Getting Rich in the Natural Gas, Coal & Oil Patch

[tyfighter3]

HOW about that? 

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Oct 13, 2018 13:19:22 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

And it becomes clearer why Mr. Armstrong's computer models have been much more accurate than climate models such as the ones used in the propaganda film "An Inconvenient Truth", or the failed hockey stick graph that was used to fear monger for years.

Independent Audit Exposes the Fraud in Global Warming Data

The audit has revealed “that climate models have been tuned to match incorrect data, which would render incorrect their predictions of future temperatures and estimates of the human influence of temperatures.” Furthermore, the Paris Climate Agreement adopted 1850-1899 averages as “indicative” of pre-industrial temperatures is “fatally flawed.” The entire Paris Climate Agreement has an agenda to eliminate effectively the advancement of society and attempt to reset the clock to the pre-Industrial Revolution. This entire theory that before the Industrial Revolution, our planet’s atmosphere was somehow pristine and uncontaminated by human-made pollutants has been also proven to be completely bogus.
Bubbles trapped in Greenland’s ice has revealed that we began emitting greenhouse gases at least 2,000 years ago. The Romans even constructed the first aqueduct was built in 312 BC because there was a serious problem with water pollution. Seneca (c 4BC-65AD), the adviser to Nero, wrote in 61AD: “No sooner had I left behind the oppressive atmosphere of the city [Rome] and that reek of smoking cookers which pour out, along with clouds of ashes, all the poisonous fumes they’ve accumulated in their interiors whenever they’re started up, then I noticed the change in my condition.”....

..Anomalies it has identified include at St Kitts in the Caribbean, the average temperature for December 1981 was zero degrees, normally it’s 26C. For three months in 1978, one place in Colombia reported an 82 degrees Celsius average – hotter than the hottest day on Earth. Then in Romania, one September the average temperature was reported as minus 46°C, which has never happened. The data showed that supposedly ships would report ocean temperatures from places up to 100km inland. The paper also points out that the most serious flaws identified was the shortage of data. For the first two years, from 1850 onwards, the only land-based reporting station in the Southern Hemisphere was in Indonesia. Then there were ship observations at the time but Australian records had not started until 1855 in Melbourne, behind Auckland which started in 1853. This data appears to have been just made up.

Oct 13, 2018 17:51:53 GMT -5 tyfighter3 said:

HOW about that? 

Just wanted to make sure it was understood what you were referring too. Because not only is it a garbage in, garbage out situation with the data most climate models are based on; because of the garbage out the affect predicted by most climate models is obviously also garbage. For instance: Something Unexpected Has Been Happening to Plants in The Arctic as It Gets Warmer. Of course, it's only unexpected to ppl who still don't seem to understand that CO2 is plant food!!

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

It's funny how the redaction hasn't been as widely reported as the original story..by funny, I mean predictable and par for the course with Global Warming: Another Doomsday Climate Model Flunks A Math Test.

Meanwhile; San Antonio shatters the old record low of 28 degrees set back in 1916, Houston has recorded it’s earliest snowfall ever observed — and not just by a day or two but by 10 days (it isn’t supposed to snow in mid-November in Texas) and Louisiana got snow too.

Looks like:

The Chill of Solar Minimum(is setting in)

"We see a cooling trend,” says Martin Mlynczak of NASA’s Langley Research Center. “High above Earth’s surface, near the edge of space, our atmosphere is losing heat energy. If current trends continue, it could soon set a Space Age record for cold.”...

...These results come from the SABER instrument onboard NASA’s TIMED satellite...

...To help keep track of what’s happening in the thermosphere, Mlynczak and colleagues recently introduced the “Thermosphere Climate Index” (TCI)–a number expressed in Watts that tells how much heat NO molecules are dumping into space. During Solar Maximum, TCI is high (“Hot”); during Solar Minimum, it is low (“Cold”).

“Right now, it is very low indeed,” says Mlynczak. “SABER is currently measuring 33 billion Watts of infrared power from NO. That’s 10 times smaller than we see during more active phases of the solar cycle.”

Although SABER has been in orbit for only 17 years, Mlynczak and colleagues recently calculated TCI going all the way back to the 1940s. “SABER taught us to do this by revealing how TCI depends on other variables such as geomagnetic activity and the sun’s UV output–things that have been measured for decades,” he explains.

