Trading Ideas or Investments for Shorter Time Frame

[clarkrl2]

bought DCO (Ducommun Inc.) @$25.80 from the earnings beat MRQ with recent upward estimate revisions screen.

[bimetalaupt]

Jul 8, 2014 11:21:57 GMT -5 clarkrl2 said:

bought DCO (Ducommun Inc.) @$25.80 from the earnings beat MRQ with recent upward estimate revisions screen.

Why?  PEG 2.32 and Fast Stoc 38.79  and declining  and 7% growth in an Micro Cap.. (edited 18:05 by Bi to remove something ) 
S&P warns of ExIm Bank risk for Boeing
This is a very poor articular from FT: sounds like 6 grade rambling with out an editor: simple loser will be GE, Boeing, IBM and the American WORKER IF the Export-Import bank is not renewed.    



www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4a91c3b6-06b3-11e4-b0d3-00144feab7de.html#axzz36upmhV8x

[clarkrl2]

bimetalaupt you're post is so preposterous that it doesn't deserve comment but since pumping and dumping is illegal I'll go ahead and respond.

First in regards to the pump and accusation: The stock trades on average a value of over $1 million per day and its listed on the NYSE. Also the title of the thread clearly indicates that I am intending on trading these stocks short term. I recently posted information on the average gain and average days held. I give the basic criteria I use in the original post and the following two posts. I don't believe there is anything misleading about my claims. 

Second in regards to valuation: The only real valuation criteria I use in my screen is the Price to free cash flow has to be less than 10. While the PEG is high, the price to sales is .38 and the price to book 1.16. I really believe the 7% long term growth estimate is too low. They just signed a new contract with Spirit AeroSystems for the Boeing 737 Max which I doubt is included in that estimate. article

Third in regards to technical analysis: A low stochastic reading is regarded as a good entry point. I have no idea why you have a problem with the fast stochastic being at 38.79. The chart I use to indicate an uptrend is a weekly chart. DCO chart

So if you or anyone else thinks this is a pump and thread by all means stay away. If you don't like the methodology then I give the same advice to stay away. If you don't like any particular stock mentioned then again I give the same advice to stay away.

[bimetalaupt]

Jul 8, 2014 17:16:56 GMT -5 clarkrl2 said:

bimetalaupt you're post is so preposterous that it doesn't deserve comment but since pumping and dumping is illegal I'll go ahead and respond.

First in regards to the pump and accusation: The stock trades on average a value of over $1 million per day and its listed on the NYSE. Also the title of the thread clearly indicates that I am intending on trading these stocks short term. I recently posted information on the average gain and average days held. I give the basic criteria I use in the original post and the following two posts. I don't believe there is anything misleading about my claims. 

Second in regards to valuation: The only real valuation criteria I use in my screen is the Price to free cash flow has to be less than 10. While the PEG is high, the price to sales is .38 and the price to book 1.16. I really believe the 7% long term growth estimate is too low. They just signed a new contract with Spirit AeroSystems for the Boeing 737 Max which I doubt is included in that estimate. article

Third in regards to technical analysis: A low stochastic reading is regarded as a good entry point. I have no idea why you have a problem with the fast stochastic being at 38.79. The chart I use to indicate an uptrend is a weekly chart. DCO chart

So if you or anyone else thinks this is a pump and thread by all means stay away. If you don't like the methodology then I give the same advice to stay away. If you don't like any particular stock mentioned then again I give the same advice to stay away.


You have the option to change the %K and %D periods of the Fast Stochastic above. The default %K and %D periods are set to 5 and 3, respectively. The Fast Stochastic compares where a security’s price closed relative to its price range over a given time period, and is displayed as two lines. One line is called %K. A second line, called %D, is a moving average of %K. Buy when the Oscillator (either %K or %D) falls below a specific level (e.g. 20) and then rises above that level. Sell when the Oscillator rises above a specific level (e.g. 80) and then falls below that level.Buy when the %K line rises above the %D line and sell when the %K line falls below the %D line. Look for divergences. For example, where prices are making a series of new highs and the Slow Stochastic Oscillator is failing to surpass its previous highs. - "Technical Analysis from A to Z" by Stephen Aechlis

And why did the stop paying dividends. Buy signal is after the stock reaches less then a Fast Stoc %K( black line)  of 20 and is returning above %D ( the red line).  

