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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 28, 2024 16:36:28 GMT -5
A number that is worth every penny they cost. Didn’t they say they were willing to pay more in taxes to support these children?/s given that they are already on the dole, and never walk away from a tax cut, that sounds like "just talk" to me- designed to shut down the argument. let's see them put their money where their mouths are. literally.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 28, 2024 16:34:40 GMT -5
I saw you were online here, ripvanwinkle , eight hours ago. No comment or reply for any of the posts? It was just a quick pop in look. Had company over. But since you asked I heard the razor wire was working. Less crossings there. Let say you or I were out hiking. We came upon a river. There is a badly rotted tree that had fallen across it. You could attempt a dangerous crossing. Up stream 1 mile there is a real bridge that you can cross there with no trouble. What is the most logical sane choice? Arizona, to extrapolate. Texas acts like it is an Island. it is not. they are a bunch of NIMBYS. and lawless. again, i ask: are you good with lawless states? because, if so, i really would like you to stop criticizing the quasi legal status called "sanctuary state". you either believe in the law, or you lose every debate in favor it.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 28, 2024 16:26:40 GMT -5
We have been attacking Houti rebel bases in Yemen ... because they have been pirating and bombing our ships in the Red Sea They say it is support of the Palestinians..... but its got nothing to do with that. They are just another Iranian proxy being encouraged and supported to cause trouble for the West. and it could cause a global monetary crisis. US has been attacked today in Jordan..... by another bunch of Islamist nutters. We are having land based nukes here from the US.... and the rest of Europe are gearing up for a threat from Russia... giving their land grab in Ukraine. As for Israel causing a genocide...... The Hamas chant "from the river to the sea" is a call to get rid of all the Israelis there, blast them off the face of the Earth So if there is any genocide going on.... its from Hamas.Things have changed..... and there is a hornets nest brewing. forgive me for saying so, but "so what"? i mean sure, it deligitimizes them. just like it deligitimzes Roger Stone when he said that we should kill Eric Swalwell. what is more likely, Spell? Hamas wiping Israel off the face of the Earth, or the opposite? we should really worry about those that have the MEANS to carry out these threats. i am not at all sure that is the case, here. and i think "feeding into that" is a tragic error on the part of ANY observer. until Israel recognizes SOME SORT of legitimate representative for Palestine, i am not convinced that the case you are making is anything other than cover for Israeli atrocities. and i am not saying that to disparage Israel. i am saying it because i believe that is what we are seeing.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 28, 2024 16:22:07 GMT -5
this might surprise people, but i am not that worried about deep fakes.
the people most likely to believe them are Trump voters.
ergo, if they are deployed to help Biden, that will probably work. if they are deployed to help Trump, not so likely.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 28, 2024 16:20:30 GMT -5
26k unwanted babies?
what is the estimated burden on the state?
prior to Dobbs, this WAS the number:
Most of money spent by taxpayers to comply with the health system may be spent for issues associated with unintended pregnancies. Economic analysis shows that U.S. taxpayers spend more than 12 billion each year on unintended pregnancy
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 21:12:11 GMT -5
they'll get bored in a few months, when they run out of money.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 18:11:27 GMT -5
may he become the brunt of 1000 jokes.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 14:46:28 GMT -5
this loan is getting no attention, for the record. it is just an example of probably dozens or hundreds of fraud on the part of the Trump corporation. this is from a report by Barbara Jones.
this (will become) part of the Disgorgement ruling, i think.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 14:39:57 GMT -5
PS- i am listening to details of the investigation into Trump's fraudulent books. apparently he booked a $48M loan on his books that never existed. you might ask- why would a person do this? and the answer is: to drive down taxes.
