WHAT IF!! FROM BLACK SWAN STUDY AKA MMXVI-ALPHA

[bimetalaupt]

WHAT IF THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF THE EARTH INCREASES 1 DEGREE CELSIUS  .  FOOD PRODUCTION INCREASE 25% IN THE NORTH: WOOD PRODUCTION INCREASE 50% IN NORWAY AND RAIN FORECAST UP100% FOR THE JAL RANCH.  GRAPE PRODUCTION IN SCOTLAND UP 200%. ICE FREE PORTS IN RUSSIA FOR SHIPPING OIL UP BY THREE!!!

WHAT IF INCREASE IN TEAR 1 CAPITAL FOR THE FIRST TEAR1 BANKS INCREASE TO 15%: ROE MAX DECLINE 7.5%.  JPM CRASHES(52) AND C > PRICE TO 75. ( NUMBER FROM MMXVI-ALPHA RECAPITALIZATION STUDY)

WHAT IF MISS P WINS!!!  HOMAGE TO ONO.  ANY DOG CAN WIN : HOW ABOUT DAXIA BANK?

MONEY FOR NOTHING AND CHICK FOR FREE: BLACK SEX-LINKS ARE $10.00 PER HEN AND MAY DO THEY PRODUCE.  NOW ONLY IF WE COULD CROSS THE BLACK SEX-LINKS WITH A GOVERNMENT WORKER?

WHAT IF SCANIA NEW 95% ETHANOL COMPRESSION IGNITION POWER IN A TRACTOR MAKE 100% CORN FEED ETHANOL MY COMPOST WORMS MAKE METHANE FREE!!

JUST MY THOUGHT OF WARMING IN OUR SOLAR SYSTEM.. TO MARS WE GO,
BiMetalAuPt


 

[bimetalaupt]

Black Swan study" Major events: big Five.... Study

What if a nut from IS takes out our FEARLESS LEADERS .. VP WILL TAKE OVER AND THE ACT WILL CREATE A UNION OF ALL AMERICANS.  PREY THIS IS ONLY A BAD THOUGHT.  DOES THIS REMIND YOU OF TR OR FDR?

WHAT IF THE FRENCH GOVERNMENT DECLINES TO COVER DAXIA'S LOSES FROM GREEK BONDS OR FAIL TO KEEP THROUGHING GOOD MONEY AFTER BAD INTO THE PITS OF "INSOLVERANCY".  ( I MADE UP THE WORD.. IE NOT SOLVENT FEDERAL GOVERNMENT BONDS)

WHAT IF THE ALSO VERY "INSOLVERANT" FORMER RUSSIAN STATES NEED HUGE CASH INFUSSION: WILL GERMANY BE THEIR DOWNER OR SAVER?

WHAT IF A 100+ TON ROCK HITS THE VERY DEEPEST VERY HARDEST ICE IN THE WORLD? YES, GLOBAL ICE AGE LIKE WOULD MAKE FOR A NEW DARK AGE, NEW ACTION FROM ICELAND AND WE COULD BE DEPENDENT ON THE WARM PART OF THE EARTH FOR FOOD!!!!!

FOR THE GRAND TEST OF OUR FOOD : IF ALL ELSE FAILS COULD WE DEVELOP ENERGY FROM THE CORE OF THE EARTH? COULD WE MAKE ENOUGH LED RED AND BLUE LIGHTS TO RAISE FOOD FOR US AND OUT PRODUCE FUTURE NEEDS IN CAVES LIKE THEY DID IN PETRA!

MY POINT IN THIS BIG FIVE IS:YES THESE ARE LOW PROABILITY BUT POTENCIAL RISKY EVENTS. 

