Russian Elections 2012: Trouble in Paradise?

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Ceasefire

-Rebels in eastern Ukraine reject peace plan and ceasefire offer by Poroshenko

He made clear, however, that government forces must take control of Ukraine’s border with Russia before any ceasefire could be declared.
Rebels now control much of the frontier, and Kiev and its western allies say Russia is allowing fighters and advanced weapons to cross into Ukraine and reinforce the separatists, who have shot down military aircraft with shoulder-launched missiles.

-Ukraine President declares ceasefire on same day Russian tanks are spotted crossing the border

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The plot thickens...

Vladimir Putin orders Russian troops onto 'combat alert' as Ukraine fighting spills across border

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

I have to hand it to Putin, the guy is a brilliant tactician. After sending tanks, weapons, and soldiers into Eastern Ukraine; he puts on a happy face and says that he's asking parliament to "reject" his powers to use the military in the Ukraine. Since the separatists control a large part of the boarder with Russia and Putin "isn't" sending tanks, weapons, and personnel into Eastern Ukraine, I'm not sure what difference it makes.... Oh ya, this... Russia to set own barriers in response to Ukraine’s EU trade pact

Oh, and how about those weapons?

Cease-Fire Collapses in Ukraine as Rebels Down Copter, Government Says

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Putin recanting use of force in Ukraine: Ploy to avoid sanctions?

I'm going with, yes. <--- Putin

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

As much as I would like to see this "truce" hold in the Ukraine, there has been multiple attacks over the last 12 hours, people have been fleeing, and Russia is saying that mortar rounds have landed in their territory. I also found this report below interesting.


Turchynov Reveals Russia's Plan Of Annexing Crimea Before November 2013

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As of right now...Ukraine ceasefire is off, says president. With the pro-Russian separatists claiming that chemical weapons were used over the last couple of days, it's hard to call what just went on in the Ukraine a cease fire; here's a quick rundown of what has happened over the last couple of days... Shooting and explosions thunder next to Kramatorsk airport in Ukraine

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Well you wouldn't know it by the market exuberance today, but the Ukraine has plunged back into conflict. There was also a repot confirming what Turchynov was saying about 2013... Russian Social Media Fortify Rebellion in Eastern Ukraine Stay , it's poised to get hot this summer leading into the fall.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

This should get even more interesting... Ukraine's new defence minister promises Crimea victory

-Russia Rejects Key Moldovan Meat Imports
-Belarus blocks Ukrainian potato imports

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Aside from the middle East; Tokyo has trimmed their GDP forecast, while Singapore's shrank. With Ukraine says military transport plane shot down in east; blames Russia, global growth is hitting those headwinds, to say the least. Stay

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There has been confirmation that Russian military is firing artillery into eastern Ukraine; which means we are one step closer to....

Mar 7, 2014 1:19:32 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

Russia could very well collapse because the Wahhabist want nothing more than for Russia to get itself into a position where they will have to support a fight in central Asia. This will stop support to Syria, allowing a surge there and into Iran. If Russia goes, a wildfire spreads across Europe...

Especially since Norway warns of possible terror attack within days.

Like I was saying back in March....

If Putin isn’t punished, Europe risks a wider war

The French Revolutionary Louis St. Just once acidly observed that those who make revolution by half steps are only digging their own graves. This insight also applies to the deterrence that the West should have provided before this crisis and since it began until now. Instead, the timorous half-steps and warnings backed up by nothing but air have led Mr. Putin to conclude that he can stand the sanctions imposed to date since they will probably not last and in any case the West is divided.

Moreover he has convinced himself that he cannot let Ukraine be an independent westward-looking state, for that spells the end of his system at home. As a result he has put the security and stability of Russia itself and Europe at greater risk than anyone has done in years. Paradoxically, a strong Western response, along the lines being called for by President Barack Obama and Prime Minister David Cameron are essential to impose deterrence upon Russia, rescue it, Ukraine, and Europe from a wider war, and begin the task of pacifying post-war Ukraine. Another round of half-steps will only confirm St. Just’s observation although the forum for that justification will be war not revolution.

Indeed, the pathetically divided and hesitant Western response until now has allowed Mr. Putin to widen the war and maintain the strategic initiative. The sight of stronger, richer states cowering before Mr. Putin is more than a little reminiscent of the appeasers of the 1930s who feared what Hitler or Mussolini might do if they acted forcefully to thwart their aggressions in their early stages. While Mr. Putin is not Hitler – although he evidently aspires to something like Mussolini’s status – the same lesson holds today. Those who resist aggression by half-steps are only digging their own (and others’) graves....

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More echoes of the 1940's as the biggest Jewish refugee crisis in Ukraine since World War II causes a Jewish refugee camp to open.

If the report of Ukrainian troops losing 125 armored vehicles in eastern Ukraine in one day is accurate, this "conflict" has just started an whole new chapter. Stay

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Interesting...

