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Post by Value Buy on Aug 8, 2022 9:04:25 GMT -5
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Post by Value Buy on Aug 8, 2022 8:59:12 GMT -5
Coming up on the one year debacle of the Afghanistan retreat.
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Post by Value Buy on Aug 8, 2022 8:57:19 GMT -5
Okay, again, Biden is finished and democrats have told everyone this. They do not want him. Period. Post whatever you feel about Trump, but he will not be leading the party in 2024 election but you know Biden is finished and will not head the party ticket. Accept it and be at peace with it. Remember I nailed this a long time ago.
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Post by Value Buy on Aug 8, 2022 8:52:36 GMT -5
Okay, kadee sprints out of the gate, and everyone seems to be beating the opening prices!
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Post by Value Buy on Aug 8, 2022 5:51:04 GMT -5
Okay, visited Six Flags Saturday and the water park Sunday ( it became a washout for us due to storms after two hours) with grandkids and now two great grandkids. I assure you my body will never be the same and I am officially done with wooden roller coasters. Head was still throbbing this Sunday morning. At least I can still handle the steel coasters. The young un's had a blast, and people spend money like there is no tomorrow and although I winced a couple of times at my wallet being emptied, I had a good time. Now where can I find a chiropacter this morning? So......this week I go with SIX, Six flags. And regardless of inflation and transportation costs America's economy is still fine this morning according to my observation this weekend. SIX, long.
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Aug 8, 2022 5:30:45 GMT -5
Congratulations to uncle! Darn benchmark......
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Post by Value Buy on Aug 3, 2022 14:08:48 GMT -5
ROCC REPORTED AFTER THE CLOSE YESTERDAY. Projected earnings $2.64 per share Actual earnings $5.59 per share, increase of $2.95 over projection equalling 112% over the projection....... Result? Drops like a rock because oil futures are dropping as I feared....... currently down over 6%. I get it. Even Chevron which jumped last week on great earnings is way down this week....... My only hope for this week is oil futures go way up next two days........ Even if oil goes south to $80 a barrel these companies are printing money. Just when I think I understand this shitty market I get knee capped.........
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 31, 2022 10:57:24 GMT -5
Well after last week's debacle (I own CVX and did not pick it like the idiot I am) I will follow up with another oil name. Ranger Oil, ticker, ROCC. They report this week and I expect they too should post a good number. ROCC, long. Congratulations to last week's winners! (Now watch oil go way down this week.......... )
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 29, 2022 9:12:59 GMT -5
Can anyone explain why my horse falls on the track after reporting record revenue, record profit and announces a new round of purchases of covid vaccine from the government? Their quarterly report was as good as it gets and their forward guidance was good too. This stock does not move much in the first place and yet is down two days in a row?
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 28, 2022 7:28:30 GMT -5
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 27, 2022 21:48:55 GMT -5
Bump. It can be fun for anyone, or when placing last for the week's race, kind of like not winning at wordl
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 27, 2022 21:31:09 GMT -5
omg! four of you are within 1%!!!! LOL! i think the market will go down tomorrow. the Fed news really was not very good. that was a "relief" rally, imo. on a brighter note: the Dow support level of 30k seems to have held for a bit now. Powell did what I wouold call Goldilocks question and answer after the rate hike. He looked like he was trying to save the stock market while insisting they will slay inflation. Cannot do both, but I thought he was at least more honest in his responses than in previous marks
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 27, 2022 14:47:41 GMT -5
Not sure about that. Look at Microsoft and Google yesterday. Both posted less than good earnings, and yet up nicely this morning. Not sure where Chipolte Mexican grill is this morning but same thing. After hours up over 5%. i think you are cherry picking. i am not talking about the weekly stock picks. i am talking about investments. MSFT is -20% YTD. so is GOOG. meanwhile, UNG is +150%, DBC is +20%. until about a month ago, grains were also +20%, but they got taken down a notch in mid-June and are now BARELY higher. Well, it does work both ways. MSFT at a 30% discount can be a bargain four years feom now. GOOG is not going anywhere either. I follow the commodities but if you think the big boys run stocks up and down, it is nothing compared to commodity trading. Need tight stops and constant monitoring to stay even, alommost a full time job and not for feint of heart