Only a small test for testing the math model aka MMXVI-Alpha Black Swan probability testing

BiMetalAuPt

[bimetalaupt]

WITH THE DECREASE IN M3 GROWTH AND 3.52% DECREASE IN 10 YEAR NOTE RETURN DUK ENERGY AGAINS HAS A 6.6%.  WITH NO ENERGY SHORTAGE AND LITTLE RISK AS JUDGED WITH A BETA OF 0.16 THE STOCK RANKING BY RETIRE AS A BUY. 

dividend........................................ est. growth..................... total return................................... ERP
4.213037%..................................... 4.520000%.................... 8.733037%................................. 6.60%

THIS IS A VERY LONG TERM BUY CALL AS IF THE STOCK DECLINES TO 60 THEN THE MODEL WOULD LOOK LIKE

dividend....................................... est. growth...................... total return.................................... ERP
5.300000%.................................. 4.520000%...................... 9.820000%.................................... 7.68%

JUST A THOUGHT,

BiMetalAuPt

[bimetalaupt]

FROM 2014.. WE DO SEE A REDUCTION IN TOTAL RISK: ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT BUT THE MARKET HAS BEEMN FLAT NOW FOR 9 MONTHS.

Thread started Oct 14, 2014 at 4:04pm Ahamburger likes this.

Quote like Edit t Options

.
Post by bimetalaupt on Oct 14, 2014 at 4:04pm


After a wide range DJTM ended up almost 60 points or up for the year of 2.7019367328%.

But the 10 year T-Notes did more then that in ONE DAY!!!!

CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No (^TNX) -Chicago Options 
2.21 Down 0.08(-3.50%) 2:59PM EDT




AND 30 YEAR T-BONDS BROKE THE 3% LINE!!!

Treasury Yield 30 Years (^TYX) -Chicago Options 
2.96 Down 0.06(-1.89%) 2:59PM EDT




WELL: TOMOROW IS D-DAY FOR EQUITIES....

from MMXVI-ALPHA BASED ON CURRENT DATA 10/14/2014 CLOSING NUMBERS

RIDK.................................... 4608.04875
CURRENT DJIA TARGET..........19419.1077490425
UPSIDE................................ 3098.03774904247
DJIA UPSIDE/RISK.................... 67.2310107189%
djia risk/return........................... 1.4874088449775
Highest risk DJIA.................. 14811.0589990425
PROF/LOSS PER$1.00............... -$0.32769




total sm yield........................................ 1.78%
M3 growth............................................ 5.90%
combination.......................................... 7.68000000000%
erp...................................................... 5.330000000000%
After 2 sd+ correction then
SMALL CAPS........................................ 10.1757000000%
MAR..................................................... 9.81210000000%
DJIA<DJTM........................................... 0.81%
risk/return ..........................................223.65771088931%
return................................................. 8.49%





Just a thought,

BiKMetalAuPt

[bimetalaupt]

The greatest risk is that "Flo" might ware Green Lipstick other then that it might be junk bonds!! Bonds are at risk for increased interest.  What more May I say.

Just a worrying thought,

BiMetelAuPt

from MMXVI-Beta investment risk analyses Math Model Black Swans.

MMXVI-ALPHA Black Swan event study
STRESS TEST STUDY................................ 06/05/15
RIDK .....................................................5906.07375
15 MONTH DJIA PROJECTION................. 22246.4811523916
UPSIDE................................................. 4204.94115239162
DJIA UPSIDE/RISK.................................... 71.1968954399%
djia risk/return....................................... 1.4045556253839
Highest risk DJIA................................... 16340.4074023916
PROF/LOSS PER$1.00............................... -$0.28803

General test is possibilities time portables ( Asymptotic Efficiency page 176-177) Philip Good ( Permutation Tests: first edition)

total sm yield......................................... 1.69%
M3 growth............................................. 2.70%
combination........................................... 4.39000000000%
erp....................................................... 2.404000000000%
After 2 sd+ correction then
SMALL CAPS............................................ 6.4011600000%
MAR....................................................... 5.80348000000%
DJIA<DJTM .............................................0.26%
risk/return ...............................................500.79494651154%
return........................................................ 4.65%
   

[bimetalaupt]

Great day to BUY on the NYSE!! Risk is down and possible returns up!!!!  risk as quoted as RIDK!!!

MMXVI-ALPHA Black Swan event study
STRESS TEST STUDY......................... 06/15/15
RIDK............................................. 5671.351875
15 MONTH DJIA PROJECTION........... 21895.8298163269
UPSIDE.......................................... 4104.65981632687
DJIA UPSIDE/RISK............................ 72.3753331974%
djia risk/return.................................. 1.381686212446
Highest risk DJIA.......................... 16224.4779413269
PROF/LOSS PER$1.00........................ -$0.27625

[bimetalaupt]

BLACK SWANS ARE FLYING IN THE DEATH CROSS FORMATION OVER GREEK THOUGHTLESSNESS: RETIRMENT AFTER 35 YEARS?