Looks like it's gonna be easy to stay .

[OldCoyote]

Dang man,   If this keeps up, how are they going to extract that Carbon Tax from Us??

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Oh, they'll probably try to say; new theory! The the CO2 is blocking the sun...lol...

I'm grinding it out to put a pin in the argument and give the Conservative politicians up here something to hang their hat on. I'm excited!

[tyfighter3]

Well, in Sunny Fl, it's going to be 32 in the morning. LOL I was going to golf in the morning but I think I just might stay in bed. LOL

[tyfighter3]

It's hard to get rich in the oil patch right now, BUT SOON. Look for some consolidation in the OIL Patch. Right now Oil Company's are lean and Mean, where their brake-even is around 36 per B. They have really refined how they get the oil out of the ground.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

32?!? Might as well stay in Illinois! LOL..

Yes, I was reading that West TX is break even around $30. PQE is still up 100% from where we first talked about it. They have finally started to deliver oil to market; that's oil sands teck at $20 a bbl. I've also had my eye on a couple of interesting companies up here as there has been major support announced for upgrading/refining.

What about the new tax structure on MLPs?

What I find interesting is how the supply of diesel is running low in Europe, and this was before a major refinery goes off line. Roits in France, over taxes.... Here we're have been told that ppl are willing to pay more tax on fuel, more money for power, subsidize electric vehicles for decades until they are profitable.. weird how when the bottom line starts to errod due to ideology there is a push back, huh?

[tyfighter3]

Yes,and when they start to push that ideology, we who know better should always ask them just How are They going to pay for it and show them just how foolish they are. Show them just how many other Country's have tried it in the past just to end up in the Dumps. Your supposed to Learn from your mistakes not to do them over and over again. HISTORY really needs to be taught in our Schools again. BUT then you have to look at who's running the Hen House. lol 

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

No doubt hey. Normally you would say the fox is running it... But this is more of a parasite, isn't it? (I'm not even going to bother with how this parasite is fed by the Satanic element within society) It slipped in under the guise of looking after our habitat, and latched onto the bleeding hearts... I mean, really. The idea that companies were actually going to pay for any of the Paris Agreement is just so unbelievably naive that it's hard to imagine anyone who has a little bit of common sense believed it.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

On top of the, where is all this clean electricity for EVs coming from?... Numbers.

Volkswagen’s delusional plan to phase out combustion engines

Now, a cynic — Who, me? — might argue this newfound devotion is simply a knee-jerk reaction to the company’s Dieselgate scandal (prior to September 2015, Volkswagen was probably the least committed of automakers to the electric revolution). Maybe it’s just the communal guilt a corporation feels when it pollutes the entire world with excessive nitrogen oxides. I don’t know. What is certain is that Dieselgate, more than any other recent event, is responsible for the ramp-up of EV development. And, as an entity, Volkswagen is by quite some margin the leader among major automakers in that charge.....

...First, let’s look at some facts about the future of automotive propulsion. Actually, they’re predictions, but they’re the same predictions EV protagonists use to propose that our driving future is increasingly electrified.

We — we, as in the whole world — currently buy just over 80 million cars and light trucks annually, the vast preponderance of which are ICE-powered. By 2030, the consensus seems to be that 20 million of us will convert to pure electric vehicles, be they battery- or fuel cell-powered. So far, so good for Volkswagen’s prediction of reduced reliance on infernal combustion, right?
The fly in Volkswagen’s emissions-reducing ointment is that, by 2030, the world new-car market is expected to grow to about 120 million units. Now, a large number of those will be plug-in and mild hybrids, but the common denominator between all those remaining 100 million vehicles — be they pure ICE, PHEV or MEV — is that they are all powered, at least in part, by piston engines. No, you’re not reading those numbers wrong: There will actually be more new cars — roughly 100 million — with a gas/diesel engine under their hoods in 2030 as are sold today.

Now, to be sure, they will be more efficient. Depending on how and where you drive, PHEVs — which can sometimes run on pure electricity — might reduce consumption by as much as 50 per cent. Mild hybrids — which essentially use more powerful 48-volt alternators to electrically “supercharge” gas engines — might reduce emissions by 20 per cent, an excellent gain considering their low cost. But they are still reliant on internal combustion as their primary motivation.

