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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2013 10:33:35 GMT -5
Trend My friend . That's what I am guessing. the trend has been pretty flat for the last few years. you mean "long term trend"? Are you ready for mind game today? dj You knows it very well which trend.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on May 22, 2013 10:34:30 GMT -5
the trend has been pretty flat for the last few years. you mean "long term trend"? Are you ready for mind game today? dj LOL!@You knows it very well which trend. no, i don't. HONEST INJUN! i don't play games, snow. if i ask, i don't know.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 22, 2013 10:40:57 GMT -5
Look at the balance sheet of Fed since 2009. dj That's what I am guessing. the trend since 2009 is much shallower than what they are projecting. that is my entire point. why are they expecting the acceleration in spending?
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on May 22, 2013 10:43:31 GMT -5
ok, got it. they are expecting the trend since 2007 to hold.
i don't.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 22, 2013 10:44:09 GMT -5
the trend since 2009 is much shallower than what they are projecting. that is my entire point. why are they expecting the acceleration in spending? Is anything changed since? oh yes. clearly. many many things have changed since 2007.
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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2013 10:53:43 GMT -5
Take a look, Post 124. dj I will chat with you later.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 22, 2013 10:55:16 GMT -5
Take a look, Post 124. dj I will chat with you later. i did. post 127 was in response to 124.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 22, 2013 10:56:24 GMT -5
oh yes. clearly. many many things have changed since 2007. For how long? a decade? a generation? i think what has happened is major.You know it very well when Fed changes current course by unseenable force in the future. We are in big trouble aren't you. no. i think we are in for a rough road, that's all. there is no free lunch.
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Post by usaone on May 22, 2013 14:25:41 GMT -5
We already don't have a free lunch. Gas quadrupled between 2000 and 2008 ect.....
We can run 90% to 100% debt to GDP forever. Not a scenario I endorse but Japan has done it for decades.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 22, 2013 15:14:28 GMT -5
We already don't have a free lunch. Gas quadrupled between 2000 and 2008 ect..... We can run 90% to 100% debt to GDP forever. Not a scenario I endorse but Japan has done it for decades. slight correction: Japan has run 180 to 200% DTGDP for 30 years. oddly, nobody talks about them going bankrupt.
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Post by Deleted on May 25, 2013 17:26:07 GMT -5
Interesting opinion piece I just read from "Washington post". Have a great Memorial weekend everyone. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/dana-milbank-where-money-talks/2013/05/24/d6d64afe-c47e-11e2-8c3b-0b5e9247e8ca_story.html?hpid=z5
Call it the revenge of the 1 percent.
President Obama bested Mitt Romney by portraying his Republican opponent as a rich businessman who used offshore tax havens and ran enterprises into the ground without regard for working people.
On Thursday, senators held a confirmation hearing for Obama’s nominee to be commerce secretary: a billionaire who benefits from offshore tax havens, whose family owned a failed savings and loan and who is accused by unions of mistreating workers.
Turns out the wealthy didn’t lose the 2012 election; rather, the Republican rich lost to the Democratic rich.
This is not to question the qualifications of Penny Pritzker, the Hyatt hotels heiress and Democratic mega-donor Obama nominated. I suspect she’ll be a fine commerce secretary when she is confirmed, as she surely will be.
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djAdvocate
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Post by djAdvocate on May 26, 2013 20:30:41 GMT -5
Interesting opinion piece I just read from "Washington post". Have a great Memorial weekend everyone. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/dana-milbank-where-money-talks/2013/05/24/d6d64afe-c47e-11e2-8c3b-0b5e9247e8ca_story.html?hpid=z5
Call it the revenge of the 1 percent.
President Obama bested Mitt Romney by portraying his Republican opponent as a rich businessman who used offshore tax havens and ran enterprises into the ground without regard for working people.
On Thursday, senators held a confirmation hearing for Obama’s nominee to be commerce secretary: a billionaire who benefits from offshore tax havens, whose family owned a failed savings and loan and who is accused by unions of mistreating workers.
Turns out the wealthy didn’t lose the 2012 election; rather, the Republican rich lost to the Democratic rich.
that is only a fair assessment at the political level. and a fundraising level it is pretty far from reality.
