Money supply (M3) growth faster then DEBT. rated a++

[bimetalaupt]

Debt to M3 now at 1.02066898667092.

This puts USDebt rating my MMXV-Beta at A++; Yes there is a shortage in Long Term Bonds because of demand from Pension funds , Banks and Insurance Firms!



Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt

Current M3= 17057.44
Current Debt =17410

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Dr L.,

More evidence that the FRB can exit by Oct. without a giant spike in rates? Per R. Fisher..

[bimetalaupt]

May 11, 2014 23:01:10 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

Dr L.,

More evidence that the FRB can exit by Oct. without a giant spike in rates? Per R. Fisher..

A+++,
Per ECON 689: 30 Year T-bond rates are a street progression of long term inflation: Wall Street is saying almost no inflation.
Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt

Mathematics . a succession of quantities in which there is a constant relation between each member and the one succeeding it. Compare arithmetic progression, geometric progression, harmonic progression.

Jesse Livermore Quotes
by
ChartSpeak
Sunday, April 6, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
You can join our email list to receive th
is report and others
on the home page of
LeavittBrothers.com
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------
Jesse Livermore quotes...many nuggets of wisdom. Pr
int this and read it over and over (bold
emphasis is ours).
It is what people actually did in
the stock market that counted
– not what they said they were
going to do.
Livermore studied his mistakes objectively...”
the only way you get a real education in the market
is to invest cash, track your
trade, and study your mistakes
...It is emotionally difficult to review
your mistakes, since the speculator must wade
through his own bad trades
and blunders. And these
are not simple blunders; thes
e are blunders that cost money.
Anyone who has lost money by
investing poorly knows how difficult
it is to reexami
ne what occurred.
The examination of a losing
trade is tortuous but necessary to ensure that it will not happen again
.”
Livermore was brutal in self-analysis. He told his s
ons his conclusions: “Successful trading is always
an emotional battle for the speculator, not an inte
lligent battle.”...He knew that his biggest enemy
was his own emotions.
“We are the sum total of our experience.” W
hen asked what makes a good stock speculator,
Livermore replied “...it’s an aptitude for the game, a
stomach for the ride, and
the ability to see what
is happening without emotion. T
he ability to make observati
ons that others don’t and a good
memory....Only speculate if you can make it a full-ti
me job. Don’t take tips
of any kind, no matter
where they come from. Don’t worry about catc
hing tops or bottoms, that’s fools play.
Keep the
number of stocks you own to a controllable number
. It’s hard to herd cats, and it’s hard to track
a lot of securities.
Take your losses quickly and don’t brood about them
. Try to learn from them
but mistakes are as inevitable
as death. And only make a big mo
ve, a real big plunge, when a
majority of factors are in your favor....
every once in a while you must
go to cash, take a break
,
take a vacation.
Don’t try to play the market all the
time. It can’t be done, too tough on the
emotions
.”
The unsuccessful investor is best friends wit
h hope, and hope skips along life’s path hand in hand
with greed when it comes to
the stock market. Once
a stock trade is entered
, hope springs to life. It
is human nature to be positive, to hope for the best.
Hope is an important survival technique. But
hope, like its stock market cousin’s ignorance, gr
eed, and fear, distorts
reason. See the stock
market only deals in facts, in reality, in reason, and
the stock market is never wrong. Traders are
wrong
. Like the spinning of a roulette wheel, the littl
e black ball tells the final outcome, not greed,
fear or hope. The result is
objective and final, with no appeal.
I believe that the public wants to be led, to be
instructed, to be told what to do. They want
reassurance. They will always move en masse, a
mob, a herd, a group,
because people want the
safety of human company. They are afraid to st
and alone because they want to be safely included
within the herd, not to be the l
one calf standing on the desolate,
dangerous, wolf-patrolled prairie of
contrary opinion.
First, do not be invested in
the market all the time.
There are many times when I have been
completely in cash, especially when I was unsure
of the direction of th
e market and waiting
for a confirmation of the next move
....Second, it is the change in the major trend that hurts most
speculators.

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

,

The 30 yr bond has an amazing track record! Amazing how all this debt will keep inflation at bay, eh?

