believe in community, here. we distrust it. and because of that, we are absolute survivalists. and with that comes our propensity for misunderstandings and violent solutions. i might be wrong about all of that, but that is what i think. and it is one of the reasons i don't feel a close connection to America or Americans, as a general rule.Well, some of us are okay. No Trump supporters would qualify, of course, but the rest of us might at least have a chance.... i know some of you are. and your life, liberty, and happiness are under threat from the rest of America. America is like many other countries in this respect. countries that we foolishly criticize. the strength of this authoritarian undercurrent is really troublesome, visible, and persistent, imo.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 12, 2024 15:56:20 GMT -5
PS- the fact that he has nothing better to talk about than Cannibalism and windmills is revealing. and funny. guess the gag order is working.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 12, 2024 15:53:14 GMT -5
i am always for devising the best solution to the problem. that is why i am asking.
i agree with TG, incidentally. i think this goes all the way back to our frontier mentality. individualism is steeped deep into our psyche. we don't really believe in community, here. we distrust it. and because of that, we are absolute survivalists. and with that comes our propensity for misunderstandings and violent solutions.
i might be wrong about all of that, but that is what i think. and it is one of the reasons i don't feel a close connection to America or Americans, as a general rule.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 12, 2024 14:50:00 GMT -5
good guess. anyone else?
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Post by djAdvocate on May 12, 2024 14:12:16 GMT -5
as much as i would like to think that would solve the problem, i don't think it would.
have you seen Bowling for Columbine? that film asks the right question: why? gun ownership is higher in Switzerland, but the murder rate is far lower. gun laws are as lax in Canada, but they don't have the problem, either.
there is something in our psyche that causes the higher homicide and suicide rates. i have some guesses about it. does anyone else?
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Post by djAdvocate on May 12, 2024 12:55:43 GMT -5
Trump held a rally in Wildwood NJ yesterday. Turnout was probably good. Some of his whining was about food prices and gas prices under Biden. Of course, he and his followers forget or refuse to remember that he had good gas prices at the end of his term because of Covid and escalating food prices. I don't remember if he was in office for the $6 dozen of eggs or not, but some prices have come down off their Covid highs. Some are still bad because of the war in Ukraine which he encouraged. He also heaped praise on Hannibal Lecture and blamed windmills for killing whales. www.thedailybeast.com/80000-turn-out-to-hear-trump-rant-about-whales-and-hannibal-lecter-in-wildwood-new-jerseyHe’s just rambling. Promising impossible things he has no road map to achieve - and no real desire to achieve, either. He’s only really focused on revenge. i think he was being sarcastic about Hannibal the Cannibal. but sick humor, especially repeated in succession, is not all that great in public when you have no history of having a sense of humor.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 20:17:31 GMT -5
is there something about maybe you guys don't get? No, I understand the term. I just don't see ANYTHING he can possibly brag about with that mess. It's not like it could possibly be real.... ok, i admit i was digging.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 19:30:07 GMT -5
is there something about maybe you guys don't get?
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 16:51:30 GMT -5
But if Biden let his hair grow and styled it the way Trump does, maybe he wouldn't look so thin on top. He'd look like a fool, but no bigger a fool than Trump does. Bottom line, we really don't know whose hair is more thin. that's why i said maybe. i agree that we don't know.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 16:45:33 GMT -5
using that study, recall anyone you know who died of "old age". how were they doing 10 years before they died? that is where Trump is RIGHT NOW.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 16:43:53 GMT -5
i heard Trump bragging about his "body" the other day. the man is a fat slob. Biden isn't. Biden is fit. Trump isn't. he should not be bragging about his body. Biden is old. it is true. Trump is old. and fat.
he can maybe brag about his hair. and i am saying maybe there. Biden is looking thin on top.
