djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Feb 13, 2022 19:04:26 GMT -5
Trump picks candidates based on how well they kiss his ass. So he ends up supporting Picks like Hershel Walker who claims he has multiple personalities and multiple run ins with the law for violent crimes, including domestic violence. Not surprised McConnell prefers less colorful candidates- unfortunately the MAGA voters will want the goofballs. good thing. they need practice for kissing their careers goodbye.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Feb 19, 2022 23:41:01 GMT -5
some early forecasts are coming in, and they are looking better than expected for Democrats: www.racetothewh.com/senate/202251% chance the Democrats hold the Senate. not sure about the house races. over 100 seats are tossup at this time. Generic ballot is +2R which is not good, but there are 8 months to make up ground.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Feb 19, 2022 23:56:39 GMT -5
Here are the tossup seats, for those interested:
NH-Hassan (D) AZ-Kelly (D) GA-Warnock (D) NV-Cortez Masto (D) NC-Open (R) PA-Open (R) WI-Johnson (R) FL-Rubio (R) OH-Open (R)
the true tossups are bolded. if either party wins all six (very unlikely), the result would be 53:47
the more likely outcome is that one party will win four or five, and as of right now, that leans slightly D.
the best odds according to the above survey are that Democrats will win 5 of the six, at 7.2%
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Feb 23, 2022 20:02:39 GMT -5
Biden's approval is +1% in the last week, and now stands at a 5 week high, and approximately where he was on November 17th (about 42.5%). it really has NOT changed his standing overall among the presidents, yet.
the reason this is interesting is that the Generic Ballot tends to track presidential approval closely, and has a LOT to do with who will win this fall. and, indeed, the presidential approval and Democratic approval in that survey are identical today (42.5%). this is NOT a good number for Democrats, but it is not really that bad for them, either, as these numbers will change (albeit slowly, about 1 point every two weeks). if the Democrats (and Biden) were polling this low in September, they should be concerned.
edit: assuming that the GOP loses what Democrats gain, they could close the CURRENT gap in under three weeks.
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Post by Opti on Feb 24, 2022 8:25:37 GMT -5
How fun would it be if the GOP loses points over Trump's support of Putin and Biden gains approval in dealing with the crisis? I do think Trump's glee about Putin hurts the GOP, not just him.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Feb 24, 2022 13:31:06 GMT -5
i think it destabilizes the entire planet.
part of what makes this world go 'round is that aggressors have effective opposition. if the US is weak, then Russia and China run the table. if Russia and China are weak, the US runs the table. it is better to have no table running.
(note: there is a local analogy. having a weak GOP is bad for the US. having a strong GOP is worse).
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Post by Value Buy on Feb 25, 2022 15:40:09 GMT -5
Here are the tossup seats, for those interested: NH-Hassan (D) AZ-Kelly (D) GA-Warnock (D) NV-Cortez Masto (D) NC-Open (R) PA-Open (R) WI-Johnson (R)FL-Rubio (R) OH-Open (R) the true tossups are bolded. if either party wins all six (very unlikely), the result would be 53:47 the more likely outcome is that one party will win four or five, and as of right now, that leans slightly D. the best odds according to the above survey are that Democrats will win 5 of the six, at 7.2% How about the Vermont Senate seat?
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Post by deminmaine on Feb 26, 2022 11:46:50 GMT -5
i think it destabilizes the entire planet. part of what makes this world go 'round is that aggressors have effective opposition. if the US is weak, then Russia and China run the table. if Russia and China are weak, the US runs the table. it is better to have no table running. (note: there is a local analogy. having a weak GOP is bad for the US. having a strong GOP is worse). LOL! (Bolded is mine)
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Post by djAdvocate on Feb 26, 2022 13:09:41 GMT -5
i should probably have put that differently, but my "mean girl" took over.
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Post by tbop77 on Feb 27, 2022 8:11:54 GMT -5
In an interview Saturday with Fox News and in a speech minutes later in front of the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), the oldest and largest annual gathering of leaders and activists on the right, Scott argued that "if the Republicans return to Washington’s business as usual, if we have no bigger plan than to be a speed bump on the road to America’s collapse, we actually don’t deserve to govern." www.foxnews.com/politics/rick-scott-touts-that-his-new-post-midterms-gop-roadmap-will-strike-fear-with-some-republicansDamn, did the world come to an end? A Republican actually told the truth.
