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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 9, 2015 19:43:50 GMT -5
i am thinking of it as a tie. seem fair to you? The race is definitely within the margin of error-- and the whole race is undoubtedly in play. Trump may be hovering around 30%, but that means the other 70% is in play. 25% and 75%.
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Post by Value Buy on Nov 19, 2015 8:28:39 GMT -5
Had trouble finding this thread. It had dropped to page six
Latest polls out this morning shows Trump has increased his lead in national and state polls. Carson has dropped fairly badly, and Rubio and Cruz seem to be the recipients of Carson's lost support, but Trump also increased his numbers slightly.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 19, 2015 11:39:49 GMT -5
Had trouble finding this thread. It had dropped to page six Latest polls out this morning shows Trump has increased his lead in national and state polls.Carson has dropped fairly badly, and Rubio and Cruz seem to be the recipients of Carson's lost support, but Trump also increased his numbers slightly. thanks. i have been waiting 2 weeks for a new poll. i will update the Bush thread.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 19, 2015 11:58:19 GMT -5
ok, i looked at all of this, and i don't see these polls as especially good for Trump.
it is true that his lead has widened over Carson, but that is because Carson has dropped 3%, and Trump has held steady.
meanwhile, Rubio and Cruz are both picking up steam (probably at the expense of Carson).
Trump stands almost exactly where he stood on August 6th. that is over three months ago, folks. he has gone NOWHERE since then. now, it is true- if he stays there for ANOTHER three months, he is going to win a lot of states. but there is no indication that he will (or won't).
i guess if i were Trump i would be pleased with my standing right now. but it is a very tenuous lead, and it could be lost in a week.
edit: i don't generally look at state polls, so i am ONLY basing this on national surveys, which are more rigorous and frequent. as the year comes to a close, i will start looking at state polls, in order of primary.
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Post by Value Buy on Nov 19, 2015 13:36:42 GMT -5
I think you might want to post the polls. Trump up usually 3 or 4 points Carson down-badly I agree Rubio and Cruz picked up the vast majority of Carson's numbers, but Rubio is way behind in Florida I think Trump doubled Governor Christie in New Jersey. I know you trust the national polls more than the state polls, but if you win the state polls you win the national ones too I also imagine the polls did not pick up Paris to a large percent, and Trump owns the terrorist/immigrant book, and these two issues are now one and two in the polls.
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Post by billisonboard on Nov 19, 2015 14:32:30 GMT -5
I think you might want to post the polls. Trump up usually 3 or 4 points Carson down-badly ... I think since you are posting Trump up/Carson down that you might post the polls that support your claim.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 19, 2015 20:39:08 GMT -5
I think you might want to post the polls. Trump up usually 3 or 4 points Carson down-badly I agree Rubio and Cruz picked up the vast majority of Carson's numbers, but Rubio is way behind in Florida I think Trump doubled Governor Christie in New Jersey. I know you trust the national polls more than the state polls, but if you win the state polls you win the national ones too I also imagine the polls did not pick up Paris to a large percent, and Trump owns the terrorist/immigrant book, and these two issues are now one and two in the polls. who do you think you are talking to, VB? try to remember that. tyia.
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Post by ken a.k.a OMK on Nov 19, 2015 21:32:29 GMT -5
Trump wants to register and track all Muslims in the US. How? He said using good management practices. The man is nuts. Are Christians and Jews next?
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Post by fishy999 on Nov 19, 2015 22:40:52 GMT -5
Hitler was a good manager Fascists are great managers.
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Post by Value Buy on Nov 19, 2015 23:16:59 GMT -5
ok, i looked at all of this, and i don't see these polls as especially good for Trump. it is true that his lead has widened over Carson, but that is because Carson has dropped 3%, and Trump has held steady. meanwhile, Rubio and Cruz are both picking up steam (probably at the expense of Carson). Trump stands almost exactly where he stood on August 6th. that is over three months ago, folks. he has gone NOWHERE since then. now, it is true- if he stays there for ANOTHER three months, he is going to win a lot of states. but there is no indication that he will (or won't). i guess if i were Trump i would be pleased with my standing right now. but it is a very tenuous lead, and it could be lost in a week. edit: i don't generally look at state polls, so i am ONLY basing this on national surveys, which are more rigorous and frequent. as the year comes to a close, i will start looking at state polls, in order of primary. www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 20, 2015 2:16:27 GMT -5
ok, i looked at all of this, and i don't see these polls as especially good for Trump. it is true that his lead has widened over Carson, but that is because Carson has dropped 3%, and Trump has held steady. meanwhile, Rubio and Cruz are both picking up steam (probably at the expense of Carson). Trump stands almost exactly where he stood on August 6th. that is over three months ago, folks. he has gone NOWHERE since then. now, it is true- if he stays there for ANOTHER three months, he is going to win a lot of states. but there is no indication that he will (or won't). i guess if i were Trump i would be pleased with my standing right now. but it is a very tenuous lead, and it could be lost in a week. edit: i don't generally look at state polls, so i am ONLY basing this on national surveys, which are more rigorous and frequent. as the year comes to a close, i will start looking at state polls, in order of primary. www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/ www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 20, 2015 2:19:03 GMT -5
Trump wants to register and track all Muslims in the US. How? He said using good management practices. The man is nuts. Are Christians and Jews next? i know that it probably sounds crazy, but i doubt that this will reduce his popularity. i base that impression on my experience with the board this week, which has been.....disappointing?
