Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jan 3, 2012 3:01:13 GMT -5
There have been lots of calls from some about money that was being injected into the banking system and how it was causing the dollar to lose value. That the dollar would never regain its strength, and eventually it would crash and burn to be replaced with a world currency. Unfortunately for the USA demise spreaders, that just isn't the case, and even though it hasn't been a huge return, the D&G around here is keeping with there track record because... Dollar Demise Exaggerated as 13% Gain Since ’08 Proves Value www.businessweek.com/news/2012-01-03/dollar-demise-exaggerated-as-13-gain-since-08-proves-value.html Which leaves it right on par with the Value in 1991, when the YEN was trying to make it's accent to a reserve currency stats. Since then the Euro has come, and is now a broken instrument, and the next best hope for a reserve currency, or even a counter part to the USD, is the Chinese Yaun. The Yuan still isn't even considered an international currency. They have just finally taken some right steps though, such as: swaps with Japan, Yen bond buys in Yaun, and letting their currency float. However, it will take 30 yrs before it will be a stable long term option for a currency because of all the "new reserves" that were supposed to have wiped out the USD since it has take the crown from the pound. Even then the Yaun will only be a balance, at best, for "reserve" status. Long live KING KASH, USD!!!!  |
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Virgil Showlion
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Post by Virgil Showlion on Jan 3, 2012 3:24:29 GMT -5
It's the boat sinking the least quickly, Ham. We had all better pray Europe doesn't get their financial house in order.
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Post by jarhead1976 on Jan 3, 2012 9:39:02 GMT -5
Considering that China and the US are the biggest traders of goods , it is best we continue to co-operate,.The Yuan is said to be undervalued by up to 45%. I see it reaching "reserve " status in 10 not 30 years. Currency war you bet!
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jan 3, 2012 23:16:26 GMT -5
jarhead, I see it more like "internal wars?" The Chinese are trying to convince their people that cultural reform is bad, and that their crasck downs are good?  China’s President Lashes Out at Western Culture www.nytimes.com/2012/01/04/world/asia/chinas-president-pushes-back-against-western-culture.html Are we sure there will even be a Yuan in 10 yrs?? IMO, by the time China gets there the idea of one reserve will be long gone, and there will be a new way that everything will be price in dollars still. Considering the Yuan will always be wort X amount of USD and X amount of YEN and X amount of CND. We are well on our way there anyway. Don't forget the YEN was also on the way to taking over the USD at one point too. It got to about 9% of total world reserve, then faded because of a depression. China still has to have their depression brother, and they have a VERY, VERY unrestfull society. The value of the YEN however, is at an all time high right now, and all it does is help the US's manufacturing sector. It's the boat sinking the least quickly, Ham. We had all better pray Europe doesn't get their financial house in order. Good one Virg! lol.. How bout those currency swaps?  |
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jan 12, 2012 2:12:51 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jan 12, 2012 11:47:16 GMT -5
No worries about the comments. I can understand that having someone berate your home day after day gets tiresome. That's why it's nice to have Friends..  WHEN they crumble like the commies in Russia, it will be the best thing for us all. Unfortunately the Chinese people still have, another, world of hurt to go through. However, in the end, their American friends will be their to help them out, again. That is why no matter what, the USA will go down in history as the uniter of people throughout the world, and will always be blessed because of it. |
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jan 14, 2012 22:59:01 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jan 19, 2012 2:17:26 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jan 20, 2012 1:53:48 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Feb 11, 2012 23:55:50 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Mar 15, 2012 1:39:03 GMT -5
I wanted to get back into a topic that I started in the free enterprise thread and got sidetracked with. About money printing, devaluation and hyperinflation in the USA. How the Vid that V posted was fully of historical inaccuracies; such as the first really known currency devaluation was 1000+ yrs before the clip claims and how it was because of war, not business. The reason I bring this up again, the rising standard of living is the real reason for the inflation that we have now and that was the point of where I started the story in the first place. We have heard the stories about France in the 1700's and Germany in the 20's, again both because of war not business. During the "free banking" era of the late 1800's there were examples of devaluation and Hyperinflation, this time however, it was inside of a unified country and because of business. Like the Knickerbocker bank selling stocks then closing before anyone could redeem them. The British(Crown) was using the Pound as a tool to gain power and influence back in the USA.. After the Unified currency of 1913. The USD stated to gain in Valued against the Pound. During the roaring 20's the bank created money for expansions which they always have(this is one point the American Dream Video IS correct on) However, the result? A depression, not hyperinflation. By the 1950's the dollar was used to by everything and the pound was replaced for this purpose. We know that up until the 70's there was gold backing the USD(one of the last). Once that was removed, it was supposed to destroy the dollar. Since the dollar has been unppeged from