The Electoral College vote total

[Value Buy]

I owe djpolldancer an apology at this point.
Under normal circumstances I would have started a thread by now, on the actual totals the contestants would accumulate on election night.
As of today, I am still not sure where the count will wind up.
I do expect Romney to win, but too many states still in play to name an accurate number at this point.

Maybe by Monday

[AgeOfEnlightenmentSCP]

Oct 17, 2012 10:58:23 GMT -5 Value Buy said:

I owe djpolldancer an apology at this point.
Under normal circumstances I would have started a thread by now, on the actual totals the contestants would accumulate on election night.
As of today, I am still not sure where the count will wind up.
I do expect Romney to win, but too many states still in play to name an accurate number at this point.

Maybe by Monday

I'll start- Romney by 320 +

My prediction at this point is that it's going to be a blowout.

[djAdvocate]

the following are Obama:Romney:Tied

277:239:22 EV.com
271:206:61 HP.com
287:251 538.11.6
283:255 538.10.17

djpolldancer current estimate = 281:257

[Value Buy]

Oct 17, 2012 11:24:42 GMT -5 AgeOfEnlightenmentSCP said:

Oct 17, 2012 10:58:23 GMT -5 Value Buy said:

I owe djpolldancer an apology at this point.
Under normal circumstances I would have started a thread by now, on the actual totals the contestants would accumulate on election night.
As of today, I am still not sure where the count will wind up.
I do expect Romney to win, but too many states still in play to name an accurate number at this point.

Maybe by Monday

I'll start- Romney by 320 +

My prediction at this point is that it's going to be a blowout.

You know, I am beginning to think this race will not be as close as we thought.
Romney has momentum.

PBP, did you catch the tape of Michelle Obama at the debate clapping when Candy backed the President on his comments on terrorism?
She was like in the third row, clapping at Candy's comment, very loudly.
Rules were: the audience was to remain quiet.
I guess, certain people are above the rules.

[Value Buy]

Ok, here goes.
Romney with 303 Electoral votes.

Update.
Romney 289

Getting tight!

[AgeOfEnlightenmentSCP]

It's no secret at this point that I am predicting a blowout. America is about to send Obama packing. And unfortunately for our Democrat friends, it's not going to be close enough to make stealing the election a practical option. It's over.

[luckyme]

This was posted originally and I think many here believed it would change. Seems it favors Romney even more so.

If they are wrong, it will be the first time in over 30 years.


ELECTORAL COLLEGE MODEL PREDICTS ROMNEY WILL WIN EVEN BIGGER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT IN 2012

www.theblaze.com/stories/electoral-college-model-predicts-romney-will-win-even-bigger-than-previously-thought-in-2012/

[luckyme]

" And it's written up in The Blaze too...... "


Wondering why you felt the need to point that out?

Just means they chose to update the original study, where others didn't.




Is this better for you?

www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/10/04/updated-election-forecasting-model-still-points-romney-win-university

[luckyme]

Oct 25, 2012 8:12:28 GMT -5 deminmaine said:

As you may recall, Bickers and Berry, using their metrics, are able to retroactively predict every presidential win since 1980.

and to quote it correctly:

The state-by-state economic data used in their model have been available since 1980.

When these data were applied retroactively to each election year, the model correctly classifies all presidential election winners, including the two years when independent candidates ran strongly: 1980 and 1992. It also correctly estimates the outcome in 2000, when Al Gore won the popular vote but George W. Bush won the election through the Electoral College.


Still think it will be interesting to see if it holds true or not.

[djAdvocate]

i guess we will all have considerable reasons do doubt this model in four years.

[Tennesseer]

You made it safely we see.

[Opti]

Given all other models are predicting otherwise why should I doubt? The Blaze, retroactive fixes, umm Buehler?

[djAdvocate]

Oct 25, 2012 20:56:47 GMT -5 Tennesseer said:

You made it safely we see.

yeah. it was a good flight. smooth air, mostly, and managed to watch some good movies and documentaries.

[Tennesseer]

Oct 25, 2012 21:03:11 GMT -5 djAdvocate said:

Oct 25, 2012 20:56:47 GMT -5 Tennesseer said:

You made it safely we see.

yeah. it was a good flight. smooth air, mostly, and managed to watch some good movies and documentaries.