Ukraine Says Airspace Breached as Monitors at Crash Site

NATO jets were scrambled from a Lithuanian air base at about 9 a.m. today to “identify” Russian aircraft “flying without a pre-agreed schedule” in neutral waters near Estonia, according to a spokeswoman for Lithuania’s Defense Ministry, Viktorija Cieminyte. The Defense Ministry in Kiev said it downed a Russian drone on Ukrainian territory, one of several aircraft to violate the country’s airspace since yesterday.....

....“During the last 24 hours, terrorists fired on the checkpoints and positions of Ukrainian forces in a number of cities and villages,” Andriy Lysenko, a spokesman for the Ukrainian military, told reporters in Kiev. “Part of the shelling came from Russian territory.”....

.....Russia is deploying Grad rocket systems and continues to build up artillery positions near the border, according to Lysenko. The Defense Ministry in Moscow declined to comment. The Interfax news service cited unidentified officials as saying Russia plans to call up military reservists for training at least through October. Scheduled maneuvers that began near Ukraine today included about 30 helicopters and 300 pilots, according to Zvezda, an army website.

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Why are Putin's actions going to bite him in the rear? The pro-Putin Brit fanatic plotting a Russian takeover of Europe - from flat in Doncaster

Then there is this flare up.. New War Risk on Russian Fringe Amid Armenia-Azeri Clashes

The Ukraine says they are close to victory, however, yesterday...Many Ukraine soldiers cross into Russia amid shelling

Meanwhile.. Russia holds huge military exercises near Ukraine border

Way to destabilize and open the door for the global jihad in central Asia and Europe, Putin, bravo!

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

It was a nice little surprise to see the market up when I got home today. I thought for sure the media would be attributing it to the rise in Chinese exports... Nope, apparently it was because of "peace" in the Ukraine. Or if you prefer, Russia just didn't hold military drills today - wow!

-Blast in Ukraine’s Capital Stirs Fears of New Conflict
-Death toll of the crimean crisis
-Ukraine Authorities Clash With Activists in Kiev's Independence Square
-Putin Makes Baltics Pay as Food Trucks Halted at Border
-Russian bombers penetrated U.S. airspace at least 16 times in past 10 days
-West warns Russia against 'aid' mission in Ukraine

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After amassing another 25,000 troops on the Ukraine boarder - bringing the total to 45k - Russia to send humanitarian convoy into Ukraine in spite of warnings

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With pictures to back up the reports... Heavy Russian Military Equipment Is Joining The 'Aid Convoy' To Eastern Ukraine



The convoy has also veered away from an agreed-upon border crossing under the control of the Ukrainian government, and is instead traveling towards rebel-held east Ukraine... But hey, Putin said that he was going to do whatever is necessary to stop the bloodshed today... and this was a good thing...

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Well the aid hasn't made its way across the boarder into the Ukraine yet, but Russian military vehicles have.

And Putin - along with his buddies, have been plying the MICEx like a fiddle. Truly amazing when it comes right down to it. Stay .

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

I had to roll my eyes. All day Bloomberg has had the story up that Putin, Merkel,and others were in talks and the situation in the Ukraine was easing. Meanwhile Ukraine separatist leader says rebels getting tanks and reinforcements, and on Friday a guy from Euro Pacific Capital made an interesting point - Putin will take over eastern Ukraine

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Yes, "decreased" tensions...

No Cease-Fire In Sight For Eastern Ukraine
Refugee convoy in eastern Ukraine 'hit by rocket fire'

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In a further sign of deescalation...

Tanks, artillery and 1,200 fighters 'march into east Ukraine from Russia'

Column from Russian Federation entered the town with Russian army. It came from the East of Lugansk. At first we thought it was Ukrainian army. It was going for 2 hours, with white ribbons on the arms, without flags.'

Another said: 'All is bad! Welcome humanitarian aid from Russia, newest T-72, Grads and other presents.'

A further Tweet read: 'At about 2 pm on the street called '30th anniversary of the Victory' there was spotted a column of military hardware - tanks and infantry armoured vehicles.'

Anastasiya Stanko, a journalist with Hromadske.tv, reported: 'I have information from the administration of Lugansk that a column of Russia military hardware entered the city, at least 150 vehicles, including tanks, Grad artillery and infantry armoured vehicles, also about 1,200 soldiers.'

She stated: 'All are dressed in Russian army uniform but without chevrons.
'At the moment they are at the 30th anniversary of war victory street in Lugansk.

'There is information that this column crossed the border about three days ago and got to Lugansk via Severnyi Donets.'

The equipment came from the same vicinity as where the stalled humanitarian convoy was based near the Russian-Ukraine border in Rostov region, she said.

....Yesterday, the Mail's correspondent in Russia reported movements of heavy military hardware in Rostov, the Russian region which borders Ukraine, in previous days. Tanks were seen carried West towards the frontier on trucks which later returned empty.