gold, we still have yet to see a period of inflation over 50%. The pound still exists today, still is "valued" higher than the USD and the British people haven't suffered any type of hyperinflation from the fact that their pound is not back by gold or is no longer the reserve currency of the world. Since the 70's the Japanese currency and the Korean currency have increased in Value against the USD and this hasn't caused any type of hyperinflation. In fact, sourcing work and rising standards of living in these places has benefited everyone. Now the Yuan is rising in international standards, the thing about the Chinese reserves is that it's less than 2% gold. All of the money that they have to expand on is USD. As the Yuan rises in value it makes more jobs in everyone's own economy. As the standards of living in China are raised so is their pay just like in the late 1800's in the USA. This is all because of business and a real economy to grow, not because of war. During the 1600's, 1700's and for thousands of years before, the only real way to expand was through war. The industrial revolution changed all that, now we can expand through paying people more. King Dollar is a staple in the world economy much more than the pound ever was and the next biggest economy in the world has to use the King to grow. That is why Hyperinflation will not destroy the US consumer, or the USD, unlike times past; they need US more than we need them. China’s Yuan Marches Westward to Middle East Oil en.21cbh.com/HTML/2012-3-2/xNMjM2XzIxMTgxNA.htmlJapan gives China's yuan $10 billion stamp of approval www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/13/us-japan-china-investment-idUSBRE82C0BL20120313The Internationalization Of The Yuan www.forbes.com/sites/jackperkowski/2012/02/23/the-internationalization-of-the-yuan/?feed=rss_asiaIndia said to propose BRICS development bank to finance emerging nations www.trademarksa.org/news/india-said-propose-brics-development-bank-finance-emerging-nationsChina warns on growing water shortageswww.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/international-news/asian-pacific/china-warns-on-growing-water-shortages/article2340890/ |
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Apr 5, 2012 2:10:28 GMT -5
The story of China’s rise has always been, regardless of how the media portrays it, just like Ty says, “A tightrope act with a very large balance bar.” A poster on here has family that was just traveling in China, contrary to what reports are saying, China is still booming along. This doesn’t surprise me considering that the next logical phase in China’s development will be boosting domestic consumption. The Commie govt has put this in writing along with relaxing monetary policy to help spur business. As they spur consumption they will raise wages and the standard of living, this will reduce their export reliance, as we have just seen with the largest trade deficit in at least10 years. These deficits will become the norm and it will eventually lead them to reducing that large balance bar they have, they will then have to rely on their people to carry them forward. That is by far the biggest part of this tightrope act, the Commie govt of China and their transition into a democratic state. Make no mistake about it this transition is happening. Just look at the fishing village of Wukan, they protested a land grab last year and the result was elections. Surprise, surprise, another fishing village is following suit this year, and, it’s getting worse for the Chinese govt because just this past week rumors of tanks coming into the city of Beijing were floating around and they had to, basically, shut down the internet to contain it. Meanwhile, just about the same time, the FREE people of Hong Kong filled the streets letting their new leaders there know just how they feel about them. The Commies are trying to do whatever they can at this point to try and save face an go out with dignity, banning cigarette and alcohol purchases with public money is probably a good place to start. However, at this point, there is nothing they can really do, aside from going democratic, that will quell the rumors of a coming coup in China. The scary thing for China is that is only the tip of the iceberg when it comes right down to it. There are billions of dollars in bad loans that are overshadowing profits on the banks. These bad loans are mostly from real estate development and the banks, that are being broken up because of a monopoly, are understating the risks that have been but onto local governments. All this is evident in the fact that Chinese developers are setting up funds, which you DON’T want to invest in, so that they can try and raise money to stay a float. The biggest thing the media never seems to really point out that much; if China is this “New” power that will replace the USA as the biggest economy in the world, and the Yuan will replace King Dollar, all by 2020, 2030, 2040 or whatever THEY are saying right now. Then why are Chinese people looking at taking FRENCH for a backdoor into Canada? China calls for boost in domestic consumption www.dailyfinance.com/rtn/pr/china-calls-for-boost-in-domestic-consumption/rfid538836252/?channel=pfChina's rich spend on travel, health and education: report www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5h-A9-AQkRqbQf12cwsR2kvb0SCQQ?docId=CNG.65a0fee7d1f178af8bc035c95df49112.2b1China Quietly Relaxes Controls on Foreign Capital www.nytimes.com/2012/03/21/business/global/china-quietly-relaxes-controls-on-foreign-capital.html?