Week ago it closed at 27.74 and today IT CLOSED AT 25.80.  I SEE OVERHEAD RESISTANCE AND TWO HUGE TRADING GAPS(7-2-2014 & 7-8-2014) AND A SMALL ONE(7-3-2014): THIS IS A SIGN OF PUMP AND .  SOMEONE IS TRYING TO GET OUT REAL BAD. SORRY IF I OFFENDED YOU BUT ALL I SAID WAS ON THE 5 DAY CHART.  THAT IS HOW I READ THE CHART.
Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt

[ModE98]

It may be more wise to visit the initial 3 posts by clarkrl which laid out the reason for the tread.  THIS IS NOT an advisory thread, but a description of what clarkrl is personally doing.  It should NOT be taken that others should necessarily act on specific trades, or any, for that matter.

After all ... it's his money to buy/sell/trade any stock he chooses. 

 

[bimetalaupt]

Jul 8, 2014 17:50:05 GMT -5 ModE98 said:

It may be more wise to visit the initial 3 posts by clarkrl which laid out the reason for the tread.  THIS IS NOT an advisory thread, but a description of what clarkrl is personally doing.  It should NOT be taken that others should necessarily act on specific trades, or any, for that matter.

After all ... it's his money to buy/sell/trade any stock he chooses. 

 

ModE91,
Me Bad! I was looking at three gaps and three ordered stop trade action by NYSE in five days.  I do not see the up trend he refereed to and all I was asking was why?  First word I used!! In fact if you read the FT articular the news is REAL BAD. TO ME IT LOOKS RISKY AND THE WHOLE STORY IS NOT SPOKEN:
Just a thought and apologies. 
BiMetalAuPt

[ModE98]

Here is the FINVIZ view on the stock (for what it's worth)...
www.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=DCO

And,
investing.money.msn.com/investments/stock-price?Symbol=DCO&ocid=qbes

And.
seekingalpha.com/symbol/DCO?s=dco

[bimetalaupt]

I thought it was also interesting to note the items on the balance sheet Goodwill and Intangible Assets.

Goodwill = 161.6940 million USD

intangible assets = 165.465 million USD 
TOTAL OF THE TWO = 327.405 million USD
Total Equity for Common stock = 239.694 million USD

Capital (equity) less book value of the two = -87.711 Million USD

Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt
Balance Sheet Get Balance Sheet for:
View: Annual Data | Quarterly Data All numbers in thousands
Period Ending Dec 31, 2013 Dec 31, 2012 Dec 31, 2011
Assets
Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 48,814 46,537 41,449
Short Term Investments - - -
Net Receivables 114,358 120,734 130,191
Inventory 140,507 148,318 154,503
Other Current Assets 27,085 13,997 14,648
Total Current Assets 330,764 329,586 340,791
Long Term Investments - - -
Property Plant and Equipment 96,090 98,383 98,477
Goodwill 161,940 161,940 163,845
Intangible Assets 165,465 176,356 187,854
Accumulated Amortization - - -
Other Assets 9,940 13,824 17,120
Deferred Long Term Asset Charges - - -
Total Assets 764,199 780,089 808,087
Liabilities
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 103,564 102,762 114,498
Short/Current Long Term Debt 25 3,042 1,960
Other Current Liabilities - - -
Total Current Liabilities 103,589 105,804 116,458
Long Term Debt 332,677 362,702 390,280
Other Liabilities 19,750 23,553 25,022
Deferred Long Term Liability Charges 68,489 65,355 72,043
Minority Interest - - -
Negative Goodwill - - -
Total Liabilities 524,505 557,414 603,803
Stockholders' Equity
Misc Stocks Options Warrants - - -
Redeemable Preferred Stock - - -
Preferred Stock - - -
Common Stock 110 107 107
Retained Earnings 174,828 165,485 149,048
Treasury Stock (1,924) (1,924) (1,924)
Capital Surplus 70,542 66,475 64,378
Other Stockholder Equity (3,862) (7,468) (7,325)
Total Stockholder Equity 239,694 222,675 204,284
Net Tangible Assets (87,711) (115,621) (147,415)

[bimetalaupt]

DCO just wild today.  STO %K dropped to 1.85 Crossed %D to a high of 69.08 then dropped to 16.61: then it gave 2nd by signal with %K touching 25.47 and kissing %D (25.59).  It did not cross 80 so we did not see a sell CALL TODAY FROM FAST STO BUT TWO BUY CALLS.

Action is about the conference call in 20 days? Getting Wild!!!

Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt

[bimetalaupt]

Then %K ran up to 82.31 crossing %D 70.46 then at close ALMOST gave a sell signal at 74.52: but did not cross the %D of 73.72.

