dondub
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Post by dondub on Apr 2, 2022 15:21:54 GMT -5
i guess this begs the question: who will they run? because among likely candidates, Trump might conceivably win the nomination. he would almost certainly lose the election- but if the GOP can field someone better..... WHO WOULD THAT BE? lol, I hear sarah palin is trying to get back in the game better to us sane people would someone like mitt romney, but to those people maybe ron desantis? Is ted cruz still waiting for his shot at the oval office? What are broebart and marge thinking about their future? I don't see the gop getting a sane candidate as the nominee. on the other side, is biden going to run again? I think he is talking like he is, but not a good thing to my mind. Yeah, too old.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 2, 2022 15:31:29 GMT -5
i guess this begs the question: who will they run? because among likely candidates, Trump might conceivably win the nomination. he would almost certainly lose the election- but if the GOP can field someone better..... WHO WOULD THAT BE? lol, I hear sarah palin is trying to get back in the game oh goodie. transgender Trump. can't wait. better to us sane people would someone like mitt romney, but to those people maybe ron desantis? Is ted cruz still waiting for his shot at the oval office? What are broebart and marge thinking about their future? i can't imagine any of these running, except desantis and cruz. those two are definitely possible.I don't see the gop getting a sane candidate as the nominee. on the other side, is biden going to run again? I think he is talking like he is, but not a good thing to my mind. i have no idea. i mean that sincerely. i think he will run, but i agree that this is probably not the best person the Democrats can put forward. it is not because i don't like Biden. i actually really like him. he is just kindof tired, in every sense of the term.
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happyhoix
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Post by happyhoix on Apr 2, 2022 19:00:05 GMT -5
i guess this begs the question: who will they run? because among likely candidates, Trump might conceivably win the nomination. he would almost certainly lose the election- but if the GOP can field someone better..... WHO WOULD THAT BE? Interesting question. Will the MAGA crowd get behind a Trump 2.0 candidate who knows all the do whistles about protecting the children and scary CRT or will a grown up seize back the GOP, campaigning with an actual platform on actual important issues like the national debt? Every day Trumps star dwindles a little more in intensity, and his foot in mouth word salad tarnished him a little bit more. My lovely MIL surprised us by declaring he was a tremendous president but shouldn’t run again because he can’t keep his mouth shut. How many other GOPers are also tired of the clown shit show? Time will tell.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 2, 2022 19:13:12 GMT -5
the people that really love him....the cult, we shall call them....is weakening. but it is a very slow process.
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happyhoix
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Post by happyhoix on Apr 4, 2022 10:28:05 GMT -5
Sarah Palin is going to run for Congress.
Like we need another far right crazy person jumping in the mix.
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billisonboard
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Post by billisonboard on Apr 4, 2022 10:47:56 GMT -5
So is she running in just the special election to finish the term, the full term, or both? Doing just the few month term does fit her style.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 4, 2022 11:57:58 GMT -5
So is she running in just the special election to finish the term, the full term, or both? Doing just the few month term does fit her style. serial quitter?
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happyhoix
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Post by happyhoix on Apr 4, 2022 12:16:46 GMT -5
So is she running in just the special election to finish the term, the full term, or both? Doing just the few month term does fit her style. Special election to hold the seat a few months.
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billisonboard
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Post by billisonboard on Apr 4, 2022 13:13:54 GMT -5
So I did some research: Palin, who ran unsuccessfully for vice president before resigning as Alaska’s governor in 2009, filed late Friday for both the special election to replace Young and the regular election in November.
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With a candidate list so long, politicos across the state were struggling to capture the uniqueness of the race ahead. The election will be Alaska’s first after voters in 2020 adopted a citizens initiative under which the outcome of statewide races will be decided through ranked-choice voting — but first, all candidates run against each other in a nonpartisan primary. Only the top four vote-getters in the primary advance to the general election.
link The link also provides the details of the two elections. Fascinating. Every registered voter will get the special election primary ballot by mail. Top four will be on the ballot in August for the seat short-term while in that same election there will be a primary vote in which the top four will be on the ballot in November for the next full term. And both general election contests will have ranked-choice voting. I am pulling for Santa Claus to be in the top four in the special election primary.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 4, 2022 15:04:18 GMT -5
Palin is a shoo in to make the ballot. she is a lightning rod, and Republicans love pwning the libs.
