Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Dec 27, 2019 13:50:32 GMT -5
I pretty much said that about Obama in January of 2008........I will never take anyone for granted again. Democrats thought they had the same slam dunk in 2016 and look what happened..... I assume she will win re-election to her district in 2020, and then she has that seat for as long as she wants it. Not sure if NY state has the stomach to elect her to the Senate, but if she stays where she is until 2024, I see her as a viable nominee for the Democrats.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Dec 27, 2019 14:18:20 GMT -5
Oh, ye of little faith! The polls were all against Trump up to the end of November. Trending upwards since then when Republicans told Democrats their tactics will bite them in the butt. Members here have to quit drinking the democratic kool-aid. Take two aspirin and you will feel better in the morning. P.S. Check your stock portfolios this week. Up up and away! Housing market and new home construction up and up more. Consumer sentiment, other than cranky Democrats, high. Recession? No, a resounding no! President Trump will increase his Electoral College numbers on the Presidential race in 2020 I would give that last statement about a 5% chance. there is nothing to indicate he will do better in 2020.
if you feel otherwise- if you have ANY evidence that he will do better, post it. otherwise, you are trolling.
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Dec 27, 2019 14:48:34 GMT -5
Evidently to keep dj happy I must post only one liners here. Now I am trolling when I made six points and he picks the last one to complain about. Electoral College numbers, I admit it is too early to put all of them in the book for Trump. We will have to wait until mid October to lock them down tight....... Or the night before the election, because national news organizations never saw what was going to hit them in the face election day
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Dec 27, 2019 14:51:00 GMT -5
To quote a Chicago White Sox announcer with a one word difference in his chatch phrase...... Trump! Put it in the books in 2020....YES! and no apoligy to the Hawk Harrelson for stealing his tagline.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Dec 27, 2019 15:33:56 GMT -5
Evidently to keep dj happy I must post only one liners here. Now I am trolling when I made six points and he picks the last one to complain about. Electoral College numbers, I admit it is too early to put all of them in the book for Trump. We will have to wait until mid October to lock them down tight....... Or the night before the election, because national news organizations never saw what was going to hit them in the face election day actually, I had a bad reaction to "check your stock portfolio", VB.
unlike most people on this board, you know precisely where I am at with that. you KNOW that I am "negative beta" invested. that means, as stocks RISE, my portfolio generally DROPS.
this last month has been an exception, because metals prices are rising. but that has nothing to do with my success, nor does the general success of the stock market in the last (2) years (which I have also pointed out is minimal. the stock market is up less than 4% from it's peak 22 months ago. that ROI could have been duplicated in the money market, without much effort, and zero risk).
so, yeah, I just replied to the last remark, but the trolling comment applied to the portfolio comment, as well.
as to your last remark this time, I couldn't care less. Network "news" is a joke. nobody should take it seriously.
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Dec 27, 2019 16:28:23 GMT -5
Evidently to keep dj happy I must post only one liners here. Now I am trolling when I made six points and he picks the last one to complain about. Electoral College numbers, I admit it is too early to put all of them in the book for Trump. We will have to wait until mid October to lock them down tight....... Or the night before the election, because national news organizations never saw what was going to hit them in the face election day actually, I had a bad reaction to "check your stock portfolio", VB.
unlike most people on this board, you know precisely where I am at with that. you KNOW that I am "negative beta" invested. that means, as stocks RISE, my portfolio generally DROPS.
this last month has been an exception, because metals prices are rising. but that has nothing to do with my success, nor does the general success of the stock market in the last (2) years (which I have also pointed out is minimal. the stock market is up less than 4% from it's peak 22 months ago. that ROI could have been duplicated in the money market, without much effort, and zero risk).
so, yeah, I just replied to the last remark, but the trolling comment applied to the portfolio comment, as well.
as to your last remark this time, I couldn't care less. Network "news" is a joke. nobody should take it seriously.
Sorry, I misunderstood your comment. You said you disagreed with my last statement, and I took it you were talking about the Electoral College number since that was my last statement in my post As far as your investment strategy, it is far different than mine. I do not have the fortitude to do what you do, and I imagine most people here are mainly mainstream type investors and do not go "against the grain" with individual stock purchases for the most part. I wish you much success in 2020 and beyond in your strategy!
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Tennesseer
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Post by Tennesseer on Dec 27, 2019 18:28:07 GMT -5
Will 'chatch' as in "chatch phrase" be THE portmanteau of 2020?
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Dec 27, 2019 22:08:38 GMT -5
actually, I had a bad reaction to "check your stock portfolio", VB.
unlike most people on this board, you know precisely where I am at with that. you KNOW that I am "negative beta" invested. that means, as stocks RISE, my portfolio generally DROPS.
this last month has been an exception, because metals prices are rising. but that has nothing to do with my success, nor does the general success of the stock market in the last (2) years (which I have also pointed out is minimal. the stock market is up less than 4% from it's peak 22 months ago. that ROI could have been duplicated in the money market, without much effort, and zero risk).
so, yeah, I just replied to the last remark, but the trolling comment applied to the portfolio comment, as well.
as to your last remark this time, I couldn't care less. Network "news" is a joke. nobody should take it seriously.