edit: Trump's cholesterol numbers are horrendous. and he is obese. Biden's cholesterol number is normal, as is his BMI. that is why he probably doesn't make 90 years of age.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 16:41:36 GMT -5
that study estimates that Biden will outlive him by 10 years. since Biden is 3 years older, that means 7, in terms of the rest of us.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 16:40:25 GMT -5
i had to look it up. here are the numbers: Results Lifespan (independent of medical history) • Biden life expectancy estimate using a combined risk factor approach = 96.8 years (average is 87.4 years) • Biden probability of surviving a fouryear term as president = 95.2% (average is 82.2%) • Biden probability of surviving to age 85 years = 66% (average is 61.2%)• Trump life expectancy estimate using a combined risk factor approach = 88.6 years (average is 86.2 years) • Trump probability of surviving a second four-year term as president = 90.3% (average is 86.2%) • Trump probability of surviving to age 85 years = 60% (average is 55.0%)www.icaa.cc/media/presidential_lifespan_and_healthspan-draft_for_release_1.pdf
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 16:33:32 GMT -5
better prenatal care would be helpful. but there is a reason that about half of the public doesn't do ANY in the US. it is because of the COST. in other words, we put our kids at risk because we can't afford not to. i mean, this stuff is not mysterious, Spellbound. Hey DJ, don't be rude to Brits who are gobsmacked by how Yanks do healthcare! I want to give you props for describing how cynical and cruel things are here but nothing gets learned when you are rude. GOD, i love this board.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 15:12:56 GMT -5
I should have phrased it better. It was a "What If" type of question. What if for some reason he gets nominated but can't run? A health or family issue. A scandal. Who then? Hillary? Michelle? trump is full of scandals. Big scandals. Yet he is still running. So why not Biden? and again, Biden will probably outlive Trump. so, if we are talking about incapacity, Trump is more likely than Biden to become incapacitated, as well.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 13:53:01 GMT -5
So what are you supposed to do if the baby becomes distressed? It could be dead by the time you got to hospital. How would you even know it was in distress unless you had a monitor trace. Childbirth is a dangerous business for mother and child. and if its a question of money surely, there will be more litigation if there is an increase babies are getting injured. better prenatal care would be helpful. but there is a reason that about half of the public doesn't do ANY in the US. it is because of the COST. in other words, we put our kids at risk because we can't afford not to. i mean, this stuff is not mysterious, Spellbound.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 13:50:57 GMT -5
Hospital finances, especially smaller, rural hospitals, is not good. Salaries for nurses and other staff rose significantly with COVID, and have not gone back down, since a number of people left the field, and reimbursement from both Medicare and private insurance have not increased enough to match it. I think about 20% of rural hospitals are at risk of bankruptcy, and the number is substantially higher in states that have not expanded Medicaid. But we have the greatest healthcare system in the world, right? if we had a robust public healthcare system, of course, these problems would mostly disappear. i know. socialism. right.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 11, 2024 13:00:16 GMT -5
i would say that anyone asking that question is not paying attention. this is not a real question, rip. the DNC is going to run whoever wins the primary. presuming it is Biden, they will run Biden, and he will likely win. I should have phrased it better. It was a "What If" type of question. What if for some reason he gets nominated but can't run? A health or family issue. A scandal. Who then? Hillary? Michelle? Harris would be the obvious choice.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 10, 2024 20:18:34 GMT -5
until i find a better pick, i will take COPJ again.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 10, 2024 20:17:04 GMT -5
COPJ is such a thin trader!!! sheesh. i need to find a better vehicle for riding Copper. congrats to KD!
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Post by djAdvocate on May 10, 2024 11:58:03 GMT -5
Today I went up to the nearby food pod court to get some teriyaki chicken and noodles for lunch. While I was waiting for my lunch 2 women in I'd say their late 20s were talking about the campus occupations and wondering why Biden didn't speak up sooner and why he is withholding arms from Israel.
One said she didn't like Trump but wondered if the DNC was going to run Biden and who would they run if Biden was not chosen to run. I started to think about it and I couldn't come up with anyone they could run in place of Biden. Any Ideas??
i would say that anyone asking that question is not paying attention. this is not a real question, rip. the DNC is going to run whoever wins the primary. presuming it is Biden, they will run Biden, and he will likely win.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 10, 2024 11:54:34 GMT -5
i wonder what would have happened if he put her on the Apprentice?
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Post by djAdvocate on May 9, 2024 22:37:45 GMT -5
I would be surprised if he want to any of his kid’s high school graduations. Ivanka - maybe, maybe…I would guess he probably did that one...only because she is Daddy's little girl and to try and be around all of her friends at the afterparty. You know Daddy needs more little girls....
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Post by djAdvocate on May 9, 2024 22:22:53 GMT -5
i feel cautiously optimistic about beating the bench this week. not so sure about KD, though.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 9, 2024 21:18:28 GMT -5
never ceases to surprise me. i always notice something ELSE troubling when i watch it. it is some very deep work.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 9, 2024 12:55:07 GMT -5
PS- Trump claims to not even "know" her. that makes even less sense than claiming he didn't have sex with her. but then again, he apparently doesn't know anyone, when it is convenient. and what need is there to "know" your victims? none, really. in other words, not knowing her just adds to his guilt, from my perspective. same with E. Jean Carroll.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 9, 2024 12:50:29 GMT -5
I read some of the testimony at the link Tenn provided. I had wondered why Stormy testified about how her experience with Trump went, but now I get it. She was expecting just dinner, and he was expecting to have sex with her. In the testimony it does sound like she "blacked out" because she did not know how to get out of that situation safely. She ended up doing what he wanted, not what she wanted to do. I think part of it is that he denies having sex with her at all. If he admitted it, they wouldn’t have had to put her on to offer evidence that it did happen. Although they may have had her tell the story to prove she had a negative experience and that is why she needed to get paid off. i don't think this is plausible for TWO reasons: 1) why wouldn't he? i am speaking from his perspective, of course. the man clearly has no boundaries, and is highly impulsive. 2) Trump never spends money even on essential services that he is under verbal or written agreement to pay. and he has publicly said he did nothing wrong. so why wouldn't he just take his chances with some tabloid publishing the story? the ONLY story that makes sense is that he took advantage of her, like he does with everyone, including the American public en masse, and then disposed of her, like he does with everyone, including the American public en masse.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 9, 2024 12:44:27 GMT -5
i am so bitter right now, that i can't entertain that.
NOTE: that is a strike against me, not you.
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