Asian stock markets sank Monday after Greece closed its banks and imposed capital controls in a dramatic turn in its struggle with heavy debts.

Oil prices declined and the euro edged down against the dollar after Athens announced the moves to stanch the flow of money out of Greek banks and put pressure on creditors to offer concessions before a bailout program expires Tuesday.

The Shanghai Composite Index fell 3.7 percent to 4,035.48 points despite China's surprise weekend interest rate cut. Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index shed 2.4 percent to 20,218.17 points.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 2.7 percent to 25,949.30 and Sydney's S&P ASX-200 was off 2.3 percent at 5,418.80. Seoul's Kospi dropped 1.4 percent to 2,061.00 and India's Sensex declined 1.6 percent to 27,370.30. The euro slipped to $1.101 from the previous session's $1.116. The dollar declined to 123.15 yen from 123.89 yen.

Greece's Cabinet closed banks for six business days and restricted cash withdrawals. The Athens Stock Exchange was due to be closed Monday. That follows Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras' weekend decision to call a referendum on European and International Monetary Fund proposals for Greek reforms in return for bailout funds.

The accelerating crisis has raised questions about whether Greece might withdraw from the 19-nation euro currency, a move dubbed Grexit.

finance.yahoo.com/news/asian-stock-markets-sink-greece-032205015.html

[bimetalaupt]

THE COMMENTS FROM THE EU IN BRUSSELS HAS THE BLACK SWAN ABOUT GREEK BANKS AS NEEDED DUE TO THE CRISES WITH NO CASH!!

The European Commission gave its blessing to Greece's imposition of capital controls on Monday, saying Athens appeared justified in temporarily breaching EU laws on free capital movement in order to protect its banks.

"As guardian of the Treaties and with a view to safeguarding the integrity of the single market, the Commission has made an immediate, preliminary assessment of the Greek measures that introduce the controls and finds them to be, prima facie, justified," Financial Services Commissioner Jonathan Hill said.

The EU executive could have raised legal objections to the measures, imposed overnight as Greece faces a default on its debt payments after talks with its creditors broke down.

However, Hill said in a statement: "In the current circumstances, the stability of the financial and banking system in Greece constitutes a matter of overriding public interest and public policy that would appear to justify the imposition of temporary restrictions on capital flows."

"Maintaining financial stability is the main and immediate challenge for the country."

"While the imposed restrictive measures appear necessary and proportionate at this time, the free movement of capital will however need to be reinstated as soon as possible in the interest of the Greek economy, the euro zone, and the European Union's single market as a whole," the statement added.

finance.yahoo.com/news/greece-imposes-capital-controls-crisis-011908384.html

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Well the worms ate all the BS, now we see how much Portugal and Italy are going to have to pay. But what about the insolvent Ukraine? Europe is one of China's biggest trading partners? The war has gone global...

On the other hand the US housing market is strong as hell, oil production has hit a floor and rig count actually climbed which has led to a rebound in manufacturing. Savings and income say the USA is in for a good summer and back to school which will lead into the biggest shopping season of the year.

North America, the light of the world once again.

[bimetalaupt]

Jul 1, 2015 2:00:34 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

Well the worms ate all the BS, now we see how much Portugal and Italy are going to have to pay. But what about the insolvent Ukraine? Europe is one of China's biggest trading partners? The war has gone global...

On the other hand the US housing market is strong as hell, oil production has hit a floor and rig count actually climbed which has led to a rebound in manufacturing. Savings and income say the USA is in for a good summer and back to school which will lead into the biggest shopping season of the year.

North America, the light of the world once again.

A++++,

The Worms are doing very well eating green garbage from all my Green Friends: they  did not know now much went into the land fill.  Last fall they were asking me why I collected leaves: My worms love the bedding. 