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Value Buy
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 27, 2022 14:41:41 GMT -5
Anyone consider Belize? We vacationed there about 15 years ago. I am not sure about health services being good or not.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 27, 2022 8:34:09 GMT -5
The Washington Post stopped at 2013? Florida might be more conservative now because of Cuban immigration and retired people moving there since then, but it is considered a toss up for most parties except in the Presidential contest most of the time these days. every state in the deep South is more conservative since then. i don't really consider Florida a tossup. i used to think so. but the last five or so presidential elections taught me otherwise. Virginia? Georgia? a black democrat Senator The Carolina's? Florida? As I said they vote Republican for the Presidency, but have a history of democrats in state government. With so many midwesterners coming in who vote Republican they are equaled by liberals from the east also moving in and still voting Democrat so it is a wash. I am not sure I consider Kentucky a true red state any longer.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 27, 2022 8:28:13 GMT -5
Okay, people........ Again, Trump will not be running in 2024. Only way he runs is if the current terrorists in Congress try to put him up for trial. (they will not) And if he does enter the primary, he will not win the primary. Republicans are turning away from Trump slowly but surely If he runs as an Independent, and if Joe was running, Joe would win due to Republicans splitting their vote and the destruction of this country will be completed. Quit beating the dead I believe we will have two candidates running against each other for the office in the fall election and neither one will be over 60 yrs old. The time of a babyboomer is over. Unfortunately, I cannot predict who will win the Republican primary, But dems will go with a progressive liberal Governor, probably, Newsome, or Pete from the Biden Administration. I lean towards Pete because they believe they have to break that glass ceiling of an openly gay man. (Truth can be stranger than fiction)
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 27, 2022 8:10:58 GMT -5
I am sending our passports in for renewal, they are ready. But what I wonder about is will our money be worth anything and can we get it out of the country. Also wondering if it should all be converted to cash and dug in somewhere. Hubs thinks he would even get rid of social security, I do too. NEVER in my life have I been worried about the continued existence of the USA as a free country. We are old and might live 20 more years at the most, but I think we are going to see changes we cannot even imagine. Put it in bitcoin!
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 27, 2022 7:49:42 GMT -5
And Kadee is on the bottom...it really dropped out for me. Look at it this way. You have no where to go but up from here, and this stock jumps both directions every week! Better to be down after two days, so three days to recover.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 27, 2022 7:47:49 GMT -5
And Kadee is on the bottom...it really dropped out for me. i mentioned something a while back. i think the only two strategies that are going to CONSISTENTLY work, until we reach capitulation are: a) commodities investments b) shorting i am still convinced this is true. Not sure about that. Look at Microsoft and Google yesterday. Both posted less than good earnings, and yet up nicely this morning. Not sure where Chipolte Mexican grill is this morning but same thing. After hours up over 5%.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 26, 2022 7:38:58 GMT -5
It seems after WMT annouced a warning of lower profit by about 7% for the quarter they are in after the bell, it looks like oil and NG were the big plays this week. NG up another 10% this morning. I cannot imagine what heating bills wil be this winter. This last winter our bill was up 7% over previous year, and that is in an empty house with thermostat set at 50 degrees to keep the pipes from freezing. Consumer confidence comes out at 9 am central which might spook the markets and tomorrow the Fed weighs in. Might be a bumpy ride this week.
I liked NXPI's report after the bell. It might support prices for the chip manufacture companies.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 25, 2022 13:03:17 GMT -5
The Washington Post stopped at 2013? Florida might be more conservative now because of Cuban immigration and retired people moving there since then, but it is considered a toss up for most parties except in the Presidential contest most of the time these days. Georgia and Virginia have trended blue in the last decade. Alabama and Mississippi probably more conservative since then. Both Carolinas are probably less conservative today, granted, not be much. I guess we can throwin Kentucky and Tennessee as progressing towards the right, but not much more than in the 60's.
What other states would be in this data?
It seems the south votes heavily for the conservative Presidential candidate, but is less conservative in the congressional and state races .