You have the option to change the %K and %D periods of the Fast Stochastic above. The default %K and %D periods are set to 5 and 3, respectively. The Fast Stochastic compares where a security’s price closed relative to its price range over a given time period, and is displayed as two lines. One line is called %K. A second line, called %D, is a moving average of %K. Buy when the Oscillator (either %K or %D) falls below a specific level (e.g. 20) and then rises above that level. Sell when the Oscillator rises above a specific level (e.g. 80) and then falls below that level.Buy when the %K line rises above the %D line and sell when the %K line falls below the %D line. Look for divergences. For example, where prices are making a series of new highs and the Slow Stochastic Oscillator is failing to surpass its previous highs. - "Technical Analysis from A to Z" by Stephen Aechlis

Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt

[clarkrl2]

Sold WTW (Weight Watchers International) @$20.25 for a loss of -11.6% in about one month. I'll be looking for a replacement but I didn't see anything on my screen I wanted to buy today.

[bimetalaupt]

Check Out DUK
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) -NYSE  Following
72.39 Up 0.28(0.39%) 4:04PM EDT
After Hours : 72.39 0.00 (0.00%) 4:22PM EDT
Fast Sto
%K(5) = 11.98
%D(3)= 23.23
RSI = 42.83
Target ( one year)=76.12  giving a return for 12 months of 9.52%
Beta = 0.05  or CAPM = 2.95%  : return 322%OF THE cost of CAPITAL
Used 5 day Interactive Chart
AWCC = 5.91%

Just a thought,
BiMetalAuPt
Duke Energy Corp Given a $78.00 Price Target at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (DUK) :
at that one year return would be 12.5%. (edit 3:29 PM 7/11/2014)

[clarkrl2]

Bought KEY (KeyCorp) @14.195 from the earnings beat MRQ with recent upward estimate revisions screen.

[clarkrl2]

sold DCO (Docummun Inc) @$24.55 for a loss of 4.8% in two weeks.

[clarkrl2]

bought RNST (Renasant Corp) @$29.

[clarkrl2]

Sold KEY (KeyCorp) @ 13.75 for a loss of 3.1% in just 10 days.

Sold STRA (Strayer Education Inc.) @ $49.75 for a loss of 9.1% in 49 days.

[bimetalaupt]

bought more FB last week Now my 5th largest holding.  {Plan to sell 10% a year for the next 20 YEARS.}retirement PER Adam SMITH FUNDING IN "SUPER MONEY".  AVERAGE FUTURE WITH BETA OF 1.23 IS 11% TOTAL RETURN WITH AVERAGE DISTRIBUTION OF 10% PER YEAR.  

[tyfighter3]

 

[clarkrl2]

Sold ARRS (Arris Group Inc.) @$29.80  for a gain of 1.0% in about 11 weeks.

[clarkrl2]

Bought BBSI (Barrett Business Services Inc.) @$55.20. Lately I've been doing more selling than buying. I'm trying to add at most one stock per week until the volatility stabilizes. Unless the chart for the Russell 2000 starts looking better or I see something I really like a lot, I won't be buying anything else until next week.

[clarkrl2]

Sold CNC (Centene Corp.) @$71.52 for a gain of about 8.4% in 13 weeks.

[clarkrl2]

Sold PRU(Prudential Financial Inc)@89.41 for a gain of 1.3% in about 10 weeks.

[clarkrl2]

Bought NCIT (NCI Inc.) @$9.39

[clarkrl2]

Sold RNST (Renasant Corp) @$29. This is a 0% gain after one month.

[Ombud]

So was there an unexpected report or did your screen just fail to produce anticipated results?

FWIW: I've often been 'even' after a month but still held as the market was even too / stock still met my criteria to buy

[clarkrl2]

Ombud, the stock wasn't performing so I sold. Here is the weekly chart. stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=RNST&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p68262998308

The last bar is green which would indicate the stock may be coming around but this system is about shorter term trading. My average holding period for the stocks mentioned in this thread is about two to three months. I do not consider myself to be an expert trader but if you read the first three posts of the thread you can see the premise behind the system.

[clarkrl2]

Sold TOWR (Tower Intl. Inc.) @33.02 for a gain of 29.0% in six months.

[clarkrl2]

Bought ALL (Allstate Corp.) @$61.50 from the earnings beat MRQ with recent upward estimate revisions screen.

[clarkrl2]

Sold NCIT (NCI Inc.) for a loss of -1.5% in less than 2 weeks.

[clarkrl2]

bought AFSI (Amtrust Financial Services) @$44.47 from the earnings beat MRQ with recent upward estimate revisions screen. They do have some outstanding legal actions filed against them in late March but that should be priced into the stock by this time.