Sorry, I misunderstood your comment. You said you disagreed with my last statement, and I took it you were talking about the Electoral College number since that was my last statement in my post As far as your investment strategy, it is far different than mine. I do not have the fortitude to do what you do, and I imagine most people here are mainly mainstream type investors and do not go "against the grain" with individual stock purchases for the most part. I wish you much success in 2020 and beyond in your strategy! I need the market to get crushed for it to work out great for me.
but as history has shown, if the market goes up, I do ok, too.
I am going to be up 13%
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Jan 1, 2020 9:13:29 GMT -5
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Jan 1, 2020 15:31:17 GMT -5
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Jan 1, 2020 15:33:20 GMT -5
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Post by tallguy on Jan 1, 2020 15:58:50 GMT -5
I am a moderate independent. I want a Biden-Buttigieg ticket anyway. ANYONE is better than Trump though.
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Jan 2, 2020 9:09:57 GMT -5
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Post by NomoreDramaQ1015 on Jan 2, 2020 11:31:47 GMT -5
Doesn't surprise me my brother is a die hard Bernie supporter and when Bernie did not win the nomination my brother stayed home. It takes A LOT of effort to not inform him he has no right to bitch because not voting at all is just as much a decision as voting for someone is.
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Jan 2, 2020 13:18:48 GMT -5
Julian Castro just dropped out. Well the democratic field just got older and whiter. Almost looks like the Republican field at the same time in January of 2016.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 2, 2020 16:20:50 GMT -5
my cousin thinks he will win.
she thought Trump would win, too.
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Post by thyme4change on Jan 3, 2020 17:11:12 GMT -5
I wish Buttigieg had more governing experience. He is young enough to excite voters under 40, and moderate enough to placate independents. The guy is smart as hell. Andrew Yang is also super smart and would have the young vote. Unfortunately, he tied himself to UBI, which won't fly. He also has no governing experience. But, he would probably be a great leader.
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Post by Wisconsin Beth on Jan 4, 2020 13:51:23 GMT -5
I wish Buttigieg had more governing experience. He is young enough to excite voters under 40, and moderate enough to placate independents. The guy is smart as hell. Andrew Yang is also super smart and would have the young vote. Unfortunately, he tied himself to UBI, which won't fly. He also has no governing experience. But, he would probably be a great leader. Yeah, that's why I think Buttigieg will end up with a VP offer at the DNC in July. I suppose Yang could too. I don't know as much about him though. Not that I know a ton about Buttigieg either.
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Post by bean29 on Jan 5, 2020 7:48:54 GMT -5
I wish Buttigieg had more governing experience. He is young enough to excite voters under 40, and moderate enough to placate independents. The guy is smart as hell. Andrew Yang is also super smart and would have the young vote. Unfortunately, he tied himself to UBI, which won't fly. He also has no governing experience. But, he would probably be a great leader. I agree about Yang, sometimes when I listen to him speak, he seems like he would be a good leader, but even I am picturing them redistributing my hard earned $ to lazy people.
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thyme4change
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Post by thyme4change on Jan 5, 2020 12:35:17 GMT -5
I wish Buttigieg had more governing experience. He is young enough to excite voters under 40, and moderate enough to placate independents. The guy is smart as hell. Andrew Yang is also super smart and would have the young vote. Unfortunately, he tied himself to UBI, which won't fly. He also has no governing experience. But, he would probably be a great leader. I agree about Yang, sometimes when I listen to him speak, he seems like he would be a good leader, but even I am picturing them redistributing my hard earned $ to lazy people. Even if he became president AND the Democrats kept the house AND Democrats get the Senate, we still wouldn't pass UBIs. But it is too late. He chose that as his centerpiece, and that will travel with him forever.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 8, 2020 21:11:27 GMT -5
the last week has been:
a) good for Sanders. he has had several polls putting him at over 20%, and he is at his highest polling average SINCE APRIL. he also has some momentum, which he really needs going into primary season. b) ok for Biden. he still has his double digit lead (or nearly), and is within 1% of his best numbers in the last five months. that having been said, he is probably not going to win the primary with 31%, so stay tuned. it is still a race. c) luke warm for Warren. the bleeding has stopped, but she is clearly not the strongest candidate at this juncture. whatever the reason, she seems stuck at 15% d) bad for Buttigeig. he has lost 4% since November. which is not a big deal if you are a front runner. but it is a very bad deal for a 4th place candidate. c) good for Bloomberg. he has gained 3% since November. which is a big deal when you start out with 3%.