A++++,

T-Bond bull got is Testosterone level up again today.  The Ten Year was wild with interest rate dropping by more then 4%. 
CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No (^TNX) -Chicago Options REMEMBER: INTERREST RATE DOWN THEN BONDS WERE UP
2.28 Down..................................................... 0.12(4.81%) 2:59PM EDT
Prev Close:............................2.39
Open:....................................2.32
Day's Range:..........................2.28 - 2.35
52wk Range:..........................1.65 - 2.64

Treasury Yield 30 Years (^TYX) -Chicago Options 
3.07 Down 0.12(3.79%) 2:59PM EDT
Prev Close:..................................3.19
Open:..........................................3.12
Day's Range:...............................3.07 - 3.14
52wk Range:................................2.23 - 3.46

WHAT MORE MAY I SAY: MY BOND 50% (BOND + KASH)ON EXPERT 50/50 IS NOW 54.4313%.. WE HAD A HUGE DAY ON EXPERT TODAY!!!

THIS REMINDS ME OF 2008... TRADED IN MARCH AND NOVEMBER: MADE $$$$$$$$$ IN BONDS

JUST A THOUGHT: GOD BLESS

BiMetalAuPt  &

[bimetalaupt]

HOW ABOUT THAT 2.1870 AT 11AM EDT? GHAT WAS A WILD AM BUT ENDED SOFT AT

CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No (^TNX) -Chicago Options  Watchlist
2.23 Down 0.05(2.06%) 3:38PM EDT
Prev Close:......................................................................2.28 

Open:.............................................................................2.23
Day's Range:...................................................................2.19 - 2.24
52wk Range:...................................................................1.65 - 2.64

Headlines
.
US stocks end higher as Greece debt talks proceedAP(Tue 4:13PM EDT)
U.S. Stocks Fall Further as Traders Probe What Lies Beneathat The Wall Street Journal(Tue 12:29PM EDT)
Charting the S&P 500’s precarious postureat MarketWatch(Tue 11:56AM EDT)
Why Stock Gains Will Shrink in the Years Aheadat Kiplinger(Tue 11:20AM EDT)
US stocks edge lower in early trade as Greece talks proceedAP(Tue 9:46AM EDT)
U.S. 10-year TIPS breakeven hits 3-week lowReuters(Tue 8:48AM EDT)
US stocks slip amid global sell-off after Greek 'no' voteAP(Tue 1:30AM EDT)
Stocks and oil drop on concerns about Greece, ChinaReuters(Mon, Jul 6)
Is this the time to buy bunds?at MarketWatch(Mon, Jul 6)
Treasury yields fall to two-week low on heels of Greek voteat MarketWatch(Mon, Jul 6)
US stocks fall after Greek 'no' vote; European markets sinkAP(Mon, Jul 6)
Here’s the Root of Our Financial Problemsat Money(Mon, Jul 6)
Muted Greek Fallout So Far Offers Fed Little Reason for Concernat Bloomberg(Mon, Jul 6)
US stocks slip after Greek 'no' vote; European markets sinkAP(Mon, Jul 6)
TREASURIES-Yields fall after Greek 'no' vote raises uncertaintyReuters(Mon, Jul 6)

» More Headlines for ^TNX


.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

A++++,
The Worms are doing very well eating green garbage from all my Green Friends: they did not know now much went into the land fill. Last fall they were asking me why I collected leaves: My worms love the bedding.

Now that is what I call asset development. Acquiring assets at zero cost.

& Sophia or was that Tanz?

Shanghai had dropped another 7% off the hop and the market rout is spilling into car sales.. 2008 you said, right? Another 20% from the 7% today is as bad as 1929 USA and there has never been a RE bubble like this one..

God bless,

A

[bimetalaupt]

Jul 7, 2015 20:48:36 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

A++++,
The Worms are doing very well eating green garbage from all my Green Friends: they did not know now much went into the land fill. Last fall they were asking me why I collected leaves: My worms love the bedding.

Now that is what I call asset development. Acquiring assets at zero cost.

& Sophia or was that Tanz?

Shanghai had dropped another 7% off the hop and the market rout is spilling into car sales.. 2008 you said, right? Another 20% from the 7% today is as bad as 1929 USA and there has never been a RE bubble like this one..