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 25, 2022 12:43:55 GMT -5
kind of wishing i went long on it right now, but i agree. it has had TOO MUCH of a run the last month. it is due for a correction. Evidently Putin cut the ng line going to Germany from Russsia from 40% capacity to just 20% today. NG here in the states will stay up for a while on that news in anticipation of sending some over to Europe.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 25, 2022 10:15:24 GMT -5
DJ, You have caught my interest here. I follow cattle and hog futures on the commodity exchange, but am unfamiliar with COW. I saw where this is through Barclays. Cattle futures have held strong during the current commodity decline, one of only a couple of ones that have stayed stable. Lean hogs have come down some, about ten dollars or so and I am thinking cattle will follow soon, as feed prices should be declining plus grilling season winds down next month. Of course that is a future trend, not a one week prediction. Regardless, Fridays price for COW was about $38.85 or so, so am surprised your target is $39.50. Am I missing something? Are you expecting a huge beat over the target?
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 25, 2022 6:32:11 GMT -5
Was thinking to go long on CLF this week due to their dismal performance after announcing earnings last week. The actual performance was not that bad to it last week and I was thinking it meight recover this week. US Steel also reports this Friday and not sure how the various funds will treat them based on CLF performance last week.
Going with a new pick this week. never traded in a pharma stock in the contest that I can remember.
Phizer reports this week. Last four quarters they have beaten earnings projections by at least ten cents a share and I expect them to do it this time. Hoping for a good pop on the stock as so much news comes out this week and the stock market gurus are going to be a little confused on what to do with all the news. I believe the FED will go 75 basis points, but talking heads are all over the place at one hundred points or 50 point increase. Lots of other data comes out and it will be a confusing week for direction of the stocks and indexes and traders might go into pharma to hide this week.
Phizer, ticker PFE, LONG.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 25, 2022 6:19:34 GMT -5
I see UNG is up again today. (Monday) I was thinking of shorting it in the new contest, due to the gain it had but am wondering if European investors are driving it up even higher this week, so a hard pass
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 23, 2022 11:03:40 GMT -5
Down nine lengths at the final turn dj breaks away for the win as Uncle and Value Buy drifted away from the rail at the turn! Congrats to dj and Uncle.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 21, 2022 10:58:51 GMT -5
Now the Wshington Post is "conditionally saying" Biden is done. www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/bidens-continued-%e2%80%94-and-marked-%e2%80%94-decline-with-democrats/ar-AAZPnbA?li=BBnb7KzSo, I will state unconditionally, Biden is done. Democrats have moved on from him. Democrats have already scrapped him from the 2024 ticket While Harris is in California garnering political money funds for her 2024 campaign with a Getty Heiress and the California Governor makes no bones he is raising campaign funds for his run at the office. 31% polling is the kicker. The announcement this morning of Biden having Covid wraps it up after his claim yesterday he is suffering from Cancer as well as his announcement he has asthma back in May and blames it all on the state of Delaware. More like cognitive brain failure. (no he does not have cancer, he had moles removed years ago) Asthma, I am not totally sure about.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 21, 2022 10:49:53 GMT -5
You see, you have it incorrrect. Trump will not be the nominee. i didn't say he would be. it was a conditional statement.
therefore YOU were wrong. i do NOT have it "incorrect". i was speaking hypothetically. Okay then, when I make a conditional statement without qualifying it is conditional I get ripped by everyone here, but you can make a conditional statement and that is ok especially when it turns out it is incorrect. Got it
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 21, 2022 10:48:01 GMT -5
Trump could be in big trouble for campaign finance infractions. I am hoping that will keep him from actually running. It amazes me everyone wants to talk Trump on a Biden thread. Until Trump announces he is in the game, everyone's rants about Trump are irrelevant to this thread. Now Biden has Covid! But not to worry Trump's vaccine makes Biden's illness look like a luke warm cold.
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Post by Value Buy on Jul 14, 2022 23:11:24 GMT -5
I don't think he ever had the youth vote. At least for the youngins I know, he was their last choice on the list of contenders. Pete Buttigieg was popular. Yang was pretty good. Bernie was radical, and exciting. Joe was old and creepy - but better than Trump. Even weird Warren and boring Klobuchar were preferable to another old white guy. and given the same palate of choices, they will choose Biden or someone like him AGAIN. in a sense this sort of prognostication is meaningless. what MATTERS is who is the opposite. if it is Trump, again Biden will win. You see, you have it incorrrect. Trump will not be the nominee. And Biden will not be on the ticket. Dems have already dumped him but he does not know this yet. I am very surprised you think either will be on the ticket in 2024. Did you see your California Governor cavorting at the WH today while Biden is in the Middle East? Of course I cannot believe dems will go with him but then again...............
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