_r=1&pagewanted=allChina Tests Financial Relaxation in Wenzhou online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303404704577309051957346004.htmlChinese villagers clash with police in land-grab protests www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/apr/03/chinese-police-land-grab-protests?newsfeed=trueChina Bans Mircoblog Comment as 6 Detained on Coup Rumor www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-31/china-closes-websites-for-rumors-microblog-sites-halt-comments.htmlRed Riding Hood Protests in Hong Kong blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2012/04/02/red-riding-hood-protests-in-hong-kong/China Banks Said to Underestimate Local Government Risks www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-23/china-banks-said-to-underestimate-local-government-risks.htmlRecord China Bank Profits to Be Overshadowed by Bad Loans www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-20/record-china-bank-profits-to-be-overshadowed-by-bad-loans.htmlChina Developers Set Up Funds as Cash Is Squeezed Amid Curbs www.businessweek.com/news/2012-03-20/chinese-developers-set-up-funds-as-cash-is-squeezed-amid-curbsChina Steel Mills Diversify to Lift Profits www.cnbc.com/id/46790270/China_Steel_Mills_Diversify_to_Lift_ProfitsChina to Ban Public Purchases of ‘High-End’ Alcohol www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-26/china-to-ban-public-purchases-of-high-end-alcohol-cigarettes.htmlWhy the coup rumours in China aren’t going away www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/worldview/why-the-coup-rumours-in-china-arent-going-away/article2376711/Chinese hoping ticket out of China is French classwww.dailyfinance.com/rtn/pr/chinese-hoping-ticket-out-of-china-is-french-class/rfid542760153/?channel=pf |
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Apr 19, 2012 0:22:55 GMT -5
This first part is from another thread but it’s a prefect introduction to what this post is about… North Korea has successfully isolated themselves further, creating more social upheaval and more problems for China. This means that China is stuck in the ME/Africa, the South China Sea, the Korean Peninsula, and they have all of the homeland issues. With this last act of aggression from Korea it's to the point that China has no other choice but to let their people go, they now have far more to deal with on the international stage than they can handle. However, this isn’t going to stop them from trying to control the way they let their people go. _______________________________________________ Not only is China starting to let their people go, they have stopped sending people back to North Korea to be executed from fleeing the country and joined the UN in condemning their actions. The South China Sea issues have also escalated and the Philippine Navy has shown to be superior in might. Meanwhile their interior problems are heating up, the Ghost Cites are starting to drop in value, so while they try to spend money and address all the social problems at home during this transition year, their good friends the Japanese have decide to step up and buy some disputed Islands that the Chinese still think they own. Man do I love OUR country!!  The American Dream, Alive and Well in China blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2012/04/18/the-american-dream-alive-and-well-in-china/China stops N.Korean deportations over rocket: report www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jJITPOH0kU5F5f0tK3EgikhNrBmA?docId=CNG.a8c1c3e2edf92a30cc1b3c9bd5ed11c1.1f1China on board with UN condemnation of NK english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_northkorea/528849.htmlChinese fishing boat returns after stalemate with Philippine Navy news.xinhuanet.com/english/video/2012-04/18/c_131535352.htmChina Home Prices Fall in More Than Half Cities Tracked www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-18/china-home-prices-fall-in-more-than-half-cities-tracked.htmlTokyo governor says city will buy disputed islands www.businessweek.com/ap/2012-04/D9U6OBI00.htmChina morning round-up: Selling disputed islands www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-17751936 |
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Apr 19, 2012 15:01:34 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Apr 25, 2012 2:03:24 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on May 2, 2012 17:06:32 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on May 8, 2012 15:50:00 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jun 4, 2012 10:35:26 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jun 4, 2012 15:18:37 GMT -5
Just HOW afraid are the Commies? Hmm lets see here... China Stocks Drop Echoes Tiananmen Anniversary www.cnbc.com/id/47671136 |
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jun 20, 2012 0:37:06 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Jul 18, 2012 0:33:48 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Sept 6, 2012 22:47:38 GMT -5
One thing that has been slowing simmering this year is the South China Sea. I have mentioned this a few times in the NO MATTER WHAT THE MARKETS WILL BE UP! thread, however, we are hearing enough in the news now that it deserves a little more focus at this time, JMO. While North Korea has remained staunch allies of the Chinese, they have serous famine problems, a 30 yr old ruler, and South Korea is trying to launch a reunification bid. Since China isn’t much better off overall than North Korea, there isn’t much that China can do to help their allie. This has forced North Korea to turn to Japan for economic developmental ties. The problem here for China is that Japan is trying to assert force and has just recently announced that they are going to buy some islands that they both claim ownership to. Chinese and Japanese citizens are protesting each others Govt’s over this dispute. Let’s not forget that China and Japan have been in wars on and off with each other a few times over the last 250+ years. The problem for China in this situation is that they won’t get any support from their neighbours. Vietnam, Taiwan, the Philippians, and Russia at this point all see China as a threat. The interesting thing here is that the only people that are trying to help out the Chinese are their dear old American friends. Just as the USA has helped lift billions of Chinese and Asian people out of poverty (slavery), they’re now in there making sure that we find a peaceful way forward. At this point you would think that would be enough issues for a developing economy to have to deal with, unfortunately for China this