God bless,

A

A ,

My Banker Grandfather thought me: Bonds are the house you live in!!!!NOW FOR THER FREE BEDING FROM THE LEAF LITTER AND WORM FOOD FROM THE KITCHEN CUTTINGS..MY WORMS LOVE MY FREE GREENS.  COFFEE GROUNDS ARE E. HORTENSIS MOST LOVED FOOD.  FREE TO EAT AND DOES NOT TAKE UP SPACE IN THE LAND FILL. 

SO WHAT DO THE WORMS PAY BACK WITH: WORM TEA FOR THE GARDEN AND OIL SPILL.  GREEN STUFF LIKE YUKON GOLD AND BLACK BEANS. 

LUNCH,

BRUCE...TANZ IS THE BETTEWR BIRD DOG: WE MAKE A TRADE OFF: HE GETS A BLUE BUFFOLO DOGIE TREAT FOR EVERY BIRD HE RETRIVES. 

[bimetalaupt]

THE TEN YEAR T-NOTE WAS UP AGAIN Today: more important then the NYSE Computer Glitch is CHINA'S CRASH ESP ON THE OIL AND COPPER MARKET....

CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No (^TNX) -Chicago Options 
2.21....................... Down 0.03(1.12%)  IE BOND PRICES WERE UP
Prev Close:..................................2.23
Open:..........................................2.22
Day's Range:.................................2.20 - 2.25
52wk Range:................................1.65 - 2.64
..




.Headlines
.
FOMC MinutesBenzinga(Wed 2:03PM EDT)
U.S. Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes for June 17 (Text)at Bloomberg(Wed 2:00PM EDT)
Glitch halts trading on NYSE; other exchanges unaffectedAP(Wed 12:15PM EDT)
Why Stock Gains Will Shrink in the Years Aheadat Kiplinger(Wed 12:10PM EDT)
US stocks head lower as China fails to halt market slideAP(Wed 11:26AM EDT)
In Big Reversal, U.S. Stocks Overcome Sharp Losses to End Higherat The Wall Street Journal(Wed 12:29AM EDT)
Government Bonds in U.S., Germany, U.K. Rally on Global Uncertaintiesat The Wall Street Journal(Wed 12:28AM EDT)
US stocks end higher as Greece debt talks proceedAP(Tue, Jul 7)
U.S. Stocks Fall Further as Traders Probe What Lies Beneathat The Wall Street Journal(Tue, Jul 7)
Charting the S&P 500’s precarious postureat MarketWatch(Tue, Jul 7)
US stocks edge lower in early trade as Greece talks proceedAP(Tue, Jul 7)
U.S. 10-year TIPS breakeven hits 3-week lowReuters(Tue, Jul 7)
US stocks slip amid global sell-off after Greek 'no' voteAP(Mon, Jul 6)
Stocks and oil drop on concerns about Greece, ChinaReuters(Mon, Jul 6)
Is this the time to buy bunds?at MarketWatch(Mon, Jul 6)

JUST A THOUGHT,

BiMetalAuPt

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Well ridk sure liked the idea of stopping sellers and no action on over 50% of the market, eh ? So pissing off the last of the big investors is the strategy for financial stability?? Talk about making a bad situation worse and then pouring gasoline on....

Free asset development: It's good being green! I like having my processing facilities paid for through infrastructure, then being paid to take all waste of every kind and turn it all into a variety of value added products - which I'm also paid for. Plus, I need to get rid of a bunch of good quality dirt.

[bimetalaupt]

Return of risk and the black flag of a VERY low VIX!!! The current ris on the stock market is now for every dollar invested in a major risk spread is  $0.29 .

MMXVI-ALPHA Black Swan event study
STRESS TEST STUDY 07/17/15
RIDK.............................................................. 5948.176875
15 MONTH DJIA PROJECTION...................... 22309.6388245596
UPSIDE.......................................................... 4223.18882455956
DJIA UPSIDE/RISK............................................ 70.9997182886%
djia risk/return.................................................... 1.40845629265
Highest risk DJIA.......................................... 16361.4619495596
PROF/LOSS PER$1.00 .......................................(-$0.29000)

hopping on the worms to feed the QUAIL AND DEER!!!