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Post by tbop77 on Mar 7, 2022 9:59:45 GMT -5
Scott, the leader of the GOP's Senate midterm efforts, released an 11-point plan late last month that would impose a modest tax increase for many of the lowest paid Americans, while opening the door for cutting Social Security and Medicare. The Senate Democrats' political arm released a radio ad within 24 hours declaring, “If Senate Republicans win, we pay the price.” Staffers from Scott's Senate committee moved into triage mode almost immediately, reaching out to Republican campaigns across the country to gauge their frustration while offering messaging help, according to senior Republican strategists with direct knowledge of the situation. www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/republican-unforced-errors-threaten-path-to-senate-control/ar-AAUHBRA?ocid=msedgntpThey better watch out releasing info on what their plans are when they gain control of Congress.
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Post by Opti on Mar 7, 2022 12:40:59 GMT -5
Scott, the leader of the GOP's Senate midterm efforts, released an 11-point plan late last month that would impose a modest tax increase for many of the lowest paid Americans, while opening the door for cutting Social Security and Medicare. The Senate Democrats' political arm released a radio ad within 24 hours declaring, “If Senate Republicans win, we pay the price.” Staffers from Scott's Senate committee moved into triage mode almost immediately, reaching out to Republican campaigns across the country to gauge their frustration while offering messaging help, according to senior Republican strategists with direct knowledge of the situation. www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/republican-unforced-errors-threaten-path-to-senate-control/ar-AAUHBRA?ocid=msedgntpThey better watch out releasing info on what their plans are when they gain control of Congress. Let's cut their salaries and keep Medicare and SS where it is now. Raising taxes on the lowest paid Americans is tone deaf. I found out recently that some of my fellow renters had Catholic Charities pay their rent. Demand here for various things is high. While I hope to be working again by April, it will probably be midweek before I know if I have second interviews and when they will be. Then there's the fun of when one gets the first paycheck. Sometimes three weeks after you start working. Sigh. Hopefully most states who did not volunteer to use ID.me for unemployment are doing better, but I think its too early in the recovery from Covid to go after low paid workers. Oh, and cut military spending. That will help. And maybe craft some bills to cap Presidential grift like we saw in the former President's term. That would save some money.
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Post by happyhoix on Mar 24, 2022 7:02:22 GMT -5
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Post by haapai on Mar 26, 2022 18:05:36 GMT -5
Thank-you Tenn. I'm topping this and spiking what I started.
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Post by happyhoix on Mar 26, 2022 22:02:55 GMT -5
Some Georgia voters are trying to keep Margery Taylor Green from being re-elected due to the 14th amendment www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/03/25/marjorie-taylor-greene-eligible-reelection/7167183001/WOn’t work. We’ll be stuck with that dingbat another 2 years unless Congress refuses to seat her. And also - she stated we needed to keep Buttegieg and his husband out of ‘our girls’ bathrooms.” Not sure why two gay guys would want to use a girls’ bathroom. I assume she confused them for transgendered males who started life as women? Wouldn’t it have been more scary to the MAGA crowd to threaten them with Buttagieg and his husband in the little boy’s bathrooms? Whatever. Just more of her mouth rubbish.
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Post by djAdvocate on Mar 26, 2022 22:07:03 GMT -5
i just heard that some Republican congressman resigned today after being federally indicted.
as of today, the GOP has a 61% chance of hanging on to the House (post in 125), and the Senate is a tossup, but slightly favoring DEMOCRATS.
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Post by Tennesseer on Mar 26, 2022 22:20:27 GMT -5
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Mar 26, 2022 22:28:38 GMT -5
ah yes. convicted. that's right.
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Post by tbop77 on Apr 2, 2022 6:42:48 GMT -5
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Post by happyhoix on Apr 2, 2022 8:21:09 GMT -5
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Post by happyhoix on Apr 2, 2022 8:40:35 GMT -5
So explain Mo Brooks to me - I know he was a huge Trump supporter and gave a big speech for Trump on J6 - but then Trump un-endorsed Brooks in his Alabama re-election campaign, and now Brooks has come out saying that Trump is, even today, demanding that loyal congresspeople kick Biden out and get Trump back in the White House. www.cnbc.com/2022/03/23/mo-brooks-says-trump-asked-him-to-rescind-election-remove-biden.htmlAnd now Alabama is in a mess as the remaining GOP candidates all jockey for Trump’s endorsement. What I can’t figure out is why Brooks turned on Trump/why Trump un-endorsed him. Brooks is claiming Trump got mad when Brooks told him what he wanted to do (kick Biden out) was illegal, and that made Trump so mad he unendorsed him. - but Mo gave that big speech on J6 proposing to do just that?? And so far, has continued to spout the big lie. I saw the suggestion someplace else that Trump saw how poorly Mo was doing in the polls and didn’t want his loss to tarnish Trump’s reputation as being a magical endorsement, but I’m not sure that’s true? Although I have zero doubt Trump would cut off any MAGA minion from his coattails, no matter how big a booster they were, for whatever small infraction. Trump has zero loyalty. Anyone know more about what’s going on with Mo?