isn’t the case. Over the last six years they have had to raise wages so significantly that they have lost their exporting edge due to inflation. Since inflation’s main driver is wages this is where the next impact will be felt worldwide from the Chinese economy. The good news is this also means that wages world wide will begin to balance out. While things will cost more, there will be good paying jobs allowing people to stay ahead of inflation if they invest their money wisely for the future. We all know that exports and manufacturing has been the main driver of Chinese economic growth over the last 30 yrs. The fact they’re losing their edge is having a ripple effect throughout the central planning of the Commies. They have already published papers outlining that the next phase of their development will be focusing on the rural areas, and consumption in the lower class. The only way to do that of course is to raise wages, which at this point is fueling their downward spiral. They already know the only way out of this situation, as I have said before their new mantra is happiness not GDP! So while the markets seem to be anticipating some kind of move from the FED, all the FED says is that things in the USA are slow and steady. Therefore, I am anticipating that some of those trillions of dollars that China has horded will start to go to work in the Chinese economy once this new Commie party takes over, which will help stimulate the markets I’m sure. They have to have a BIG show for their new rulers to unveil so that they look like heroes in the publics eyes. The only logical thing for the Chinese to do in my mind to make this happen, is wait to launch their happiness not GDP agenda until after the new party is in power. That and the fact that they stated this was their plan openly last year at their conferences on the power transfer… Many on the web and in the media talk about a China, a rising super power. The one thing that is evident is that they have risen to fast; ghost cities, falling bridges, faulty super dams, and massive pollution are all a testament to this fact. Now they are about to enter a phase of prolonged slower growth, they have to focus their capital on social spending, which is odd since we are talking about a communist country here. China openly admits this so while many fear China’s rise, I would just bet on big American companies like MCD, YUM, and maybe a little WWE if you’re feeling lucky punk. ;D Why? Just remember who is in there right now helping them out with all of their neighbours. The Chinese don’t have time to worry about name brands when there is a possible war brewing. Japan concerned by China's navy, opaque leadership www.businessweek.com/ap/2012-07-31/japan-concerned-by-chinas-navy-opaque-leadershipChina morning round-up: South China Sea city opens door Newspapers report the inauguration of the local government in Sansha City, set up recently by Beijing to govern disputed South China Sea islands. www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-18978750Japan gov't agrees to buy disputed islands www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5h7Cs73332oXAvkBV1KeaGg-Q9UYw?docId=8dc8aaf0d8244ebab28134c6614c1e4fVietnam: China's Claims Disputed www.nytimes.com/2012/06/29/world/asia/vietnam-chinas-claims-disputed.html?_r=0Chinese fishermen detained by Russia return to China news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2012-08/08/c_131770124.htmChina calls for open, inclusive Asia-Pacific region news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2012-09/05/c_131829527.htmClinton heads to new rifts at Asia summit www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/afp_asiapacific/view/1224572/1/.htmlChina’s export prowess fading as inflation mounts, research shows www.thestar.com/business/article/1233731--china-s-export-prowess-fading-as-inflation-mounts-research-showsChina’s Apple factories struggle to fix overtime problems: audit www.theglobeandmail.com/technology/tech-news/chinas-apple-factories-struggle-to-fix-overtime-problems-audit/article4492772/China’s Vanishing Trade Imbalance By EDUARDO PORTER Published: May 1, 2012 www.nytimes.com/2012/05/02/business/economy/chinas-vanishing-trade-imbalance.html?pagewanted=allChina swings into capital account deficit in second quarter www.reuters.com/article/2012/07/31/us-china-economy-bop-idUSBRE86U0J320120731?feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews&rpc=986China warns of persistent economic problems www.cbsnews.com/8301-505123_162-57493979/china-warns-of-persistent-economic-problems/China's rural migrants key to consumption -government report www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/20/us-china-economy-consumers-idUSBRE87J03420120820?feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews&rpc=986Shenzhen minimum wage rise could impact tech product costs worldwide www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2012-08/28/shenzhen-pay-increaseBeijing's heaviest rain: Did China build too fast? articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2012-07-24/news/32828245_1_heavy-rains-global-times-civil-affairs-bureauChina’s Bridges Are Falling Down www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-29/china-s-bridges-are-falling-down.html |
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Sept 7, 2012 0:30:18 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Sept 8, 2012 15:44:58 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Sept 9, 2012 0:47:37 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Sept 12, 2012 0:36:47 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Sept 16, 2012 17:15:57 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Sept 21, 2012 1:23:04 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Sept 26, 2012 1:18:37 GMT -5
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Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger
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Post by Aman A.K.A. Ahamburger on Sept 29, 2012 1:44:09 GMT -5
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