JUST a thought,

Bruce

total sm yield 1.69%
M3 growth 2.10%
combination 3.79000000000%
erp 1.804000000000%
After 2 sd+ correction then
SMALL CAPS 5.6271600000%
MAR 4.98148000000%
DJIA<DJTM 0.26%
risk/return 575.97472132012%
return 4.05%

[bimetalaupt]

WITH THE DECLINE IN DJIA AND DJTM WE ARE EXPERANCING THE DECLINE IN RISK (RIDK) AS DENOTED BY MMXV-ALPHA RISK STUDY MODEL:

YES WE HAVE BEEN LOOKING FOR THIS WITH THE FACT M1 WAS NEGITIVE 0.8%FOR MAY 2015, DUK DID BRACK THE TREND DUE TO HUGE NUMBER OF MARGIN CALLS HAD TO BE FUNDED AND THE WORD DUK MIGHT BUY TE!!

Just a thought,

Bruce aka BiMetalAuPt

MMXVI-ALPHA Black Swan event study
STRESS TEST STUDY.......................... 07/24/15
RIDK................................................ 5462.626875
15 MONTH DJIA PROJECTION............. 21586.0773051148
UPSIDE........................................... 4017.54730511485
DJIA UPSIDE/RISK.............................. 73.5460685316%
djia risk/return......................................1.3596919862139
Highest risk DJIA........................... 16123.4504301149
PROF/LOSS PER$1.00......................... -$0.26454

projection with black swans= 550.5022297068%

total sm yield................................................ 1.69%
M3 growth.................................................... 2.20%
combination................................................. 3.89000000000%
erp.............................................................. 1.904000000000%
After 2 sd+ correction then
SMALL CAPS................................................ 5.7561600000%
MAR............................................................ 5.11848000000%
DJIA<DJTM................................................. 0.26%
risk/return.............................................. 550.50222970768%
return......................................................... 4.15% vs 2.97% go 30 year bonds!!!!

 

[flow5]

The resiliency of the economy has been greatly diminished - even as folks deleveraged. The credit worthiness of borrowers has declined. Marginalized assets, NIMs, etc., are subject to world-wide economic contagion.  Cascading bankruptcies are much more likely

[bimetalaupt]

Jul 25, 2015 13:50:07 GMT -5 flow5 said:

The resiliency of the economy has been greatly diminished - even as folks deleveraged. The credit worthiness of borrowers has declined. Marginalized assets, NIMs, etc., are subject to world-wide economic contagion.  Cascading bankruptcies are much more likely

YES!!!!!!!

[bimetalaupt]

Bonds are hot   : sure sign of world of worry. The buy on DUK is pushed on the 30 Y T-Bond..ERP of 6.8% ( buy from a math model MMXVI-Alpha for retirement 30 year test!! ( ERP===Equity Risk Premium )

Just a thought

Bruce

dividend.............. est. growth......................... total return......................ERP
4.520548%........ 4.520000%.......................... 9.040548%.................... 6.80%

10 year t-note = 2.2360%

30 year t-bond = 2.9500%

DUK = 73.000

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Had a feeling you would be feeling pretty chipper.

Bond investors’ sentiment is soaring as China stocks implode

The bull market in bonds continued to push prices higher and drive yields lower

I think I have said this about four times now. The best time to raise rates is when things are going into the dumps because rates will be pushed lower due to the wall of worry! Thus keeping the RE market on track, WHILE rates being to rise.. JMO.

[bimetalaupt]

dividend ..................................est. growth........................ total return....................... ERP
4.398241%............................ 4.520000%.......................... 8.918241%..................... 6.75%

With the AM quote for DUK at $75.03 it is interest to note the market is saying no interest increase in September!!!   World wide interest in China as Chine is deep in debt: debt to GDP is over 200%.  This to  me means a 100% possibility of a world wide China Depression in 2016-2020!  The black swans are in the Depression formation!! What are going to sell to?  Now for the PIIGS!! We have only kicked the can down the road to recovery!!

Thoughts?

