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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 18, 2024 18:10:07 GMT -5
a billion years, provided that it doesn't fall into a gravity well or get hit by a space rock.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 18, 2024 18:04:39 GMT -5
my favourite quote so far: "I don't know how to prosecute this case, your honor"- Habba I don't know how to lawyer, your honor. It's a civil case, there is no prosecutor. Anyways, he's defendant. She is really fucking this up. I find it hysterical I was thinking this was a campaign opportunity. I guess if I have to "lawyer", I will take a hard pass.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 18, 2024 12:26:57 GMT -5
i don't know anything about Noem. but if she is anything like the other three, red white and black are "in" for 2024, i guess.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 18, 2024 11:57:53 GMT -5
Salon columnist at the EJean Carroll trial says Trump couldn’t look more guilty if he wore a raincoat and flashed random women (sorry I can’t post the link on my phone). She said he’s acting like a cartoon villain, attacking the victim and menacing the jury. Lisa Rubin is the author. She thinks he can’t stop acting this way because he wants to torture Carroll because she stood up to him and won. I think he’s playing to a wider audience- the MAGA faithful. After all, he doesn’t even need to be there, but he is because it gets him attention. he also has to deny it ever happened because he can't admit that he lost. even though it is obvious to EVERYONE that he lost.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 18, 2024 11:56:06 GMT -5
my favourite quote so far: "I don't know how to prosecute this case, your honor"- Habba She also told the judge something along the lines of ‘I don’t like how you’re talking to me.’ These are all opportunities for Trump to show off. He’s practically begged the court to banish him from the EJean Carroll case. Every time he or his lawyers look like asses his approval numbers go up with the faithful. Serves him well in the primaries but a large chunk of the voting public says they won’t vote for a convicted felon, so I think in the general election this arrogant show boating will fail. i can understand how misogynists would like his courtroom protocol. but how does anyone else "like" that? it is disgraceful. it is absolutely the OPPOSITE of how one should comport themselves in court.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 18, 2024 11:50:12 GMT -5
some left wing commentator said this on the radio yesterday:
"they don't want to solve the immigration problem. to solve it would eliminate their main tool for campaigning- that it is hopelessly broken and that the government is to blame"
i think that is pretty close to exactly right.
the only incentive to fix it is on the left. because it is is the right thing to do. and because they are nominally "pro-government".
it sounds weird to even say that. we have one anti-government party. nuts.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 18, 2024 2:20:41 GMT -5
my favourite quote so far:
"I don't know how to prosecute this case, your honor"- Habba
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 18, 2024 1:17:58 GMT -5
we continue to unwind the clock.
this anarchism is utterly stupid.
it puts us at the mercy of people like Trump and Musk.
who wants that? who trusts that?
are we really that stupid?
i would suggest reading up on the Bhopal disaster, if you want to know where this lands us. dismantling oversight will lead to many such disasters.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 19:12:02 GMT -5
it also undermines their argument that government is the enemy.
the only way to manifest that is to make it utterly dysfunctional.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 19:07:10 GMT -5
what does Trump think of farm subsidies?
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 14:36:04 GMT -5
i will take that as a "qualified yes" in the spirit of John Sauer If your question is interpreted as implying there are "some" evil people who support Trump, then the agreement is not at all qualified. It is absolute. i am all about the grey, TG.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 14:20:50 GMT -5
Trump calls that chain migration and intentionally reduced the numbers allowed for that category while in office. I have no idea what the current limit is nor, the backlog from all of us working and living through the pandemic. Chain migration as far as I know is for family, not friends and colleagues right. like when Melania got her parents here.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 14:18:40 GMT -5
we have to have free and fair elections.....