so, there you have it. nothing really to suggest that Biden will lose the nomination, but he seems incapable of locking it up, as well, and the dark horses appear to be getting darker.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 15, 2020 1:47:59 GMT -5
....and then there were 12. interesting development for Steyer. he polled in the 2nd tier in NV and SC (even though he is barely registering nationally), so he is going to make the next debate. strategically very smart. wonder who is running his campaign. oddly, Warren is having her best polling since before Thanksgiving. Sanders has drifted down slightly. most of the action is on the 3rd tier tho, where Steyer and Yang are continuing to bump up, and Buttigeig is continuing to fall (after briefly being a 2nd tier candidate in the first week of December). Biden is also sinking. he doesn't seem to be quite able of putting the field away. this race is still not very interesting. it is still Biden, Sanders, and Warren (with the latter two trading places for the last six months). in that order. the stupid Iowa Caucuses are less than 3 weeks away, and it is a 4 way tie. I think Biden might win Iowa, given the superiority of his ground game. NH is 4 weeks away, and Biden is leading there, too. Biden is also leading in NV. and he is absolutely crushing it in SC. again, as I said, not very interesting. Biden appears to be walking away with it.... appears....
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Post by thyme4change on Jan 15, 2020 14:40:49 GMT -5
....and then there were 12. interesting development for Steyer. he polled in the 2nd tier in NV and SC (even though he is barely registering nationally), so he is going to make the next debate. strategically very smart. wonder who is running his campaign. oddly, Warren is having her best polling since before Thanksgiving. Sanders has drifted down slightly. most of the action is on the 3rd tier tho, where Steyer and Yang are continuing to bump up, and Buttigeig is continuing to fall (after briefly being a 2nd tier candidate in the first week of December). Biden is also sinking. he doesn't seem to be quite able of putting the field away. this race is still not very interesting. it is still Biden, Sanders, and Warren (with the latter two trading places for the last six months). in that order. the stupid Iowa Caucuses are less than 3 weeks away, and it is a 4 way tie. I think Biden might win Iowa, given the superiority of his ground game. NH is 4 weeks away, and Biden is leading there, too. Biden is also leading in NV. and he is absolutely crushing it in SC. again, as I said, not very interesting. Biden appears to be walking away with it.... appears.... The interesting thing about caucuses is that everyone's #2 choice is as important as their #1 choice. I am under the impression that Bernie has a rabid base, but not a lot of support outside that, which makes it harder for him to win against a wide field. I wish all primaries had ranked voting.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 15, 2020 16:17:55 GMT -5
as long as you get your pretend-moderate Republican senator out of there, I will have nothing but praise for ME next year.
(you already did well getting Governor Whackadoodle out. before then, I was ranking you guys down with Georgia and Kansas in terms of bullcrappery)
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kadee79
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Post by kadee79 on Jan 15, 2020 17:09:55 GMT -5
as long as you get your pretend-moderate Republican senator out of there, I will have nothing but praise for ME next year. (you already did well getting Governor Whackadoodle out. before then, I was ranking you guys down with Georgia and Kansas in terms of bullcrappery) Wait a minute....Alabama is more "bull crapery" than Ga.! I know, I live down here!
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 15, 2020 17:12:11 GMT -5
as long as you get your pretend-moderate Republican senator out of there, I will have nothing but praise for ME next year. (you already did well getting Governor Whackadoodle out. before then, I was ranking you guys down with Georgia and Kansas in terms of bullcrappery) Wait a minute....Alabama is more "bull crapery" than Ga.! I know, I live down here! I know it is. and Utah. and Oklahoma. and South Dakota. and Idaho.
but I tried to pick something that was closer to purple.
AL is dark red. GA might conceivably flip this year.
#youhearditherefirst
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happyhoix
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Post by happyhoix on Jan 15, 2020 18:46:32 GMT -5
Wait a minute....Alabama is more "bull crapery" than Ga.! I know, I live down here! I know it is. and Utah. and Oklahoma. and South Dakota. and Idaho.
but I tried to pick something that was closer to purple.
AL is dark red. GA might conceivably flip this year.
#youhearditherefirst
In THEORY GA could flip - except for all the bull crapery hi jinx the GOP does with voter registrations/closing polling stations in minority areas, etc. The chief bullcrapper is our governor, unfortunately.
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happyhoix
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Post by happyhoix on Jan 15, 2020 18:48:39 GMT -5
Buttigieg can't draw hardly any black votes. Can't get out of low single digits, which will cripple him in SC primary.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 15, 2020 19:03:51 GMT -5
Buttigieg can't draw hardly any black votes. Can't get out of low single digits, which will cripple him in SC primary. I thought he had a shot a month ago, but not now. Bloomberg looks more possible to me than Buttegeig.
for the record: I think it is a shame. the man is brilliant, and unflappable.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on Jan 15, 2020 19:06:28 GMT -5
as long as you get your pretend-moderate Republican senator out of there, I will have nothing but praise for ME next year. (you already did well getting Governor Whackadoodle out. before then, I was ranking you guys down with Georgia and Kansas in terms of bullcrappery) Gov. Whackadoodle was termed out. But thank you anyway. Senator pretend mod will be a bit tougher I'm afraid. She has more money than God it seems. But, this would be the year. She has some vulnerability, and there is a very viable candidate running against her. A lot of women haven't forgotten the Cavenaugh vote either. can you post something on her opponent, dem?
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