Bruce  

WHAT MORE MAY I SAY: T- BONDS ARE HOT!!!  august IS THE WRONG MONTH FOR DJIA AND THE RIGHT MONTH FOR T-BONDS

Treasury Yield 30 Years (^TYX) -Chicago Options
2.85 Down................................. 0.07(2.49%) 1:26PM EDT
Prev Close:.................................2.93
Open:........................................2.91
Day's Range:..............................2.85 - 2.92
52wk Range:...............................2.23 - 3.39

CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T NoTE (^TNX) -Chicago Options 
2.1530 Down.................................... 0.0520(2.36%) 1:31PM EDT

Day's Range:....................................2.1410 - 2.2070
52wk Range:.....................................1.65 - 2.64
   ( AGAIN: INTEREST RATE DOWN MEANS T-BONDS AND T-NOTES ARE UP!!)

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

,

You are asking the wrong questions my friend. It's not what are they going to sell us, it's what are we going to sell them?

Mohammed and Charlemagne Revisited: The History of a Controversy

the ancient classical civilization, which Rome had established throughout Europe and the Mediterranean world, was not destroyed by the Barbarians who invaded the western provinces in the fifth century, it was destroyed by the Arabs, whose conquest of the Middle East and North Africa terminated Roman civilization in those regions and cut off Europe from any further trading and cultural contact with the East. According to Pirenne, it was only in the mid-seventh century that the characteristic features of classical life disappeared from Europe, after which time the continent began to develop its own distinctive and somewhat primitive medieval culture.

-Police Warn of No-Go Zones in Germany
-Calais migrant crisis: UK and France urge EU action

[bimetalaupt]

You are asking the wrong questions my friend. It's not what are they going to sell us, it's what are we going to sell them?

A++++ & company, LLP,

Food: the next change in world economics. Water and food are more valuable then oil!!!  As far as the Sensitive water recharging deep sand pits : my extenuation study needs a real clarification.  The Bottom study has been leaf litter and paper slurry with corn meal to feed the worms.  The small top soil has been market dependent: this has changed as Wal-Mart now has Peat moss & coconut at $5.00/ bag vs. $8.00 bag for Scott Moisture Advantage at Home Depot. Wal-Mart also has Woodchips for the bottom.   We are testing Common Alfalfa vs. Bulldog 805-5  dry land hot alfalfa.   I want to see China real Texas Alfalfa feed Cow.  We are going to plant five test risers with the 805-5 this October and replant any failure again and again with every increasing water.  Anyone for Hunan Texas Beef!!

Now for bonds: we are again in a bull market!!!!! My answer might be we and going to sell then beef and buy their bonds.  My friends with Birth in China are all doing very well.  Sell them bonds!!

We may want to sell them sticky rice!!

Just a thought,

Bruce

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

the , It's all about time. Truck loads of worms, slurry, Pitt, and chips all over; plus years upon years of after work onsite all over to ensure growth. Doing business in China would be fun, but I don't want to birth there... Sounds like you need some fill. Either way you're going to need big equipment on site. JMO...

Food ya! But we also have oil and machinery.. The restoration of the silk road will be built for the army traveling it.

Bonds and stocks have been a wild ride this year... You're probably right..

God bless,

yes i'm sure it will be a LLP&Co.

Edit: PS forget about the sticky rice. We don't want them thinking that we want them to make sushi so we better just stick to long grain.

[bimetalaupt]

Aug 4, 2015 23:47:58 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

the , It's all about time. Truck loads of worms, slurry, Pitt, and chips all over; plus years upon years of after work onsite all over to ensure growth. Doing business in China would be fun, but I don't want to birth there... Sounds like you need some fill. Either way you're going to need big equipment on site. JMO...

Food ya! But we also have oil and machinery.. The restoration of the silk road will be built for the army traveling it.

Bonds and stocks have been a wild ride this year... You're probably right..

God bless,

yes i'm sure it will be a LLP&Co.

Edit: PS forget about the sticky rice. We don't want them thinking that we want them to make sushi so we better just stick to long grain.

