MARKET AT ....WHAT????......FTI TOLD YA SO

[usaone]

New home sales WAAAY up.

No inventory on existing homes.........

[usaone]

Jul 29, 2013 7:51:40 GMT -5 jarrett1 said:

We may very well see a 10%-20% full blown correction as this market seeks direction...sometime between now and the end of September...before again rising and hitting new highs before the end of this year and reaching into 2014

Yes. We have another Debt ceiling debacle straight ahead. Repeat of August 2011. Idiots

[jarrett1]

 INVESTMENT NEWS SUNDAY NIGHT 9/15

[frankq]

We'll be there!

[frankq]

Yes....there was definitely news!

[frankq]

Yes. We have another Debt ceiling debacle straight ahead. Repeat of August 2011. Idiots

We may be luckier with this one. Obama doesn't seem to have the stroke he once had, even with his own party.......

[damnotagain]

Jul 29, 2013 9:01:47 GMT -5 jarrett1 said:

What you say housing values up 11%?...oh that report didn't come out yet?...I'll come back later and report it again

We can all feel better off. True or not. Now please what bank is going to take that risk. They laid off all the mortgage lending personnel .

[jarrett1]

Another day....another dollar....another cliff to face...oh vey!!!

We have now entered a technical secular down turn for the gold rally.

The gold rally was and is dependent on QE

YTD gold is down -18%...maybe more

one year return-28%...maybe more

once they announce...it will be time to pounce....and what you thought...will not be the price per onuce

[frankq]

We can all feel better off. True or not. Now please what bank is going to take that risk. They laid off all the mortgage lending personnel

Right......no banks do mortgages anymore....Ever wonder how many people apply for a mortgage over the internet?

[damnotagain]

Why would banks lend money At these rates ? Their into gambling these days on the market. 

[frankq]

Ok. Thanks.

[damnotagain]

Your welcome.

[jarrett1]

jarrett1

Jul 29, 2013 at 8:51am jarrett1 said:

We may very well see a 10%-20% full blown correction as this market seeks direction...sometime between now and the end of September...before again rising and hitting new highs before the end of this year and reaching into 2014

OK so just checking...MARKETS UP!!!....GOLD DOWN....Like "I" said

[OldCoyote]

JP Morgan Chase sells out all short term U.S. debt as does other money market funds.

I guess this is not good.  Am I wrong? 

[jarrett1]

Do the opposite of what JP Morgan does...and you'll be fine  

[jarrett1]

OK...S&P new record high...check
       DOW 16,000...who would have had such a thought?
       NAS...on its way to 4,000

Just remember in the years where the S&P has had a 20% or more gain....its does it again the following year...so slow grow + low interest rates=consistent constant return for equities...until this happens_________________________.

[kman]

Hey!!!!.....I,m back......Where have I been ?.....all over the country. 2013 was a year of travel to heal a broken heart...train my now 110 lb Shiloh shepherd and explore new business ventures. So...I taught the pup how to surf....drove him to California and entered him in a dog surfing competition.....in a Mustang GT.....stopped in the French Quarter for some fun.....drank some of Bruce, s Beckers Malbec in Texas.....saw a roadrunner and coyote in AZ.....spent some time in Carmel by the sea at Doris Day,s hotel...Cypress Inn....from there...Lake Tahoe ....Utah, Wyoming...love that cowboy cooking! Estes Park in Colorado...wow! what a place...seen me some wild horses, burrows...what more can a guy ask for....Can't believe I did not get a ticket for the speeds I was driving. It took all of a month to do this and the pup gained 15lbs during this time...it's been a blurr and I hope im not repeating myself.....trip of a lifetime...The best part was meeting our neighbors all around this great place we live...the worst part was seeing how big corps have sucked the life out of every business district across this country and moved commerce to the nearest highway exit....I hope it's just a cycle...pretty sure it is..... The future holds great potential in the growth of small business and investing will head in that direction when the big boys start to peek......How are you all?   

[bimetalaupt]

KMAN,

WELCOME BACK...I KNOW THE FEELING AS I WAS WIDOWED AT 41.  FROZEN TEARS FOR YEARS.   but I am still the single parent.  Red wine and beef...Well that was my gift to My son and his new wife.  

God bless you,

Bruce

[kman]

Hey Bruce.....great news about your son.....Best Malbec ever...found it in a little store in the hill country. what a wild ride through Texas!.....All to familiar about them tears. Bo has been great therapy. I need to get back to California for some more surfing with the pup. Huntington Beach Surf City Surf Dogs...had no idea it was an international event....next time i'll make it known when and where I am so I can meet some of y'all 

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Hey kman, sounds like a great adventure. Cycles, for sure. Did u see McVeitenam opened up? The big guys have to help build a solid base. The more well producing areas the better in a socioeconomic system. Boy #4 for the Mrs. and I in 2013, I think u knew that though...

Cycles, one more; 2013. The year the points in my theory about this really old war we have been talking about for a few years now came together. End of 2015, things are gonna be interesting.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Case and point. All these extraordinarily wealthy people that own these big corps that are part of "the giving pledge", along with groups like OWS that have funds worth hundreds of millions of dollars, will donate to groups like the ones outlined in this article below.

What it's like to live in the most famous bankrupt city in America

The core won't have a general store for trinkets, but there will be one kick ass farmers market. If I've said it once I've said it a million times, it's the American Renaissance because God blessed America, thanks JC.

