Tyfighter3 Caps Picks OT

[tyfighter3]

tyfighter3 beat the market on Friday
Player Rating
92.17

(+0.11) Rank: 5719 out of 73122
Score: 846.53 (+42.00)
Accuracy: 59.26%
Average Pick Score: +7.49
Average Pick Rating:
All-Time Best: KONG +168.77
All-Time Worst: NVAX -65.89


Results 1 - 16 of 16
picks per page. CHANGE
.Top
Pick Start
Date Ticker CAPS Rating Call Time Frame Start Price Today (Change) Stock
Gain Index
Gain Score End Date Pitch
02/08/11 DD 5Y $53.34 $54.07
( +1.94%) +1.36% -0.04% +1.40
01/07/11 XOM 5Y $75.20 $85.34
( -0.73%) +13.48% +4.32% +9.16
01/07/11 BA 5Y $69.40 $72.30
( +2.18%) +4.18% +4.32% -0.14
11/17/10 FTI 5Y $76.78 $92.64
( +3.51%) +20.66% +11.73% +8.93
11/17/10 WLL 5Y $52.67 $65.42
( +2.22%) +24.22% +11.73% +12.49
11/17/10 EOG 5Y $90.50 $111.75
( +1.43%) +23.49% +11.73% +11.76
11/17/10 SM 5Y $48.47 $72.07
( +6.49%) +48.69% +11.73% +36.96
11/17/10 ATW 5Y $35.73 $45.59
( +3.43%) +27.60% +11.73% +15.87
11/15/10 NOG 5Y $19.27 $31.70
( +7.35%) +64.50% +9.53% +54.98
11/15/10 DO 5Y $68.53 $77.60
( +1.68%) +13.23% +9.53% +3.70
11/15/10 HP 5Y $45.91 $64.78
( +4.60%) +41.09% +9.74% +31.35
11/15/10 BEXP 5Y $24.90 $35.51
( +5.46%) +42.61% +9.74% +32.87
11/11/10 RIG 5Y $69.48 $82.80
( +2.70%) +19.17% +8.87% +10.31
03/11/10 NVAX 5Y $2.38 $2.34
( +0.43%) -1.68% +15.37% -17.05
01/13/10 GE 5Y $16.19 $20.82
( +1.17%) +28.62% +16.13% +12.49
12/21/09 F 5Y $9.77 $15.07
( +2.52%) +54.25% +19.47% +34.77

Results 1 - 16 of 16

[tyfighter3]

Barb, be free to tear it apart.

[dothedd]

Hey Ty,

It looks good to me! I'm transferring it to a spread sheet so I can follow it more closely.

I like the new KARMA buttons ... I never announce when I give Karma, but this is too good to pass up.

[dothedd]

Actually, Ty, I have a spread sheet in my other computer last posted to 11 17 10 that I will update.

11/17/2010 FTI 5Y $76.78 $83.64 8.56% 1.14% 7.42
( +2.71%)


11/15/2010 NOG 5Y $19.27 $22.66 17.64% -0.85% 18.5
( +2.07%)


I need to spend some time learning to post "art" and "spread sheets."

My VRTX sell bell just rang .....

Later,

barb

[dothedd]

11/15/2010 NOG 5Y $19.27 $22.66 17.64% -0.85% 18.5
( +2.07%)

High today 32.88

[dothedd]

Use Your Noggin, Put Some NOG In Your Portfolio
Mar. 4 2011 - 3:59 pm

Northern Oil and Gas (NOG – Snapshot Report) recently spiked to a new all-time high on the company’s strong Q4 results and rising crude prices. Throw in a bullish 78% growth projection and this Zacks #1 rank stock is a momentum leader.

Northern Oil and Ga operates as a domestic explorer of natural gas and oil primarily in the Rocky Mountains with a market cap of $1.64 billion.

With energy prices spiking on growing political conflict in the Middle East, energy stocks are in favor. That and strong Q4 results from early March recently lifted shares of NOG to a new all-time high.

Fourth-Quarter Results

Oil and gas sales for the period were up 54% from last year to $24 million. And although earnings of 13 cents came in one penny short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate, it was a nice jump from last year’s 3 cents.

The driver of the strong quarter was a simple mix of higher prices and increased production, where NOG’s average price for a barrel of crude increase to $70.09 from $56.85 last year. Production came in at a record 341,074, a solid increase of 36% from last year.

NOG is also a very “oily” play, with 95% of its production consisting of crude, making it somewhat unique in the crude/natural gas space with its heavy allocation to crude.

Financial Profile

NOG also has a very strong financial profile, with cash and equivalents of $152 million and no long-term debt.

Estimates

We’ve seen some pretty decent movement in estimates over the last few months as crude continues to grind higher, with the current year adding 8 cents to $1.03 and the next-year estimate gaining 24 cents to $1.85, a bullish 78% growth projection.

Valuation

But in spite of the gains, the valuation picture still looks solid, with a forward P/E of 31X well below its peer average of 49X and a PEG Ratio (PE/Growth) of .62, well below the benchmark of 1 for value.

12-Month Chart

On the chart, NOG has been strong for the last 6 months, recently hitting a new all-time high as crude continues to jump higher. Look for support from the long-term trend, take a look below.
CHART: blogs.forbes.com/zacks/2011/03/04/use-your-noggin-and-put-some-nog-in-your-portfolio/?partner=yahootix

[tyfighter3]

This Q will be real good to for NOG. Right now profit taking is under way, so if you want a entry point, watch it closely because when the buying comes back in it will go right back up. JMO
www.investors.com/newsandanalysis/article/565347/201103081537/Oil-Industry-Leaders-May-Be-Refueling.aspx?ven=djcp

[dothedd]

OK, Ty....

I'm back in with 200 shares near the bottom. I will add if it's still a good buy when my PNC funds clear.

What do you think about the price action the next couple of trading days?

I have to go to Indiana in the AM ... so will watch it on the road.

Hope you are having a good day!

barb

Damn, there is a lot of RED on the screens today.

[dothedd]

P.S.

ALMOST TIME TO WHOOP SOME GOLF BALLS!

I'm out of here the 24th of April until about the middle of May ...

[tyfighter3]

Good reading.
seekingalpha.com/article/257460-northern-oil-and-gas-due-for-a-technical-and-fundamental-post-earnings-bounce?source=msn

[dothedd]

I missed this e-mail, but I read the article; thanks for remininding me I need to update my DD. I like the resource so I peruse it frequently for stocks of interest.

[dothedd]

Ty,

You have MSN HOTMAIL.

barb