but if i don't like the results, i will throw them out and declare victory.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 14:12:14 GMT -5
not necessarily. have you considered evil? The word "evil" may be a little strong. Either way, the fact that there are many, many stupid people in this country does not preclude or even limit the idea that there are others who could be described your way. i will take that as a "qualified yes" in the spirit of John Sauer
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 14:01:43 GMT -5
Trump won Iowa caucus. I see he won 98 of 99 counties in Iowa. How do you explain that? All those Christians can't be wrong. As Bills pointed out, just 15% of the Republican voters got out in the cold to vote for him. Could just be the cold that kept them away or could be lack of enthusiasm for the candidates. And Trump only got 51% of those who did vote, which is statistically very low for a candidate who already served a term. Also, I listened to a podcast last week where they interviewed people attending the various candidates rallies, and ever Haley supporter said if she didn’t win the primaries, they would vote for Biden over Trump. Not good for Trump. again, i will recall the images of women crying at the airport when Pinochet fled the country. the true occultists never give up, even in the face of mass murder. edit: you can see some of these crazy fuckers in this video of the 50th anniversary of the coup:
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 13:59:04 GMT -5
Trump's win in 98 of 99 counties was what was asked to be explained. The turnout of a small percentage, which you accurately indicate is the norm, I think was helpful to Trump. His supporters tend to be more passionate. This was not at all a strong performance for Trump. Not only are his supporters more driven to come out, he still only got about 51%. Of those who voted for Nikki Haley, 43% said they would vote for Joe Biden over Donald Trump. And this is BEFORE the ramifications of all his legal troubles are known. Iowa should be Trump's dream electorate: Almost entirely white with 65% believing that 2020 was stolen, yet many of even the election deniers chose somebody other than Trump. by a 2:1 margin. that caught my eye, as well.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 13:56:45 GMT -5
Here is one thing I find significant: The 110,000 voters who participated in the 2024 cacuses accounts for just under 15% of the state's 752,000 registered Republicans. link Isn't this fairly usual? Those that go out and vote in primaries in general are more dedicated than those that only vote in general elections. I think usually in almost any vote in person only state, primary participation rarely hits 20% of registered voters. The general election participation rate varies significantly but it is very rare to get most registered voters out to vote in any given GE. Again, stats might be different in states like WA who have had vote by mail for years. For places like NJ and other states I've kept track of, percent of voters generally is under 50%. Note entirely sure why, but I do know from my years in healthcare many workers have double shifts or work two jobs. It is not easy for them to get to a polling on the one day its been decreed to be open. it is 2/3 what he got last time. now, that COULD just be the weather. or it could be that the other 1/3 are no longer with him. and that number? the number we are talking about? it is more people than voted for him this time (70000+).
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 13:54:50 GMT -5
He won 51% of the Republican vote. That means 49% of Republicans came out to vote for NOT Trump, instead of staying safely home in frigid weather. In 2020 he won 97% of the Republican vote. In my book, a win is a win. By a million votes or 1 vote. Still a win. indeed. occultism is hard to shatter. i suspect he will win the primary. let's just get that out of the way right now. i think most people suspect that. so, that is no longer the issue, if it ever was. the general election is the issue.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 13:52:32 GMT -5
None of the people supporting Trump are true Christians, because no true Christian could ever support such a man as that. Setting that aside, however, what elections are (mostly) is a confirmation that many, many people in this country are really stupid. I wish that were not the case, but it has been proven too many times. You're right on that. They voted for Biden. i am rubber, you are glue? please.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 13:50:40 GMT -5
Trump won Iowa caucus. I see he won 98 of 99 counties in Iowa. How do you explain that? All those Christians can't be wrong. None of the people supporting Trump are true Christians, because no true Christian could ever support such a man as that. Setting that aside, however, what elections are (mostly) is a confirmation that many, many people in this country are really stupid. I wish that were not the case, but it has been proven too many times. not necessarily. have you considered evil?