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billisonboard
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Post by billisonboard on Apr 4, 2022 15:12:12 GMT -5
I (also) can't imagine Palin not being in the top four primary vote getters with that many names on the ballot. If I were one of the other three, I would run an ad with something like, "Gee, isn't this special election thing a real mess. And to think, if Sarah Palin wins, we will just have to go through it all again next year when she resigns part way through her term. I say we should avoid that happening. Elect me, I finish what I start. "
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 4, 2022 15:17:28 GMT -5
that would be super smart.
she pretty much never finishes anything. how many colleges did she go to to get her undergrad degree? four? i think it was four.
credit: i believe she finally did graduate. from Boise State or something.
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billisonboard
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Post by billisonboard on Apr 4, 2022 15:53:24 GMT -5
Palin is a shoo in to make the ballot. she is a lightning rod, and Republicans love pwning the libs. With it being non-partisan top 4 with 50 names on the ballot, just name recognition should be good enough for her to get there. Minor issue all the ballots will list them alphabetical. Might she get lost in the middle of the pack? Unlikely but who knows. Return percentage will be another issue. Who will have motivated support? Will there be 4 others who have just enough passionate people to keep her off? Bottom line, I think you are right she will get there but this is such a weird set of circumstances. I won't be totally shocked by a surprise in the primary. And if not there, the next step has its on risks. While she will be the first choice of many, I can see her as number 4 on a lot of ballots also.
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billisonboard
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Post by billisonboard on Apr 4, 2022 16:54:56 GMT -5
that would be super smart. she pretty much never finishes anything. how many colleges did she go to to get her undergrad degree? four? i think it was four. credit: i believe she finally did graduate. from Boise State or something. University of Idaho, not my alma mater
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swamp
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Post by swamp on Apr 4, 2022 19:20:19 GMT -5
that would be super smart. she pretty much never finishes anything. how many colleges did she go to to get her undergrad degree? four? i think it was four. credit: i believe she finally did graduate. from Boise State or something. Google tells me it was 6
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billisonboard
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Post by billisonboard on Apr 7, 2022 12:55:02 GMT -5
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Apr 7, 2022 13:06:30 GMT -5
15 to 25 seat increase is not that large. Quite frankly imo the dems and leftwing slanted media outlets are issueing the warning loud and clear to stir up their base this spring to stop the loss of seats. there just is not that many seat left that are truly in contention to be lost, and it also depends on whether the dems can hold that enthusiasm into the fall election. Republicans and Indepenedent actually turn out to vote this fall enmasse together. That is a huge leap of faith.
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billisonboard
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Post by billisonboard on Apr 7, 2022 13:46:08 GMT -5
15 to 25 seat increase is not that large. Quite frankly imo the dems and leftwing slanted media outlets are issueing the warning loud and clear to stir up their base this spring to stop the loss of seats. there just is not that many seat left that are truly in contention to be lost, and it also depends on whether the dems can hold that enthusiasm into the fall election. Republicans and Indepenedent actually turn out to vote this fall enmasse together. That is a huge leap of faith. The analysis at the link does point out that historically it isn't large. I agree that the Democrats (and would add the Republicans) are doing things to stir up their base. It is what political parties do. I think that there is media, like at the link, which simply offers analysis. No idea what your last two sentences mean.
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thyme4change
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Post by thyme4change on Apr 7, 2022 16:12:43 GMT -5
i guess this begs the question: who will they run? because among likely candidates, Trump might conceivably win the nomination. he would almost certainly lose the election- but if the GOP can field someone better..... WHO WOULD THAT BE? Interesting question. Will the MAGA crowd get behind a Trump 2.0 candidate who knows all the do whistles about protecting the children and scary CRT or will a grown up seize back the GOP, campaigning with an actual platform on actual important issues like the national debt? Every day Trumps star dwindles a little more in intensity, and his foot in mouth word salad tarnished him a little bit more. My lovely MIL surprised us by declaring he was a tremendous president but shouldn’t run again because he can’t keep his mouth shut. How many other GOPers are also tired of the clown shit show? Time will tell. I also wonder if he won't run again because it will open up his finances.