Tellingly, for Volkswagen’s plan to start phasing out internal combustion engines after 2026, if there are indeed 100 million ICE-affiliated cars being sold in 2030, it’s unlikely the bottom will drop out of the gas-engine market immediately thereafter. And even if developed countries ban internal combustion by 2040 — which may prove grossly optimistic; cue Donald Trump populism and Macron-directed revolts in France — large swaths of Africa, South America and some parts of the Far East simply have neither the inclination nor the infrastructure to follow suit. In other words, whether we like it or not — whether Volkswagen likes it or not — internal combustion engines will be still powering a significant number of the world’s new automobiles well beyond 2026.

And this is where Jost’s bold prognostication starts to fall apart. As a result of the pressure of ever-tighter emissions and fuel economy regulations, ICE technology development is advancing at ever more break-neck — some might say desperate — speed. If Volkswagen was to stop developing internal combustion engines after 2026 — and that is definitely the conclusion almost everyone is inferring from Jost’s statement — then at least some of its cars will have to soldier on with 20- or even 25-year-old technology before pure electrics completely take over. That would seem to contradict the intent of Jost’s message — namely that Volkswagen is committed by all means to reducing CO2 emissions — since the company’s then-older ICE technology would see the company’s hybrids lacking the efficiency of newer designs.

It would also put Volkswagen at a distinct disadvantage in regions where gas engines still dominate. Indeed, it’s hard to imagine Volkswagen continuing on as the world’s most prolific automaker if it’s also the first to abandon internal combustion....

....Of course, Jost’s pronouncement could just be the same disingenuous mischief Volvo got caught up in when it announced in 2017 that all its cars would be electric by 2019. What it really meant to say — oops, one of the world’s most sophisticated public relations machines made a totally unintentional boo-boo — was “electrified,” most of those supposed “electric” cars actually just those mild hybrid thingies.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Here we have definitive evidence for the data set Mr. Armstrong has been publishing, and what @jma23 has said numerous times; it's all about the magnetic field. The North Pole is literally moving away from NA and toward Europe, which would also be moving the equator. If we are going through a reversal, i'm looking forward to the Middle being a sub tropical climate in about 45 years or so.

Earth’s magnetic field is acting up and geologists don’t know why

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Jan 14, 2019 9:14:24 GMT -5 @jma23 said:

Jan 11, 2019 21:28:27 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

Here we have definitive evidence for the data set Mr. Armstrong has been publishing, and what @jma23 has said numerous times; it's all about the magnetic field. The North Pole is literally moving away from NA and toward Europe, which would also be moving the equator. If we are going through a reversal, i'm looking forward to the Middle being a sub tropical climate in about 45 years or so.

Since we haven't had the ability to track our magnetic field very long, historically speaking.  This might not be an anomaly at all.  
 
I for one, wouldn't want this to become another global warming, faith type fiasco.

The ramifications of the weakening areas, is quite dire in regards to radiation from the sun.

Far more worrisome than a climate a few degrees warmer.

I'm mobile right now and can't provide much research information.

Rest assured that this research has been kept more in the lab, after what happened with the politicization of climate data.

I'm happy to hear its been kept under wraps, should be fun to watch the "trickle down" ......

I was chatting with an associate today who ran his own drilling company. Their instruments are tuned to magnetic north and he was saying how much his data has changed over the years. He brought up and interesting point about the last flip; there is apparently reason to believe the only reason our oceans didn't evaporate was because solar winds were able to direct enough radiation away from earth while the field reestablished.

I don't think this is an anomaly at all, it makes complete sense. To stay in balance it has to move back and forth, as anything does. Eventually it loses balance and flips.

Best part is no faith is needed. Hard data is pointing in this direction.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Still a generation away....

Solar Investment Plunges Amid Panel Glut

China took markets by surprise in June last year by announcing that it would not issue approvals for any new solar power installations in 2018 and would also cut the feed-in tariff subsidy that has been a major driver of the solar business in the country that accounts for as much as 50 percent of capacity.