if your increase in cash flow is due to borrowed funds, that will not create a taxable consequence. the trick then is to increase expenses fraudulently to offset the gain, as well. not sure how he did that. but if you are not having your books externally audited (he didn't) then the only person you need to convince to do this is Weisselberg.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 14:37:07 GMT -5
again, i reiterate- i will never tire of Trump losing.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 14:35:29 GMT -5
if he appeals the case, which he says he will do, he is required to put the money for the case in an escrow account. if the appeal fails, the money is discharged to the plaintiff. i am not sure why ANYONE thinks that Trump will walk away from this. it is extremely unlikely. he is GOING to pay. it is only a question of WHEN. I bet Trump figures he will be able to walk away without paying. he's already paid. there is $5.5M in an escrow account for the FIRST appeal. are you saying he "figures he is going to win on appeal"? i don't know why he SHOULD figure that. i am not even sure he DOES figure that. here is what i think. Trump is a VERY experienced civil litigant. he knows that the appeals process GENERALLY does one of two things: 1) it gives him the opportunity to pay in FUTURE dollars rather than PRESENT dollars* 2) it often grants him a reduction in judgment. the second is more or less obvious. he pays, and pays often, in civil trial. you can look at Trump University as an example of this, and his fake charity for another. even the case against his misuse of funds for his inauguration resulted in a fine. so, he plays this game all the time. *this point is an interesting one. historical inflation in the US is above 3.5%. if he can delay a $100M judgment a year, that is $3.5M/year, which is probably more than he would pay in legal expenses. in other words, he will come out ahead just by appealing even if he loses the appeal. anyone who thinks he won't pay on this is not looking at the facts. if you are saying that Trump is not looking at the facts, i would say that i disagree. he is well aware of the facts. he knows he will lose. the only reason he fights on is to bilk donations out of gullible fans and for the potential to reduce the awards.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 13:29:19 GMT -5
that is fine, but i believe that he has to write the checks himself. there is something else to remember. there have been quite a few statements about Trump's liquidity. Weisselberg stated he had $38M liquid in 2014. Trump stated that he was about $400M to the good a year ago. most observers believe that he has about half that now. so, he has the money. and it is not a matter of whether he CHOOSES to use it on this case. if he does not CHOOSE to do that, the state will seize it. furthermore, he is about to get disgorged for roughly 5x the amount of the EJ Caroll settlement. and when that happens, the same thing will occur. i believe, sincerely, that this will result in liquidations. if would be informative to look at the Guiliani case FMI. he is a bit further down this twisty path. it would be interesting to see Trump declare bankruptcy to try to avoid this. i say TRY because bankruptcy will not impact the fines. he will still have to pay them. it will only impact his OTHER debts. and he knows that, because he is quite experienced with Bankruptcy court. so experienced, in fact, that his lawyers are, frankly, stupid to defend him. the path forward means that the litigants will get paid and that unless THEY line up to go against him civilly (which they should), THEY will NOT get paid. feel free to object and correct me if you know better. i am just going by what i remember. What happens if Trump drags his feet on paying Carroll and the NY state fine until he dies? I’m hoping any judgments against him have to be satisfied prior to his heirs getting anything? Can Carroll create a will so that if she dies prior to getting payment, someone else can benefit from it? Not expecting you specifically to know, DJ, just asking the board in general. if he appeals the case, which he says he will do, he is required to put the money for the case in an escrow account. if the appeal fails, the money is discharged to the plaintiff. i am not sure why ANYONE thinks that Trump will walk away from this. it is extremely unlikely. he is GOING to pay. it is only a question of WHEN.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 13:26:02 GMT -5
he used to be reputable.
unlike Bannon.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 13:22:34 GMT -5
Right now, trump wants no legislation passed regarding border security. Only trump, according to him, can fix it. So trump is perfectly fine until January 20, 2025 for the border to allegedly be wide open until his possible inauguration should he win the 2024 presidential election. Didn't trump also promise he would stop immigration from Central America if he was elected in 2016? How did that promise work out. Trump wants to take credit for fixing it. this is right out of the Reagan playbook. but what makes no sense about it is that Trump has nothing to gain in this tactic OTHER than hurting Biden. and i think it DOES hurt him, because it says that Trump is actually in charge right now. at least of the House. i think everyone already knows that, though. and i think this might backfire. the GOP can't run on fixing it, now, and Democrats can run on the GOP obstructing.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 1:44:58 GMT -5
again, don't get me wrong.
i am not saying the law itself is right. i am saying that Abbott is on the wrong side of it.
he took it to the SCOTUS, and LOST. yet he continues to behave as if he won.
ergo, he is lawless.
that is a FACT OF LAW. whether you agree with it or not.
so, again- anyone who is NOT on the side of the law, speak up.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 1:32:38 GMT -5
rip et al:
Governor Abbot "liked his chances" against the federal court, which ruled AGAINST him on Monday. what he probably meant is that he is going to openly defy the Federal Government, putting them in the position of enforcing federal law against Texas. that should be fun.
so, rip et al- do you believe in the law or not? because Texas is on the wrong side of it right now. no matter what you think the law SHOULD be, they are on the wrong side.
disclaimer: there are MANY laws in the US i disagree with. i don't think prostitution or drug use should be illegal, as examples. but i don't think that STATES should openly defy those laws except in court.
this is way outside what i would describe as the "constitutional order of things".
so, are you for or against the constitution? inquiring minds want to know.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 0:51:45 GMT -5
a week from now, there is a VERY GOOD CHANCE that Trump will have lost HALF A BILLION in judgments.
half a billion.
half..... a...... billion.....
he could build 25 miles of wall for that. that would be a better use of his funds.
think about the fact that me, this poster, said that.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 0:41:21 GMT -5
he is defaming her again.