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happyhoix
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Post by happyhoix on Apr 7, 2022 17:08:15 GMT -5
Interesting question. Will the MAGA crowd get behind a Trump 2.0 candidate who knows all the do whistles about protecting the children and scary CRT or will a grown up seize back the GOP, campaigning with an actual platform on actual important issues like the national debt? Every day Trumps star dwindles a little more in intensity, and his foot in mouth word salad tarnished him a little bit more. My lovely MIL surprised us by declaring he was a tremendous president but shouldn’t run again because he can’t keep his mouth shut. How many other GOPers are also tired of the clown shit show? Time will tell. I also wonder if he won't run again because it will open up his finances. He ran twice claiming he was eager to reveal his tax submissions if only the IRS wasn’t constantly auditing them, couldn’t he claim that a third time? Along with free and beautiful healthcare for everyone and a tax cut for the middle class? At least 30% of the country would vote for him again.
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thyme4change
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Post by thyme4change on Apr 8, 2022 3:43:05 GMT -5
I saw an ad for a Republican running for Governor of AZ. She did NOT mention Trump. If she can keep that up, I can just dislike her because I disagree with her policies instead of hating her with a firey passion.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 13, 2022 13:56:55 GMT -5
this is replying to a post on the fake cult thread. the GOP has been favored for winning the House for over a year. their odds were once above 65%, but have been 60-62% for the last month. these are not super great odds. it was about the same odds that Clinton had of winning in 2016. Democrats have been favored to win the Senate for all but TWO DAYS since December 17th: www.racetothewh.com/senate/2022their margin has been VERY slowly increasing. so, yeah, there is no fear on the Democratic side. only determination. a good example of their fortunes is Arizona. Mark Kelly was in a dead heat in December. he is now favored 2:1 to win. so, yeah, that thread is the Mountain of the Hairy Troll. stop posting on it.
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tbop77
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Post by tbop77 on Apr 15, 2022 6:42:55 GMT -5
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Apr 15, 2022 10:14:37 GMT -5
I see dj no longer takes polls seriously unless he agrees with them.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 16, 2022 4:22:52 GMT -5
Interesting question. Will the MAGA crowd get behind a Trump 2.0 candidate who knows all the do whistles about protecting the children and scary CRT or will a grown up seize back the GOP, campaigning with an actual platform on actual important issues like the national debt? Every day Trumps star dwindles a little more in intensity, and his foot in mouth word salad tarnished him a little bit more. My lovely MIL surprised us by declaring he was a tremendous president but shouldn’t run again because he can’t keep his mouth shut. How many other GOPers are also tired of the clown shit show? Time will tell. I also wonder if he won't run again because it will open up his finances. i am thinking it has been bad for business, but i might be wrong. a lot of it hinges on that question, though.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 16, 2022 4:26:32 GMT -5
i think it is a stranger calculus than that. those that are in bright red states have to genuflect to the all powerful Trump. those that are in purple or blue states and are running for statewide office (gov, senate) really CANT do that. so that leaves the GOP quite divided in it's support for Trump, even at the national level. i think this schism will mean that there will be no party unity in 2022. every person for themselves. quietly the GOP mechanisms will be there to help, but not publicly. this is not ideal, obviously, but neither was 2017. the GOP is in a very strange spot.
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tbop77
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Post by tbop77 on Apr 16, 2022 7:20:07 GMT -5
But....Donald Trump, it's almost a given he is going to pull an outrageous act. It's Donald Trump. Where Things Stand: McConnell Warns ‘Unacceptable’ GOP Candidates Could Spoil The Fun For Everyone talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/mcconnell-unacceptable-gop-candidates-spoil-midterms' Truth be told, I bet the lot of them wish they had done the right thing during his second impeachment trial. Guess they are getting what they deserve.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 16, 2022 8:15:50 GMT -5
it would have been a very simple matter to bar him from holding public office. it is a routine sentence when impeached. the GOP refused to carry out that sentence.
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thyme4change
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Post by thyme4change on Apr 17, 2022 16:29:22 GMT -5
I think the GOP has a very good chance to wipe the floor in the mid-terms. They are working the narrative that the world wide inflation and world wide high gas prices are the democrats fault. I am sure plenty of people know which policies could halt all of that.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 18, 2022 5:30:28 GMT -5
I think the GOP has a very good chance to wipe the floor in the mid-terms. They are working the narrative that the world wide inflation and world wide high gas prices are the democrats fault. I am sure plenty of people know which policies could halt all of that. i have no idea what you mean. inflation in Spain is pretty much the same as the US. is Spanish inflation Biden's fault too? i really don't get the assertion being made. but i do get that the GOP is loving the inflation. which is kinda perverse. don't you think?
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