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Post by Deleted on May 27, 2013 7:37:32 GMT -5
www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/moving-from-austerity-to-a-more-balanced-agenda-by-michael-spenceILAN – In a recent set of studies, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff used a vast array of historical data to show that the accumulation of high levels of public (and private) debt relative to GDP has an extended negative effect on growth. The size of the effect incited debate about errors in their calculations. Few, however, doubt the validity of the pattern. Create comment on this paragraphThis should not be surprising. Accumulating excessive debt usually entails moving some part of domestic aggregate demand forward in time, so the exit from that debt must include more savings and diminished demand. The negative shock adversely impacts the non-tradable sector, which is large (roughly two-thirds of an advanced economy) and wholly dependent on domestic demand. As a result, growth and employment rates fall during the deleveraging period.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 27, 2013 10:04:04 GMT -5
www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/moving-from-austerity-to-a-more-balanced-agenda-by-michael-spenceILAN – In a recent set of studies, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff used a vast array of historical data to show that the accumulation of high levels of public (and private) debt relative to GDP has an extended negative effect on growth. The size of the effect incited debate about errors in their calculations. Few, however, doubt the validity of the pattern. Create comment on this paragraphThis should not be surprising. Accumulating excessive debt usually entails moving some part of domestic aggregate demand forward in time, so the exit from that debt must include more savings and diminished demand. The negative shock adversely impacts the non-tradable sector, which is large (roughly two-thirds of an advanced economy) and wholly dependent on domestic demand. As a result, growth and employment rates fall during the deleveraging period. precisely. but this doesn't explain WHY the debt has occurred. and the reason is: the failure of wages to keep up with gains in productivity for the first time in American history.
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Post by Deleted on May 27, 2013 10:08:37 GMT -5
That's not my intend for the posting the article. Intend of article's little deeper than that. Too much debt equals slower growth.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 27, 2013 10:14:12 GMT -5
That's not my intend for the posting the article. Intend of article's little deeper than that. Too much debt equals slower growth. i understand that, and i agree, snow. i was just pointing out that debt was under control until the American Dream started to slowly crumble in the 70's>00's.
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Post by Deleted on May 27, 2013 10:19:49 GMT -5
That's not my intend for the posting the article. Intend of article's little deeper than that. Too much debt equals slower growth. i understand that, and i agree, snow. i was just pointing out that debt was under control until the American Dream started to slowly crumble in the 70's>00's. It's kind of sad to watch unfold in front of our own eyes. Isn't it? dj Have a great day.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 27, 2013 10:34:57 GMT -5
i understand that, and i agree, snow. i was just pointing out that debt was under control until the American Dream started to slowly crumble in the 70's>00's. It's kind of sad to watch unfold in front of our own eyes. Isn't it? dj Have a great day. it really is. moreover, it is puzzling trying to figure out how to fix it. the fox is in charge of the henhouse.
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Post by Deleted on May 27, 2013 10:38:02 GMT -5
I am still very hopeful we will irons out this difficult task in the future. We don't have not many choices left in our finger tips.
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Post by billisonboard on May 27, 2013 10:53:11 GMT -5
Consider the decline in the effectiveness of economic colonialism (e.g. OPEC).
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Post by Deleted on May 28, 2013 5:59:52 GMT -5
Haven't we had this conversation before? Maybe it was with someone else.... The main reason that wages stopped growing was because of the increases in non-wage income. It's not the only reason, but I don't understand why people choose to ignore this fact. The ECI is published regularly by the gov't. Haven't looked at it lately, but it steadily climbed at least well in to the '00s.
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Post by Deleted on May 31, 2013 16:23:08 GMT -5
As the economy improves, the Fed will no longer be able to hold interest rates down without causing massive inflation. The days of that program are numbered. Although it should have been scaled back already, in my opinion.
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Post by djAdvocate on May 31, 2013 16:58:16 GMT -5
As the economy improves, the Fed will no longer be able to hold interest rates down without causing massive inflation. very true. and they have been hinting that this might happen in the intermediate term, lately.
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Post by usaone on Jun 5, 2013 12:32:23 GMT -5
If the economy is picking up we do not need interest rates as low. Not a bad thing.
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Post by workpublic on Jun 8, 2013 11:24:33 GMT -5
the second the fed stops pumping billions into the market each month it will crash. fear and greed thingy. even a hint at it will drop the markets 700+ points that day.
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Post by djAdvocate on Jun 9, 2013 11:19:50 GMT -5
the second the fed stops pumping billions into the market each month it will crash. fear and greed thingy. even a hint at it will drop the markets 700+ points that day. horsefeathers.
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