EJ Caroll should sue him again.
no kidding. truth.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 0:17:38 GMT -5
Aw, he'll just go ask his minions for some money. After all, he's "fighting for them"... that is fine, but i believe that he has to write the checks himself. there is something else to remember. there have been quite a few statements about Trump's liquidity. Weisselberg stated he had $38M liquid in 2014. Trump stated that he was about $400M to the good a year ago. most observers believe that he has about half that now. so, he has the money. and it is not a matter of whether he CHOOSES to use it on this case. if he does not CHOOSE to do that, the state will seize it. furthermore, he is about to get disgorged for roughly 5x the amount of the EJ Caroll settlement. and when that happens, the same thing will occur. i believe, sincerely, that this will result in liquidations. if would be informative to look at the Guiliani case FMI. he is a bit further down this twisty path. it would be interesting to see Trump declare bankruptcy to try to avoid this. i say TRY because bankruptcy will not impact the fines. he will still have to pay them. it will only impact his OTHER debts. and he knows that, because he is quite experienced with Bankruptcy court. so experienced, in fact, that his lawyers are, frankly, stupid to defend him. the path forward means that the litigants will get paid and that unless THEY line up to go against him civilly (which they should), THEY will NOT get paid. feel free to object and correct me if you know better. i am just going by what i remember.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 0:06:27 GMT -5
Does anybody know who is the largest manufacturer of razor wire is? I want to buy some stock. This could be a good buy. there are dozens of them. hundreds. items like this are "commodoties". margins are exceedingly low. in the single percentages. competition is vicious. you raise your price a nickle, you lose the work. it is pretty much impossible to make money off a vanity project like this, rip. i wouldn't even try. if you are already in the business, you might have a chance to profit from it. but you would probably need to be connected via MAGA. short answer is the wholesalers won't even feel it, and the retailers are not generally publicly traded. Home Depot, maybe? WalMart?
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 27, 2024 0:01:49 GMT -5
jury just awarded E. Jean Caroll over $80 million for trump's defamation of character. Ate we tired of his "winning" yet? Also,does he realize that even if he should become president again (shudder) he cannot pardon this judgement away? he also has to put the money in escrow (or a significant portion of it) pending appeal. this will create a huge sucking sound in his campaign fund.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 26, 2024 20:04:56 GMT -5
going back to the Uranium mine again: Laramide, long.NOTE: Uncle would have beat me, anyway. great pick last week! but i gave up over 7% picking Lamb Weston. i liked the stock enough to buy it though.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 26, 2024 19:14:46 GMT -5
ok, so what is he now? 1:65?
he makes the 1899 Cleveland Spiders look successful.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 26, 2024 19:13:10 GMT -5
i like the scaling here.
he does it again, i would like to see the next reward be 16x as much.
$1.3B
he does it a 4th time? another 16x verdict.
incidentally, i disagree. i think EJ Caroll will see 100% of the first verdict, and a substantial portion of the 2nd. she should not have to stand in line behind anyone, right now. this is a civil case.
he is spending at least $10M/month on his campaign. he could easily pay her before election day.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 26, 2024 19:08:03 GMT -5
well done, uncle!
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 26, 2024 19:05:38 GMT -5
i hope they WILL try to take it away for campaign purposes. particularly, Democrats.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 26, 2024 14:56:11 GMT -5
i think this whole thing is hilarious. i hope, fervently, that she loses.
but for the record, she probably did the GOP a favor by jumping to district 4, since now the GOP has a better than average shot at district 3.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 26, 2024 14:52:01 GMT -5
Yeah, maybe the thread title should be changed to "LOL, don't fix the border to help Trump get elected" Right now, trump wants no legislation passed regarding border security. Only trump, according to him, can fix it. So trump is perfectly fine until January 20, 2025 for the border to allegedly be wide open until his possible inauguration coronation should he win the 2024 presidential election. Didn't trump also promise he would stop immigration from Central America if he was elected in 2016? How did that promise work out. there you go. fixed it for you. you're welcome.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 26, 2024 14:45:50 GMT -5
there are some on the left who thinks he is using the court cases to show he is persecuted and raise money off it.
it seems like a weirdly desperate move to me. do i need to explain that, or do you see what i am saying?
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 26, 2024 14:36:43 GMT -5
the problem with history older than one generation is that it NEEDS TO BE REFRESHED in the minds of the younger generation, lest they repeat it.
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