Following the June decision of the Chinese planning commission, global PV panel prices dropped by 12 percent, which benefited buyers of PV panels but served a blow to producers, and not just those in China. Yet, the investment cut was the largest in China: investments in renewable energy there fell by about 50 percent or US$40 billion last year.

This had a beneficial effect on capital costs, the BNEF analysts said. In 2018, the cost of installing a megawatt of solar generation capacity shed 12 percent. Now, this was not because of major cost reductions as much as a global PV module oversupply that was already emerging before China overhauled its solar industry regulations, but it was still substantial as far as cost cuts go....

...The Bloomberg researchers warned that despite a surge in renewable energy investment since 2004, when the world spent less than US$62 billion on cleaner energy, as global energy demand grew, so did the consumption of fossil fuels. This effectively offset the gains in carbon emissions reductions achieved through the growing use of alternative energy sources.

....This year promises to be tough as well, at least in China. Earlier this month, the government said it will only approve new solar and wind power capacity if it matches the country’s COAL benchmark on price.

[tyfighter3]

I just love your post Aman.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Thank you for the kind words, sir!

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

There is no clearer picture as to why solar can't replace coal on a large scale than the new solar farm on the old Nanticoke coal plant. 3,964 Mw of power replaced by 44 Mw. And while the coal plant provided reliable base load power for 40 years, the panels will begin to lose efficiency slowly at first, then all of a sudden. Now electrify the transportation sector you say?

It's no wonder there has been a massive increase in Carbon Capture talk these days in certain circles.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Ah yes; and with the Yellow Vest snap back and carbon tax protests, reality starts setting in.

-Unreliable Nature Of Solar And Wind Makes Electricity Much More Expensive, Major New Study Finds
-PV plants in China under greater pressure
-PV waste a rising challenge for Bangladesh

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

And a little crossover into the Asian Crisis:

Belt and Road forum: China’s ‘project of the century’ hits tough times

Coal projects accounted for as much as 42% of China’s overseas investment in 2018, according to the China Global Energy Finance database.

And then, the spin on this one!!!

Around the World, Buyer’s Remorse Sets in for Costly Clean Power

The pullback may be disruptive, but it could also be viewed simply as a sign of an industry growing up.

“The need for these subsidies might be rolling off faster than originally intended,” said Allan Marks, a Los Angeles-based partner at law firm Milbank LLC who specializes in energy and infrastructure, but “to me, that’s a success story.”

Yes, after 20+ years and less then 5% of total world energy supplied by wind and solar the buyers remorse around the world definitely means success. Especially because of the MASSIVE amounts of money that will be needed to 1)install storage to grow past this capacity and 2)have to replace all these wind turbines and solar panels within the next 10-15 years because EOL and decreased efficiency are just starting! AKA SO MUCH POLLUTION for such a "renewable" source of power.

And then; BIOCOAl!!!

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

His tone is so much different then when I first reached out to him in March.

Estevan mayor criticizes NDP outreach on coal jobs

Mayor Roy Ludwig agreed that the province is dragging its heels, but he had a simple message for Meili: “We would rather keep our jobs, thank you very much.....

......we’re going to fight and fight hard to keep clean coal jobs in place, because we feel we have a future with coal in our province.”

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

But a glimpse of what is to come.

UK to create the world’s first carbon negative power station

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Man, I love Fitz!

'Energy city' feeling powerless as coal phase-out haunts Estevan

The road ahead will be bumpy, but Bramble is an optimist.

“We can come up with ways of moving forward that, in a few years time, we would say, ‘Wow, who would have thought we could have done this?’ ”

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

I know I have been having fun pointing out whole chain pollution and rivers of heavy metals.... Nothing like carbon negative power!!

A Climate Alarmist Sued A Skeptic For Defamation – And Lost

The ruling is explosive because it means that Ball’s claim that Mann was a scientific fraudster is now supported by the court....

....Climate catastrophists immediately seized on this persuasive graph and made Mann the poster boy of the IPCC....

...There was only one problem with the graph: It was junk science. Future university courses in statistics will undoubtedly teach the hockey stick as a classic case of faulty methodology. In layman terms: Mann was using a statistical technique that cherry-picked the data needed to make the hockey stick shape.