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Post by Value Buy on Nov 20, 2015 6:50:53 GMT -5
Trump wants to register and track all Muslims in the US. How? He said using good management practices. The man is nuts. Are Christians and Jews next? i know that it probably sounds crazy, but i doubt that this will reduce his popularity. i base that impression on my experience with the board this week, which has been.....disappointing? Your "impression" of the board this week, quite simply follows the trend of the country's citizens changing position. Many Democrats are waking up to what is happening around the world and realize they were wrong with their zombie cult following of this President and never question his leadership. If the President continues on his current path he is going to make Bush II a rock star in comparison
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Post by Value Buy on Nov 20, 2015 7:19:22 GMT -5
Survey Monkey Republican poll Trump 28 Carson 18 Cruz 18 I could not get access as I refuse to sign up for their stuff
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Post by AgeOfEnlightenmentSCP on Nov 20, 2015 8:39:55 GMT -5
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Post by AgeOfEnlightenmentSCP on Nov 20, 2015 8:48:35 GMT -5
Everybody knows that the Democrats are perfectly willing to tear a family apart and deport an asylum-seeking child to a totalitarian dictatorship when it suits them.
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Post by AgeOfEnlightenmentSCP on Nov 20, 2015 9:00:48 GMT -5
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Post by billisonboard on Nov 20, 2015 9:46:07 GMT -5
Trump wants to register and track all Muslims in the US. How? He said using good management practices. The man is nuts. Are Christians and Jews next? i know that it probably sounds crazy, but i doubt that this will reduce his popularity. i base that impression on my experience with the board this week, which has been.....disappointing? He has 30% support from 30% of the population. Of course this won't reduce his 10% of the American peoples support.
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Post by AgeOfEnlightenmentSCP on Nov 20, 2015 10:02:38 GMT -5
i know that it probably sounds crazy, but i doubt that this will reduce his popularity. i base that impression on my experience with the board this week, which has been.....disappointing? He has 30% support from 30% of the population. Of course this won't reduce his 10% of the American peoples support. He's beating Hillary in MOST states. He's within striking distance in California. He beats the GOP elite to get this nomination- he wins.
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Post by Tennesseer on Nov 20, 2015 11:11:00 GMT -5
Everybody knows that the Democrats are perfectly willing to tear a family apart and deport an asylum-seeking child to a totalitarian dictatorship when it suits them. I am pretty sure CostadelespacioPablo would want his son back too.
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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 20, 2015 11:20:01 GMT -5
Everybody knows that the Democrats are perfectly willing to tear a family apart and deport an asylum-seeking child to a totalitarian dictatorship when it suits them. I am pretty sure CostadelespacioPablo would want his son back too. is that a picture of an INS guy rounding up a refugee in Tennessee?
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Post by Tennesseer on Nov 20, 2015 11:27:11 GMT -5
I am pretty sure CostadelespacioPablo would want his son back too. is that a picture of an INS guy rounding up a refugee in Tennessee? Just a matter a paranoid time. Those baby Syrian suicide-vested bombers.
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Post by Value Buy on Nov 20, 2015 12:01:52 GMT -5
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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 20, 2015 12:15:26 GMT -5
i can't control what they do, only how i respond to it.
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Post by Value Buy on Nov 20, 2015 12:22:39 GMT -5
dj, I should have said your response was sort of a funny response to a poor response. I did chuckle at it myself. I guess I am a bad person.........
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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 20, 2015 13:01:40 GMT -5
dj, I should have said your response was sort of a funny response to a poor response. I did chuckle at it myself. I guess I am a bad person......... nah. chuckling is better than frothing.
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Post by b2r on Nov 20, 2015 14:33:16 GMT -5
Trump wants to register and track all Muslims in the US. How? He said using good management practices. The man is nuts. Are Christians and Jews next?
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Post by dondub on Nov 20, 2015 16:13:43 GMT -5
A Pew Research report in today's paper mentioned the net decrease in immigration from Mexico. More returning than coming in. That dang Obama is just a whiz ending that 150 year trend!
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Post by Tennesseer on Nov 22, 2015 13:07:47 GMT -5
Trump won't rule out independent run for presidentWASHINGTON (AP) — Republican Donald Trump on Sunday again refused to rule out an independent candidate for president in 2016, and he dug in on creating a database to track Muslims in the U.S. Asked on ABC's "This Week" whether he'd jump to an independent candidacy, Trump said, "I will see what happens. I have to be treated fairly. If I'm treated fairly, I'm fine." The billionaire and former reality show star is leading the race for the GOP nomination for the fourth straight month, with Republican establishment candidates such as Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio far behind. All the GOP candidates, Trump included, have signed a pledge to support the party's eventual presidential nominee and forgo independent runs in 2016. He suggested that his lead in the polls, unshaken by disparaging remarks he's made about ethnic groups or his lack of specifics on foreign policy, has vexed the Republican party. "They can't understand, you know, how come an outsider can be doing so well within the party," Trump said. Trump won't rule out independent run for presidentReminds me of this scene from Seinfeld.
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Post by djAdvocate on Nov 22, 2015 13:11:26 GMT -5
are YFKM, Tenn? he actually said that? AGAIN?
oh man. Preibus is going to blow a gasket over this one.
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