I like what you have posted about Jessie Livermore.. Two quotes that really stick out...

"...it’s an aptitude for the game, a stomach for the ride, and the ability to see what is happening without emotion. The ability to make observati ons that others don’t and a good memory...."

"They are afraid to stand alone because they want to be safely included
within the herd, not to be the lone calf standing on the desolate, dangerous, wolf-patrolled prairie of contrary opinion.

First, do not be invested in the market all the time. There are many times when I have been completely in cash, especially when I was unsure of the direction of the market and waiting for a confirmation of the next move.

....Second, it is the change in the major trend that hurts most speculators."

Love it!! For me I will keep collecting the dividends, but I don't mind having a pile of KASH on hand!!

Reminds me of the quote "you have to have balls of gold!"

Thanks for posting that again!!

God bless,

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Hey Dr. L, just another thing we called, eh?

Shrinking U.S. deficit could help keep interest rates low

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Looks like you can add another item to your list, .

God bless,



Emerging Markets Snap Up Cheap Dollars to Build Reserves

[bimetalaupt]

May 13, 2014 23:44:29 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

Looks like you can add another item to your list, .

God bless,



Emerging Markets Snap Up Cheap Dollars to Build Reserves

If You're Just Watching The Stock Market, You're Missing The Biggest Bull Market In The World

Read more: www.businessinsider.com/the-bond-rally-2014-5#ixzz31uXjSNmu

Yesterday Dave Lutz of Stifel Nicolaus blasted out a few theories why there's so much interest in the subject.

One was that the ECB is likely to ease policy soon, depressing interest rates in Europe and creating more demand for U.S. bonds in the process.

There's also a lot of talk about "positioning." Lots of folks were short bonds, and when everyone is short, then at some point everyone has to buy, so there may be a short-squeeze element.

In addition to all that, today we got weak economic data out of Europe, which furthers the idea that things aren't solved in the world.

None of this is a totally satisfactory answer for why U.S. Treasurys are on a tear. But it is the big story that everyone is watching.

Read more: www.businessinsider.com/the-bond-rally-2014-5#ixzz31uY6YDh9

DAVE HAS A REAL POINT! BACK TO THE EXPERT 50/50: NOW IN THE NEUTERED STATE!

DEFENCE STARTS AT THE TOP OF THE MARKET: OFFENCE AT THE BOTTOM. 

ALL BANKS AND INSURANCE FIRMS NEED TO BUY T-BONDS: IT IS A MUST AS WITH SS SYSTEM.  Yes there is and will increasing be a shortage of T-Bonds.

Just a thought,

BiMetalAuPt

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

The BULL market continues!!

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

Interesting bond auction today. It would appear as if m3 wants to flow into some higher yeilds??

10-year Treasury Yields Hit Highest In A Month

[bimetalaupt]

THE BOND BULL MARKET IS RUNNING TODAY THERE IS A HUGE DEMAND FOR A++ T-NOTE AND T-BONDS

CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No (^TNX) -Chicago Options 

2.52 Down 0.04(1.48%) 12:07PM EDT

Treasury Yield 30 Years (^TYX) -Chicago Options
3.35 Down 0.04(1.04%) 12:40PM EDT

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

So, in other words a correction over the summer will help the taper?

[bimetalaupt]

Jun 26, 2014 21:10:00 GMT -5 Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger said:

So, in other words a correction over the summer will help the taper?

A++++,

Bullard said interest will rise: What happened...Bonds up, Stock Down, Economy stimulation M1 up 12.6%, Inflation up as are Natural Resources stocks like oil. 

Check out the results:    Equity Risk Premium = 4.670941061802430%.  DJIA= 18,000 BY 2015

Just a thought,

BiMetalAuPt
 

Expert 50/50 real world portfolio is very much DELTA positive. 

 

[Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger]

I hear ya. What about retirement and fixed income? Lots have taken on excess risk because of low rates. Once the FED is done tapering and rates go up wouldn't you expect less risk from people that are closer to retirement? I know about three people my age that invest....

At no point since we met have the swans been lining up like they are now. Not saying we won't hit 18,000, however, the fundamentals of the economy are not well and the economy always wins!

As you say, just a thought,