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 13:49:35 GMT -5
Entrance polls in Iowa.... 65% of GOP voters say that Joe Biden did not legitimately win the 2020 election. So many incredibly stupid people in this country. Yeah but they had a very small turn out, don’t know if it was the horrible weather or horrible Trump or both. Frankly I’m surprised he only got 51 percent. DeSantis did surprisingly well. i find it quite encouraging that 31% of the diehards in IA said they would not vote for him if he was convicted. that is about 10% of the electorate, if it plays out proportionately. having him lose by an additional 5-10% would be a landslide.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 17, 2024 12:55:07 GMT -5
why can't they do it now? it is not like they are getting anything ELSE done.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 16, 2024 20:45:39 GMT -5
i've done sales. i suck at it.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 16, 2024 20:39:13 GMT -5
you don't know if they are entering illegally until you rescue them. we have already been through this. you just keep arguing the same point. Ummm...helloooo. The fact that 10,000 people are amassed on the other side of your border without a invite should let anyone with any common sense figure that they are illegal. Does Mexico call these people illegal? I haven't heard or seen anything about Mexico doing anything to stop the mass migration thru their country. not at all. i would assume that such a large group would be refugees. how would you conclude otherwise? omniscience? you are getting dangerously close to ad hominem in this reply, rip. what we lack here on this board is not common sense. it is common facts. Mexico would probably call them migrants. they are passing THROUGH Mexico. they are not Mexican citizens, for the most part. this is another mistake that Americans make. and you are allowed a TRANSIT VISA if you are traveling through Mexico from Central America, rip. remember, it only takes a few months to walk from South America to the border. that is MORE than enough time to get a transit Visa in any of the neighboring countries. i might also add, since we seem to keep forgetting this fact, that MOST people arrive in the US on a travel Visa. that is legal entry. but we are not talking about that in the case of Venezuelan refugees. those folks are mos-def asylum seekers. they have no interest in going back to Venezuela. they are seeking US citizenship. just curious- i think you already stated you have nothing against brown people, right? because this discussion often seems to boil down to that. you are OK with brown people seeking a better life here, right? Trump doesn't seem to be, but i am not asking Trump. i am asking you.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 16, 2024 20:25:08 GMT -5
I certainly don’t have answers and certainly no expertise but our government is a failure for this problem I’m just an observer seeing what seems to be chaos at the southern border and a nearby city being overwhelmed both financially and physically i had assumed you were in NJ. wrong?
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 16, 2024 20:23:42 GMT -5
So you’re saying most sit in a camp for 200 days. Who are all the thousands showing up in NYC (and now NJ on way to NYC)? Overflow from the 200 days in camp? i don't pretend to know. i would PRESUME that they have asylum hearings at a later date. let's say for sake of argument that the average number of asylum seekers per day is 3500. 3150 will stay in camps for AN AVERAGE of 200 days, and then get deported. that is 350/day that get hearings. that is about 10,000 per month. you could always ask your DIL. you already claimed she knows more than me.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 16, 2024 20:17:23 GMT -5
PS- i assumed that she was naturalized, but then i re-read. if she married your son, then she was naturalized through that process, which i think is about as easy as it gets in terms of legal migration. correct me if i am wrong. Yes through marriage She’s also trying to help friends and college/graduate schoolclassmates from China legally come here nightmare. we need immigration reform. badly.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 16, 2024 19:44:23 GMT -5
PS- i assumed that she was naturalized, but then i re-read. if she married your son, then she was naturalized through that process, which i think is about as easy as it gets in terms of legal migration.
correct me if i am wrong.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 16, 2024 19:41:36 GMT -5
is she aware that 90% of asylum claims are rejected (resulting in deportation) in the US, or is she a FOX News viewer? thinking that 90% is after the person has been allowed to enter and stay in country till court case - maybe 5 years. And what % actually show up for the court case on asylum? Really you’re saying that 90% of the migrants who show up at border and ask for asylum are rejected and deported? No she doesn’t watch Fox News and think she probably knows more than you about this. She’s speaking to these people almost every day average is one year. it only takes 5 years if your asylum is GRANTED. since the average is 1 year, and we know that 90% are deported, if we assume that the other 10% are 5 years: 0.9*(t) + 0.1*(5) = 1 => the average time for deportation is 200 days. and yes, that is precisely right on the 90%. ask her if she knows that. it might ease her mind a little bit to know that IF she just wandered across the border seeking asylum she would sit in a camp for 200 days, and 90% of the time she would be deported, and see if she still thinks it is "easy street". i am sure that any naturalized citizen knows more about that process than i do. i know that it can take up to 10 years and is a pain in the ass. that is all i really know. but i seem to know quite a bit more about the asylum system than most posters here, do. i am PRESUMING it is because of the massive amount of misinformation out there on the subject, but i don't really know or care. i have my very limited knowledge, which i offer to you and your family at no charge, in the hopes of easing your mind about how NOT easy it is to pass through the US asylum system. hopefully it will help you and your family sleep better at night knowing that the asylum system is FAR more difficult than naturalization, and FAR less likely to produce the desired outcome.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 16, 2024 17:29:28 GMT -5
nobody took the Boeing short? that was a good play!
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