On a non-stop from NYC to Tokyo, I cannot recall how many cocktail hours we went through. The poor flight attendants.

[Deleted]

DJ, Are you in Australia already? Get off the damn internet!

[dumdeedoe]

Quick DJ go to the loo and flush it. I want to see if it goes down the drain clockwise or counter clockwise....

[mmhmm]

Oct 25, 2012 21:03:11 GMT -5 djAdvocate said:

Oct 25, 2012 20:56:47 GMT -5 Tennesseer said:

You made it safely we see.

yeah. it was a good flight. smooth air, mostly, and managed to watch some good movies and documentaries.

Glad to hear it was a smooth flight, dj. It can get a bit nasty, at times. Don't miss Hyde Park in Sydney!

[mmhmm]

Oct 25, 2012 21:15:26 GMT -5 Tennesseer said:

Oct 25, 2012 21:03:11 GMT -5 djAdvocate said:

yeah. it was a good flight. smooth air, mostly, and managed to watch some good movies and documentaries.

On a non-stop from NYC to Tokyo, I cannot recall how many cocktail hours we went through. The poor flight attendants.

Heck, Tenn! You can spend a day orbiting Tokyo airport!

[djAdvocate]

Oct 25, 2012 23:44:56 GMT -5 mmhmm said:

Oct 25, 2012 21:03:11 GMT -5 djAdvocate said:

yeah. it was a good flight. smooth air, mostly, and managed to watch some good movies and documentaries.

Glad to hear it was a smooth flight, dj. It can get a bit nasty, at times. Don't miss Hyde Park in Sydney!

remind me again in 3 weeks. we are not staying in Sydney until the 17th.

[djAdvocate]

Oct 25, 2012 21:17:47 GMT -5 @craftysarah said:

DJ, Are you in Australia already? Get off the damn internet!

i had a business reason for being on the net today. that is going to wear really thin starting tomorrow.

[mmhmm]

I'll try to remember, dj. Hyde Park is a hoot that is not to be missed! Aussies at their finest. ;D

[Value Buy]

I may have to increase the number from 303 votes for Romney.
Colorado is going red in 10 days.

[Waffle]

I'll play.

Obama 303 Romney 235

[usaone]

Obama is still up 3 points in Ohio.

Until that changes the race has been and still is over for Romney.

[beags]

Oct 26, 2012 9:37:38 GMT -5 deminmaine said:

Of the swing states, Obama is up in Ohio, New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, Wisconsin. Colorado is essencially tied, although Romney is up 4/10 of a percent.
Odds are still on the President.

I wish they would show wisconsin's voting regions on the map. You would see the entire state EXCEPT for madison and milwaukee usually vote republican. But those two cities have enough people in them to make up for that.

[Deleted]

Romney is going to win, I don't really have any doubt about that at this point. The trends have all been moving away from Obama for the last 4 years as the dems lost big election after big election. I don't put THAT much trust in a poll in WI, for example, that shows obama leading by 6 when they only poll 1000 voters and they end up oversampling dems. After dems just lost a huge election last year.

Anyways, guess we'll see.

[luckyme]

Oct 25, 2012 20:59:14 GMT -5 Opti said:

Given all other models are predicting otherwise why should I doubt? The Blaze, retroactive fixes, umm Buehler?

Sometimes I wonder if people even bother to read.

[djAdvocate]

Oct 17, 2012 11:24:42 GMT -5 AgeOfEnlightenmentSCP said:

Oct 17, 2012 10:58:23 GMT -5 Value Buy said:

I owe djpolldancer an apology at this point.
Under normal circumstances I would have started a thread by now, on the actual totals the contestants would accumulate on election night.
As of today, I am still not sure where the count will wind up.
I do expect Romney to win, but too many states still in play to name an accurate number at this point.

Maybe by Monday

I'll start- Romney by 320 +

My prediction at this point is that it's going to be a blowout.

i give this prediction an F-. there is a 0% chance, imo, that Romney will win by this margin.

[djAdvocate]

Oct 26, 2012 9:37:30 GMT -5 Waffle said:

I'll play.

Obama 303 Romney 235

that is a really good guess, Waffle.

[djAdvocate]

Oct 26, 2012 10:47:20 GMT -5 deminmaine said:

That's correct usaone. Romney is still the one with the hill to climb.

and because of that, given that there are so few days left, it is NOT going to be a blowout. it just isn't.