Ukrainian military analyst Dmitry Tymchuk said: 'Unfortunately, we can confirm the fact that the column of Russian military equipment broke through to Lugansk to back up the local militants.'
This development came yesterday, he said, though some Russian military hardware had arrived earlier.

'According to our data, a few dozen units of military equipment broke through into the neighbourhood of Lugansk, up to 40 of them are heavy armoured vehicles. Part of this column entered the city.

'How the column of vehicles could have broken through the blockade line, considering the fact that Lugansk is being blocked by a circle of checkpoints and fortified strong points of ATO forces, we currently cannot say.'

Military activity on the ground has been high in recent days in Rostov region in areas close to the border where the West claims Russia has station large forces.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Today is exactly why I'm staying defensive and letting my dividends build up my KASH pile. As mentioned in the super black swan thread, conflict is what's causing the economic problems in the EU. Conflict that the western media is trying so hard to sell as "easing". There has been no easing - at all - in the Ukraine, and US airstrikes aren't going to do shit in the Mid East until China's boots are on the ground. All that dropping bombs without ground control is doing is fueling Sectarian Tension

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We swear, it was only "aid" that we sent to eastern Ukraine. Says Putin.

Pro-Russian forces ‘circle 1000s of Kiev troops, capture 2 tank battalions

Over 200 armored vehicles and 50 artillery rocket systems (including Grad) are trapped in the area, the DPR claims. Over the last two days, the self-defense forces say they have captured a lot of military hardware.

This has reportedly helped them get 2 tank battalions, 3 multiple launcher rocket system batteries, 2 self-propelled howitzer batteries, 3 cannon battalions of various calibers and 8 mortar batteries.

All the new subunits have joined the newly formed fighting force, the rebels said. Three infantry brigades will be organized from the existing detachments of self-defense militia, the document reads.

A new volunteer regiment has also been formed consisting of miners from the Donbass region and soldiers and officers from the Ukrainian army, who have opted to side with the People’s Republic of Donetsk. The DPR army has also reportedly “liberated” a number of communities such as Agronomicheskoe, Klenovka and Stroitel from the Ukrainian troops’ and National Guards’ “punitive detachments”.

Rebels parade captured Ukrainian soldiers in east

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The last round of peace talks between Ukraine and Russia went great. This picture sunms it up... (Yes I realize BHO wasn't at the meeting. It's about context.)




-Ukrainian troops in ‘full, chaotic retreat’ as Putin opens ‘third front’ in stealth war
-Ukraine crisis: Rebels push into port of Novoazovsk

Just keep destabilizing Europe, Putin. Nothing to see here.

Jihad 'Made in Kosovo'

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Just another day in paradise....

Ukraine Leader Says ‘Huge Loads of Arms’ Pour in From Russia

Supported by NATO satellite imagery showing Russian forces on the move in eastern Ukraine, its president accused Russia on Thursday of an invasion to aid the separatists, and his national security council ordered mandatory conscription to help counter what he called an “extremely difficult” threat.

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Yeah, we aren't marching towards a global conflict, no not at all...

Canada looks to join NATO force of 10,000 troops meant to keep Russia in check

Terror alert raised as 250 home-grown jihadists get ready to wage war on Britain's streets

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Well.. Ukraine Warns of Europe’s Worst Conflict Since World War II

Gee, I wonder why?.. Oh yes, of course...

- 'If I Want, I Will Take Kiev in Two Weeks', Putin Warns EU's Barroso
-Ukraine military withdraws from Luhansk airport in east
-Ukraine Suffers Harsh Defeat in Eastern Town

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Whoo-hoo! More ceasefire appeasement talks!

Oh, and there is no bigger dilemma brewing... None at all...


Islamic State to Putin: We Are On Our Way to Russia

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Mar 7, 2014 1:19:32 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

Russia could very well collapse because the Wahhabist want nothing more than for Russia to get itself into a position where they will have to support a fight in central Asia. This will stop support to Syria, allowing a surge there and into Iran. If Russia goes, a wildfire spreads across Europe...

Margelov: ISIL Islamists threaten not just Russia but to all Europe

Keep destabilizing things Putin, it's all going to lead to a "New Russia" alright.

-Russia 'blocks Estonia' over captive border security man
-Russian strategic bombers reportedly practice nuclear missile strike against US
-Russian military plane circles HMCS Toronto in Black Sea

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

It sure is a good thing that Putin has pulled his troops back from the Ukrainian boarder, again... Better delay the Russia EU crushing sanctions..

Russia successfully tests nuclear missile, more planned: navy chief

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

If it wasn't such a terrible situation, the fact that the media keeps claming there is a cease fire going on in Ukraine would be laugh out loud funny. What it is, however, is sick and deplorable, dishonest, and misleading. But hey, no one wants to hear we are on the verge of a global conflict because it would take away from all the self centeredness.

-Kiev says Russia masses troops on Ukraine border
-Kharkiv prepares for possible Russian invasion despite ceasefire
-EU silent on reported Putin threat against east Europe