[sunrnr]

Feb 13, 2014 18:36:31 GMT -5 kman said:

Hey Bruce.....great news about your son.....Best Malbec ever...found it in a little store in the hill country. what a wild ride through Texas!.....All to familiar about them tears. Bo has been great therapy. I need to get back to California for some more surfing with the pup. Huntington Beach Surf City Surf Dogs...had no idea it was an international event....next time i'll make it known when and where I am so I can meet some of y'all 

Dude! Good to hear from you again!!! You're always welcome should you make it back up towards Utah. Come enjoy the best snow on earth, eh? Your traveling companion is more than welcome also.

[jarrett1]

OK...enough of all that warm and fuzzy shit!

400 of the 500 companies in the S&P have repoted $$$EARNINGS$$$ of 10% or more...that is a wider margin than the past few years!

Markets up!

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Hahaha, they sure kicked the lower guidance right in the Jimmy! I luv that you luv what you do my friend.

[bimetalaupt]

Feb 19, 2014 9:50:13 GMT -5 jarrett1 said:

OK...enough of all that warm and fuzzy shit!

400 of the 500 companies in the S&P have repoted $$$EARNINGS$$$ of 10% or more...that is a wider margin than the past few years!

Markets up!

Jarrett,

Well, market is driven by current money...   M1 target = GDP Increase target + inflation

So Where is all that money. Stock Market ?Futures ? SOMA doubled in 18-24 months.. Reaction Of M3 less then M2 and M2 less then M1 and M1 less then SOMA growth...When the Federal Reserve projected action is less completive then BOJ and ECB ?Market anticipates by 9 to 12 months based on M2. 

15 month projection. Bunny Market based on m3..Delta for M3 is negative.  MMXV is the old model does include 18,000 with in SD with no Black Swans.. Those Known unknowns are discounted with Friday Special-alpha test variant of MMXVBeta 

Just a thought,

Bruce

SD DJIA=12.37140  UPPER RANGE 18,265.5----15 MONTH 

SD DJTM = 14.605748 UPPER RANGE 20,933.3----"

GROWTH OF 6.6 SUGGEST LONG TERM GROWTH 6.6% ADD 1.68% DIVIDEND =TR 8.3%AV FOR DJTM

ALL OTHER THING BEING EQUAL...
Percent change at seasonally adjusted annual rates

date....................................................M1.................M2............M3
Nov. 4, 2013 (13 weeks previous)............9.5%............5.1%
Aug. 5, 2013 (26 weeks previous).............9.0%...........5.9%
Feb. 4, 2013 (52 weeks previous).............8.7%........... 5.6%..........6.6%

Completive

adjective 1. having all parts or elements; lacking nothing ; whole; entire; full: a complete set of Mark Twain's writings. 2. finished; ended; concluded: a complete

Model for M1 was from SFFRB under VAR analysis proof done when you know who ran the show. 

[usaone]

Bank lending is picking up.....the consumer is back.


Sell FB.

[bimetalaupt]

Feb 20, 2014 15:20:45 GMT -5 usaone said:

Bank lending is picking up.....the consumer is back.


Sell FB.

USA WON,

Not sure by how much....V2 has been dropping like a rock. From Fred...

Velocity of M2 Money Stock (M2V)

2013:Q4: 1.566 Ratio Hide Last 5 Observations

2013:Q3: 1.573

2013:Q2: 1.573

2013:Q1: 1.579

2012:Q4: 1.594


Quarterly, Seasonally Adjusted, Updated: 2014-01-30 1:56 PM CST
The Personal lending firm Lending Club is growing by leaps and bounds.....

Bruce

PS: Think about the Green investors they only own FB.  I remember Xerox. Never bought it. It always looks too pricy for what they had.  Nifty 50..pe OF 60.  1999 ALL OVER AGAIN BUT I STILL GOT MY MBA IN FINANCE. DID I SAY RISK?

research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/fredgraph.png?&id=M2V&scale=Left&range=Max&cosd=1959-01-01&coed=2013-10-01&line_color=%230000ff&link_values=false&line_style=Solid&mark_type=NONE&mw=4&lw=1&ost=-99999&oet=99999&mma=0&fml=a&fq=Quarterly&fam=avg&fgst=lin&transformation=lin&vintage_date=2014-02-20&revision_date=2014-02-20

[usaone]

I think Q! and Q2 will show a rebound Bruce.

[frankq]

I can't see much of anything that tells me that the market is going much higher for the near future. As always, I call my shots. I'm out and 100% in cash waiting for better days. Good luck too all.

[bimetalaupt]

Feb 24, 2014 10:58:54 GMT -5 usaone said:

I think Q! and Q2 will show a rebound Bruce.

USA WON,

Great Question...Kash is KING!!! Looking to find a better price for they long term buy. Summer to Oct?? 15% correction are 2.000 SD out so that would be 16% odds.  That would produce a long term return for beta of 1.000 of about 9.54%.   I agree with Frankq on the call. I think bonds are going to make BGross look better in the summer.  OK I am leading against the market. 

Bonds? look at German Bonds...Low inflation and shortage of quality risk free bonds; are in shortage for retirement plans.  I like DUK as the bond replacement with beta of 0.08. 

Neext Generation MMXV Beta est. return = 8.284247%

Just a though,

Bruce