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Post by happyhoix on Apr 2, 2022 8:47:17 GMT -5
Hmm maybe it was just that Brooks was sagging in the polls. www.newsweek.com/mo-brooks-falls-polls-donald-trump-mulls-pulling-endorsement-1689479As he was dropping, he made a statement that we just need to move on from the 2020 election, and Trump jumped in and said he couldn’t support someone who felt that way. - and then he pulled the endorsement. So yeah it looks like Trump dumped a long time rabid supporter because he wasn’t polling well. Not surprising at all..
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Post by Opti on Apr 2, 2022 9:14:32 GMT -5
Since he's done nothing about the corruption he says exists, why should he be re-elected? No one asked him to throw anyone under the bus, but that's where he went. I think he spoke to some GOP higher up and admitted drug-wise, all he saw was he thinks a parking valet doing drugs from a distance. He's one of the new GOP liars who love to make up stories.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 2, 2022 11:55:11 GMT -5
seriously. who liked that guy? conservatives picked him as a conservative toady for Trump. and by the end of four years, they were LITERALLY ready to hang him.
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 2, 2022 12:00:52 GMT -5
how can he possibly blame the media? the media was the platform he used to get the orgy and drug comments out.
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Post by Rukh O'Rorke on Apr 2, 2022 14:11:51 GMT -5
seriously. who liked that guy? conservatives picked him as a conservative toady for Trump. and by the end of four years, they were LITERALLY ready to hang him. id love to see trump and pence battling for the nom.....imagine what might be said in the heat of debate! If trump runs, will they do the usual? ik they dont for incumbent but not sure what happens when.....wfi.....a LOSER! tries again.
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Post by happyhoix on Apr 2, 2022 14:19:42 GMT -5
Since he's done nothing about the corruption he says exists, why should he be re-elected? No one asked him to throw anyone under the bus, but that's where he went. I think he spoke to some GOP higher up and admitted drug-wise, all he saw was he thinks a parking valet doing drugs from a distance. He's one of the new GOP liars who love to make up stories. Yeah I read a little about him when he first came on the scene as a GOP young up and comer. He was in a wreck, his friend was driving, his friend pulled an unconscious Cawthorne out of the car before it caught on fire. Now Cawthorne claims his friend got scared and ran off and he (Cawthorne) had to drag himself (over broken glass) to safety before the car blew up. So ok, maybe not the most trustworthy witness, maybe likes attention and applause more than he likes the truth. But what politician wouldn’t know not to spin tales about his own party being into drugs and sex parties? Even freshmen politicians know that.
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 2, 2022 14:42:59 GMT -5
seriously. who liked that guy? conservatives picked him as a conservative toady for Trump. and by the end of four years, they were LITERALLY ready to hang him. id love to see trump and pence battling for the nom.....imagine what might be said in the heat of debate! If trump runs, will they do the usual? ik they dont for incumbent but not sure what happens when.....wfi.....a LOSER! tries again. Trump's disapproval would be historically high for a candidate. he is well over 60%. Democrats and liberals obviously hate him. he has 90% disapproval. but moderates disapprove of him too, and even the "leaning Republicans" are about even across the spectrum. ONLY the strong conservatives like him. God knows why.
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Post by djAdvocate on Apr 2, 2022 14:44:18 GMT -5
i guess this begs the question: who will they run? because among likely candidates, Trump might conceivably win the nomination. he would almost certainly lose the election- but if the GOP can field someone better.....
WHO WOULD THAT BE?
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Post by Rukh O'Rorke on Apr 2, 2022 15:09:01 GMT -5
i guess this begs the question: who will they run? because among likely candidates, Trump might conceivably win the nomination. he would almost certainly lose the election- but if the GOP can field someone better..... WHO WOULD THAT BE? lol, I hear sarah palin is trying to get back in the game better to us sane people would someone like mitt romney, but to those people maybe ron desantis? Is ted cruz still waiting for his shot at the oval office? What are broebart and marge thinking about their future? I don't see the gop getting a sane candidate as the nominee. on the other side, is biden going to run again? I think he is talking like he is, but not a good thing to my mind.
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