In 2006, Congress commissioned three statisticians led by Dr. Edward Wegman to produce the so-called Wegman report on the controversy. The report proved that the technique Mann used could create any desired outcome and demonstrated this fact by creating the shape of the global temperature data from 1995.

If Mann had produced this graph in a graduate thesis in statistics, he would have flunked.....

.....Under normal circumstances, Mann’s career would have been lying in a pool of utter disgrace long ago. Instead, he is still one of the leading scientists in the climate catastrophe mafia. His colleagues had to defend him because if they ever were to admit that the hockey stick graph is junk science, it would discredit the IPCC and the entire field of paleoclimatology that hailed Mann’s result.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Nothing like pointing out the duck curve and battery fires.

Climate Change That Ignores History

It’s a well-kept secret, but 95 per cent of the climate models we are told prove the link between human CO2 emissions and catastrophic global warming have been found, after nearly two decades of temperature stasis, to be in error. It’s not surprising.

We have been subjected to extravagance from climate catastrophists for close to 50 years.

In January 1970, Life magazine, based on “solid scientific evidence”, claimed that by 1985 air pollution would reduce the sunlight reaching the Earth by half. In fact, across that period sunlight fell by between 3 per cent and 5 per cent. In a 1971 speech, Paul Ehrlich said: “If I were a gambler I would take even money that ­England will not exist in the year 2000.”

Fast forward to March 2000 and David Viner, senior research scientist at the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, told The Independent, “Snowfalls are now a thing of the past.” In December 2010, the Mail Online reported, “Coldest December since records began as temperatures plummet to minus 10C bringing travel chaos across Britain”.

We’ve had our own busted predictions. Perhaps the most preposterous was climate alarmist Tim Flannery’s 2005 observation: “If the computer records are right, these drought conditions will become permanent in eastern Australia.” Subsequent rainfall and severe flooding have shown the records or his analysis are wrong. We’ve swallowed dud prediction after dud prediction. What’s more, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which we were instructed was the gold standard on global warming, has been exposed repeatedly for ­mis­rep­resentation and shoddy methods.....

......India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Tony Abbott isn’t listening. India knows the importance of cheap energy and is set to overtake China as the world’s leading importer of coal. Even Germany is about to commission the most coal-fired power stations in 20 years....

....Resisting will be politically difficult. But resist we should. We are already paying an unnecessary social and economic price for empty gestures. Enough is enough!

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

It should be fun to reach out and chat with these 500+ folks.

Prominent scientists warn UN Secretary-General Guterres

They warn the Secretary-General that “[c]urrent climate policies pointlessly and grievously undermine the economic system, putting lives at risk in countries denied access to affordable, reliable electrical energy.”

They add: “We urge you to follow a climate policy based on sound science, realistic economics and genuine concern for those harmed by costly but unnecessary attempts at mitigation.”

See the attached press briefing and registered letter.

Statements such as “97 percent of climatologists agree that anthropogenic climate change is occurring” isn’t a statement of fact, it’s an opinion twice removed. It’s an opinion that involves evaluation of the legitimacy of how the results of the poll in question were sorted to dismiss some answers and allow others, and it’s an opinion in terms of how representative the sample size is with respect to all climate professionals.

Statements such as “modeling shows that catastrophic climate change will occur in the next [pick a number] years unless drastic changes are made” is also an opinion. It’s an opinion because the results of any model, and in particular any model that purports to predict the future of anything as complex as the entire planet’s climate system, necessarily relies on a multitude of choices made by the model’s designer.

(There is no climate emergency, say 500 experts)

Professor Guus Berkhout of The Netherlands, who organized the Declaration, said: “So popular is the Declaration with scientists and researchers worldwide that signatories are flooding in not only from within Europe but also from other countries such as the United States and Canada,Australia and New Zealand.”

The group’s letter warns the U.N. that “the general-circulation models of climate on which
international policy is at present founded are unfit for their purpose”.

The Declaration adds that the models, which have predicted far more warming than they should (see diagram), “are not remotely plausible as policy tools”, in that “they … exaggerate the effect of greenhouse gases such as CO2” and “ignore the fact that enriching the atmosphere with CO2 is beneficial”.