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BY ALAN R. ELLIOTT

06:31 PM ET

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Hints of fresh monetary stimulus launched an uneven rally across Europe's markets Thursday, adding some updraft to already rising U.S stocks. Frankfurt's DAX punched up 2.5%. The CAC-40 in Paris settled off its high with a 2.3% gain, while across the Channel, London's FTSE 100 rose less than a half-percent. For the week, the DAX is up 3.8%. The CAC-40 has a 2.1% gain. The FTSE 100 is flat. The three indexes had hung in narrowly mixed trade ahead... Continue Reading »
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t's a little tough to fathom: Russia's benchmark Micex stock index has gained 22% since Dec. 31 vs. a 1.8% drop for the S&P 500 and a 3.7% decline for the Dow. The full picture is a little more complicated. The world's second largest oil exporter, hamstrung by harsh international sanctions and seriously diminished oil prices, is battling deep economic trials. The Micex ended 2014 down 6.5%. This year, the index spiked 32% through mid-February. It... Continue Reading »

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BY ALAN R. ELLIOTT

10/21/2015 05:29 PM ET

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What the market is saying per MMX-Pt: are looking at recovery where the market tanked!!  The market is never wrong:
Jesse Lauriston Livermore (July 26, 1877 – November 28, 1940), also known as the Boy Plunger[1] and the Great Bear of Wall Street, was an American stock trader. He was famed for making and losing several multimillion-dollar fortunes and short selling during the stock market crashes in 1907 and 1929.
Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Yep, the market is saying that Europe's economy is in the toilet, and the migration crisis is set to be the straw that broke the camels back..

The Great Negative Rates Experiment: The Swedes, Danes, and Swiss venture to the subzero zone.



Mr. Livermore should have listened to his own advice and he would have done more than okay. My new favorite saying: getting rich slowly is the quickest and easiest way.

[bimetalaupt]

Oct 22, 2015 21:19:43 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

Yep, the market is saying that Europe's economy is in the toilet, and the migration crisis is set to be the straw that broke the camels back..

The Great Negative Rates Experiment: The Swedes, Danes, and Swiss venture to the subzero zone.



Mr. Livermore should have listened to his own advice and he would have done more than okay. My new favorite saying: getting rich slowly is the quickest and easiest way.

A+++++, &company
My grandfather L. had a friend that bought every stock on the NYSE that was selling for under $1.00 in 1939.  He sold the remaining 85% for a 500% profit in 1945.  I have always wondered what they would be worth today if he had not sold. 
 One more about thinking ahead of the curve:
The Duke's two Sons

There was a very rich but old Duke that lived on the French and German boarder whom was known for great Red Wine blends. He iced his wines so the alcohol content and flavor would concentrate. His collection of wine bottles from around the world was massive.

The oldest of the two princes was very Conservative and only wanted the very best sovereign bonds. He sold the castle with the vines and massive wine cast to the younger brother. The wine was good but at first only paid the interest on the loans.

Every year the bonds were worth less and less. After 7 years the bottles in the wine cellar were worth more then the bonds the older Prince held. By the 8th year the younger prince was debt free and in need of an account to run his business. Who else was he to hire but his brother.
The name I know:Duke Fredrick Wassweiler; The brothers were know as Fredrick II and Robert aka BOB. The story ends in Blood of WWI. The land is now part of Luxembourg.

One more story about non-alcoholic drink: Coke, Pepsie and Dr.Pepper were each formulated by a Pharmacist .  ALL three have a long history of growth, high returns of equity and dividends.

Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

,

I'm guessing that using your math models you can get pretty close to figuring out the value of the stocks bought in '39...

The question being, even though we are talking about the blood of WW3 coming only 100 yrs after WW1.. Which is worth more; paper in NY or land in Luxembourg??

I hear you about Coke and the likes. Yes, I think a drink that does what these were supposed to would make for some good pharma..

God bless,

A++++&Co - Aka the

[bimetalaupt]

A+++++,
Try this again.  For one I think land has been a better investment then paper most of the time.  The best use of land is 100% of the future value.  Like adding better vines to old vineyards we lose to gain.  In the 1880 French wine industry was almost destroyed until T.V. Munson exported wood for LeNoir to France.  Today the only American  Hybrid used in the great growth of Bordeaux is Le Noir (Clarence is 100%).  Wine that has 15% ethanol is also stable for years or more.
As far as Paper is concern : the T-Bond market is the most liquid of any market.  It is more liquid then options, stock , ETF or commodities.  KA$H IS KING. Yes: but you may use T-bonds at 90% to borrow $$$$$.  All assets may be valued on Discounted Cash Flow.

Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt